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Europe
When Poland will stop sharing the skin of an unkilled Russian bear
2023-08-16
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
by Stanislav Stremidlovsky

[REGNUM] On the eve of the military parade in Warsaw in honor of the Day of the Polish Army, which is celebrated today, August 15, the chairman of the Polish ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party, Jaroslaw Kaczynski, explained why Poland is rearming so rapidly.

“Since ancient times, the principle has been: if you want peace, prepare for war,” Kaczynski said. We are preparing for war, but we want peace. And it is these efforts that should give us peace and the possibility of normal development.” By "these efforts" is meant the increase in spending on the armed forces from 37.5 billion zlotys in 2007 to 137 billion today.

The intrigue lies in the explanation of the leader of the ruling party as to why Warsaw has embarked on a feverish arms buying. “ To guarantee the security of Poland, we need alliances . But no one defends those who cannot defend themselves,” Kaczynski said.

The unions in which Poland is today are the EU and NATO. A certain skepticism regarding both the first and the second in Law and Justice has been expressed for more than a year. True, the “great Atlantic partner”, the United States, was previously mentioned, but, apparently, now they have ceased to inspire their former confidence. In the end, using the example of the Ukrainian conflict, Warsaw could see how the leading Western countries behave in our region.

During the special military operation, the Polish authorities closely observed the events taking place. The united anti-Russian front, which rallied the United States and Western Europe, gave Warsaw hope that Russia would quickly be defeated, sign a surrender, and then come to its disintegration within a few years.

Perhaps this can explain the unexpected contract concluded by the Polish government with Seoul for the supply of offensive equipment, including a thousand South Korean K2 tanks. Warsaw in this case got a chance to start a physical expansion to the east. But then something went wrong.

The victory over Moscow began to drag on. Against this background, “Law and Justice” could see how the Western “partners” of the Kyiv regime were supplying him with weapons in doses. Some European countries in this regard caused increased criticism from the ruling Polish party, which assessed how the "partners" delayed the shipment of products requested by Kiev, or sent equipment of little use. In particular, Warsaw had to make great efforts to assemble a coalition that forced Germany to agree to send their Leopard tanks.

Moreover, in Poland they began to suspect that Ukraine would not be accepted in the West anyway. Especially after the words of the President of the country, Andrzej Duda, that stopping "Russian imperialism" is cheap, because American soldiers do not die. This raised questions about whether the death of Polish soldiers would be an “expensive” or also “cheap” way to stop Russia.

Against this background, a curious confession was made by Kaczynski. According to him, Poland is in a sphere that Russia regards as its own. And there is only one way out of it - to become a strong state, including militarily. In fact, by doing so, Kaczynski equated Poland in geopolitical status with Ukraine.

Apparently, PiS concluded that NATO membership in the event of an armed conflict spreading to Poland would not help Warsaw much. Someone will not want to use Article 5 of the charter of the North Atlantic bloc for political reasons, someone will simply not be able to provide real assistance.

Guided by the aforementioned principle “if you want peace, prepare for war”, PiS relies on purely military means of protecting Poland. Although there was nothing to prevent Law and Justice from resorting to diplomacy, not trying to run ahead of a steam locomotive during a special military operation in Ukraine and share the skin of an unkilled Russian bear.

As a result, now Poland, proceeding from the logic of Kaczynski, is being thrown back into the past at the moment when it has not yet joined either NATO or the European Union, and it still needs to get out of the “zone of influence” of Russia. The only question is whether Warsaw has a historical time for this and whether a full barn with foreign weapons will help it.

Poland has a chance to get peace on its borders without preparing for war. The other day, President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko announced the possibility of improving relations with Warsaw if the Poles want to do it.

In turn, the Deputy Chairman of the Standing Committee on International Affairs of the House of Representatives of Belarus, Tengiz Dumbadze , in an interview with Izvestia, stressed that Minsk is ready for a dialogue with Poland to normalize relations, despite the escalation of reports about Warsaw's plans to increase the military contingent on the eastern border of the state.

It is doubtful that Law and Justice will now accept the initiatives of the Belarusian side. In the current hot election campaign for elections to the Sejm and the Senate, the ruling party is exploiting the special concern of the Poles about the security of their country, which is seen in accelerated militarization.

But next year, if, of course, PiS manages to form a government for the third time, there is little chance that it will abandon its fruitless attempts to ignore Russia and Belarus when discussing a new security architecture in the region.

Posted by:badanov

#3  Ah, so that's why the US sold out Eastern Europe to Uncle Joe.
Posted by: DooDahMan   2023-08-16 19:14  

#2  At the least Poland can try to convince Belarus that invading is a bad idea.
Posted by: magpie   2023-08-16 19:11  

#1  “ To guarantee the security of Poland, we need alliances . But no one defends those who cannot defend themselves,”

The alliances with France and Britain didn't work out so well back in 1939 did they?
Posted by: Canuckistan sniper   2023-08-16 15:58  

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