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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Military analyst admitted that NATO will negotiate with Russia
2023-08-03
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Regnum] Much will depend on how much the West's perception of the need to achieve victory on the battlefield will change in the coming autumn, Ilya Kramnik , a military observer and expert at the Russian Council on Foreign Affairs, told IA Regnum.

“Even in winter and spring, the formula was very popular that peace should be signed on Ukraine’s terms, that all negotiations should be after it reaches its former borders, and a solution should be reached on the battlefield. But now it is clear that Ukraine does not solve the problem with the existing arsenal and composition of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ” the expert noted.

This is how he commented on the appearance in the Western press of publications devoted to the stalling of the Ukrainian counteroffensive. In particular, the Spanish edition of La Vanguardia noted that most of the brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, equipped with Western equipment, are still not participating in the battles, however, the widely announced “counterattack” turned out to be slower and more difficult than expected, which deprived Ukraine of hopes for a quick advance.

“The offensive has turned into a protracted struggle of attrition, which, apparently, will drag on until autumn,” the publication predicts (translated by IA Regnum ).

Western strategists hoped for a quick breakthrough of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the collapse of the front of the Russian troops, but in reality neither one nor the other happened, La Vanguardia notes.

“Ukraine immediately ran into problems. Its new brigades, equipped with Western technology, got bogged down, sometimes in minefields, and became targets for Russian artillery, anti-tank missiles, attack helicopters and ammunition, ”the Spanish publication argues.

In light of such assessments, the question arises: will NATO continue to promote a military solution, support the conflict, trying to rearm Ukraine, or will there be a force in NATO that will be inclined to negotiate, comments Kramnik.

“It is on this that the further development of events will depend,” emphasizes the military expert.

Russia also has its own conditions and vision of the world to be achieved, and it is not a fact that NATO conditions will suit us, the interlocutor added.

“Several things must come together here: the desire to agree and the ability to bring positions closer. We will see this in the fall, and in the future everything depends on NATO - whether it is ready for negotiations and on what conditions,” Kramnik suggested.

The expert recalled that at first there were publications in the Western press that NATO support would allow Ukraine to conduct a counteroffensive: they even called specific dates and said that certain milestones and successes would be achieved in a few days, which would allow the Armed Forces of Ukraine to take positions and create a threat to Crimea .

But when almost two months have passed since the start of the “counterattack”, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have no results, and the advance is a few kilometers, then the West has questions about why there are no successes, the expert concluded.

Earlier, John Kirby, strategic communications coordinator at the White House National Security Council, said in an interview with CNN that the UAF counteroffensive is proceeding at a slow pace. The American official stressed that "Ukrainians are the first to say that they are not moving as far and as fast as they would like."

At the same time, the Russian Ministry of Defense noted that in July alone, the Armed Forces of Ukraine lost more than 20 thousand military personnel. At the same time, they continue to attempt to attack, but have no success in any direction, at the same time losing not only personnel, but also equipment.

Posted by:badanov

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