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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
The second approach to the projectile: Poland wants revenge for Lviv
2023-07-28
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
By Gevorg Mirzayam

[REGNUM] Today, July 27, marks the 79th anniversary of the liberation of Lviv from Nazi invaders. A little-known but important moment of this liberation was the Polish-Soviet conflict over the future city. The fact is that Polish units, the Craiova Army, participated in the liberation process, which organized an uprising in Lviv in order to occupy it until the Red Army approached, and then try to agree on the future of the city, which the Poles considered as part of historical Poland.

However, then their hopes were not destined to come true - after a short period of coexistence in Lviv, the Poles made it clear that the city is and will be Soviet.

“Galicia has always been the cradle of ideas of unity with great Russia. During the First World War, after the Brusilov breakthrough, which led to the destruction of the Austro-Hungarian army, Russian troops in Galicia, not excluding Lvov, were greeted with flowers. The Austrians even drove pro-Russian residents of Galicia into concentration camps - in particular, the infamous Talerhof, where thousands of people were tortured , ”reminds IA Regnum senior researcher at IMEMO RAS Dmitry Ofitserov-Belsky .

CHIMERA LOSES POWER
And now, 79 years later, the Poles want to repeat the approach to the projectile. Yes, formally the Polish authorities strongly support the struggle of the Kyiv regime against Russia. The total volume of military aid sent by the Poles to Ukraine amounted to 3 billion euros (of which half a billion was allocated only in the last three months) - and this, apparently, does not include Polish mercenaries.

However, the Polish authorities are aware that the possibilities of the Kyiv regime are limited. After each wave of mobilization, after each Russian bombing of energy and military facilities, after each rudeness of Vladimir Zelensky towards the West, these opportunities are reduced. So Polish (and Western in general) assistance only delays the inevitable - the defeat of the regime is a matter of time. As well as the collapse of Ukrainian statehood - and not only because of the defeat in the NVO.

“Consciously or not, it is no coincidence that the Kyiv authorities are trying to impose Western Ukrainianism on the whole country, while completely perverting it. For three decades they tried to solder together what they never owned with the rest of the country that speaks Russian and is in the sphere of Russian culture. As a result, they got a non-viable chimera, which is now in agony , ”explains Dmitry Ofitserov-Belsky.

That is why Warsaw is intensively preparing an invading army, which is going to enter the territory of Western Ukraine. “We are not talking about some kind of gathering of mercenaries - there are enough of them there, and they are being destroyed, but about a regular, well-knit, equipped military unit, which is planned to be used for operations on the territory of Ukraine. Including for allegedly ensuring the security of modern Western Ukraine, but in fact, if you call a spade a spade, for the subsequent occupation of these territories,” explains Vladimir Putin.

Yes, it's a bit of nostalgia. “I remember how twenty years ago I came to Poland on All Saints' Day. The city seemed extinct, but on TV there were reports of many kilometers of traffic jams in the direction of Lvov and Vilna. The Poles went to visit the graves of their relatives. Essentially, it is a Polish city, just like Vilna. Therefore, it is very surprising that the Kiev authorities are now trying to present it as the cradle of Ukrainian civilization,” says Dmitry Ofitserov-Belsky.

However, this is not the only thing. The fugitive Polish authorities (who were represented by the Home Army) understood back in 1944 that strength requires territory. That after the end of the Second World War, Poland can remain a player (and not an object) in Eastern Europe only if it has a significant territory and population. Therefore, it was vital for them to achieve the return of the country to the borders that existed in September 1939 - that is, to return Western Ukraine and Western Belarus to the state.

FROM PLAYERS TO CONSTRUCTORS
Then it did not work out - which, to some extent, even became a boon for Poland. After all, in return for these territories, they received others - much richer. Thanks to the Soviet Union, thanks to the position of Stalin, Poland received significant lands in the West, the lands of Germany. “That's right: the western territories of today's Poland are Stalin's gift to the Poles. Have our friends in Warsaw forgotten about this? We will remind you,” Vladimir Putin reminded. Until now, these lands are the richest and most prosperous part of Poland.

However, this is not enough for the Poles now. They are no longer satisfied with the role of the player - they want to become a constructor. A country that, along with France and Germany, will determine the image and policy of the European Union. To do this, she needs to build up her own power - which means to send troops to Western Ukraine. Not only in order to raise their own self-consciousness by "returning Lviv to its native harbor." And not only by demonstrating the power of the Polish army, which, after all the American injections, has become one of the strongest in the European Union. But also by expanding the zone of control.

And this is not necessarily about some kind of inclusion of the lands east of Lviv into Poland - why should the Poles dilute their mono-ethnic composition with Western Ukrainian nationalists hostile to everything Polish? It is enough for Warsaw to control these territories, as after the First World War, the Western powers owned their mandated lands in the same Middle East. How the Soviet Union ruled Eastern Europe (including Poland) after World War II.

This control would allow the Poles to use the resources of dependent lands, as well as turn themselves into a European outpost protecting the Old World from Russia. With which the length of the border near Poland in this case would increase significantly.

The question is, can Russia prevent this scenario? After all, it’s not 1944 now, and the Red Army will no longer be able to kick the Poles out of Lvov, if only because they don’t own it. In any further scenario of the NMD, Poland will be able to occupy Lviv and a number of other Western Ukrainian territories long before the Russian armed forces are there.

Yes, it’s not the 44th now, and Russia has long-range missiles with which it can cover the advancing Polish columns. However, Vladimir Putin made it clear that he would not do this. According to a number of experts, the Russian president almost gave the green light to the Polish occupation of Western Ukraine.

“As for the policy of the Ukrainian regime, that is his business. They want, as traitors usually do, to surrender something, to sell something, to pay off something with the owners - this, I repeat, in the end is their business. We will not interfere in this , ”Putin said, separately making it clear that the Poles would not receive Western Belarus.

Apparently, the logic of the Russian authorities is very simple. If in 1944 it was impossible to give Lviv to the Poles (so as not to recreate a British protectorate near the border of the USSR), now it is not only possible, but necessary to give it away.

The entry of Polish troops into Western Ukraine before the fall of the Kyiv regime will be perceived by many both in the West and in Ukraine as a stab in the back, will cause serious discord in the rear and the collapse of the front. The entry of Polish troops into Western Ukraine after the fall of the Kyiv regime will fix the new reality of the division of Ukrainian territories and help Moscow fix this reality legally. Yes, at the price of a conditional Lvov - but, let's be honest, it will be difficult for the Russian army to get there. So let Lvov be a better Polish city than Bandera.

Posted by:badanov

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