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| 'An unprecedented blow': what awaits the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the coming hours |
| 2023-10-11 |
| Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. by Sergey Adamov and Oleg Krivoshapov [REGNUM] Since the beginning of the week, there have been reports of changes in two areas in the NWO zone. Near Avdievka, north of Donetsk, Russian troops have reportedly broken through the defenses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. On October 10, RT reported about a breakthrough on the northern flank of the Avdeevka direction near the village of Berdich, citing sources in the 105th Motorized Rifle Regiment. “There is a powerful battle going on near Avdievka, the Russian army is delivering an unprecedented blow,” the Telegram channel “Operation Z: Military Correspondents of the Russian Spring” reported . Later, a source in the 105th Motorized Rifle regiment, commenting on the battles near Berdichi, reported that the Russian military also launched a counterattack on the Ukrainian Armed Forces from the southern flank of the Avdievka direction. Moreover, according to the source, things are “moving towards the creation of the Avdievka cauldron.” From the early morning of October 10, Russian aviation, artillery, multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS) and tanks began to fire at the enemy. It is reported that the Ukrainian Armed Forces batteries deployed in Avdeevka, which were shelling Donetsk, came under attack. At the same time, it became known that the enemy was gathering additional forces to the north, in the Krasnoliman direction. In the area of Serebryansky forestry and the village of Belogorovka, the arrival of units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine equipped with armored vehicles was noted , said retired LPR Lieutenant Colonel Andrey Marochko. Based on the number and composition of the enemy units, “we can conclude that they can be involved in both defensive and offensive actions,” the lieutenant colonel noted. Even further north, in the Kupyansk direction, Russian troops in one day repelled four attacks by the 115th mechanized brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the area of Liman Pervy (a village on the right bank of the Oskol River northeast of Kupyansk). In sight - Avdeevsky fortified area In the Avdievka area, the situation is really developing positively for the Russian troops, a source told IA Regnum - a fighter of the Donetsk 1st Army Corps, located in the vicinity of Donetsk. In the previous weeks, the Ukrainian Armed Forces had noticeably weakened their presence in the area. Enemy reserves were transferred in two directions - to the approaches to Artyomovsk, where the Russian Armed Forces are holding the defense, and to the Kupyansk area, where Russian troops are trying to go on the offensive. Losses in other directions forced Ukrainian troops to withdraw some large-caliber artillery from Donetsk, which is why the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces were weakened. The created parity in artillery opens up opportunities for Russian troops to launch their own offensive in the area. “Our artillery is now working on identified enemy positions in Avdievka and to the north, where they have communications and reserves. We try to maneuver to prevent return fire. We are identifying enemy artillery positions in order to suppress all the nits that are shelling Donetsk,” said a soldier of the Donetsk 1st Army Corps. At the same time, the source urged not to trust numerous reports that Russian troops have already bypassed Avdievka from the north, cutting off the city from supplies. Now combat operations continue in this direction in the direction of the villages of Stepovoye and Berdich. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are putting up fierce resistance. If the operation is completed successfully, the Ukrainian Armed Forces contingent in Avdievka will be forced to either withdraw from the city or remain surrounded. “It is premature to talk about successes. Real success will be the passage of our troops across the railway from Avdeevka to Ochertino and consolidation at this line. Whoever keeps the railway embankment will achieve success in this direction,” the interlocutor explained. Earlier, Ukrainian sources reported the beginning of hostilities in the area of the village of Stepovoe, north of Avdeevka, where a shooting battle was taking place. “The Ukrainian command, of course, will now do everything to stop the threat in the Avdeevka direction. The enemy is aware that the encirclement here and, in general, a sharp deterioration in the situation will affect the general situation at the front,” military expert Vladislav Shurygin comments to IA Regnum . But the question is what tasks the Russian command sets. “The further development of events depends on whether our attack on Avdievka is some kind of serious operation or a diversionary maneuver, an attempt to “delay” the reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine,” argues Shurygin. “The strategic reserve was brought into battle” Military expert Anatoly Matviychuk explained that Avdievka is a powerful fortified fortification with firing positions from which Donetsk is constantly being shelled, and it is extremely important now to push the threat of artillery shelling away from the city. “I believe that for a long time we could not approach it due to congestion in other directions - in the area of Kupyansk, Artyomovsk, in the Zaporozhye direction. But the Ukrainian Armed Forces suffered quite heavy losses, and their pressure decreased significantly,” said expert IA Regnum. At the same time, the Ukrainian side seeks to stabilize the situation in the Krasnoliman direction, as evidenced by the gathering of troops in this area and near Artyomovsk. But due to the lack of reserves, Ukraine is suffering very heavy losses and cannot achieve results, the expert is convinced: “ There is a real “meat grinder” near Artyomovsk, and this is the last direction where they could imagine something in view of their counter-offensive, which eventually fizzled out.” Now the Ukrainian Armed Forces simply have nothing to surprise the Russian troops with, Matviychuk noted. “For this, as I understand it, they simply do not physically have enough reserves,” he concludes. “They brought the last strategic reserve into battle somewhere at the beginning of the month. They have something, but it is no longer capable of changing the balance of power. We “utilized” their strategic reserves." The Palestinian-Israeli conflict , which recently flared up with renewed vigor in the coming weeks, according to the expert, will lead to drastic changes at the front. “There is already information that a transport plane from Polish Rzeszow, a transshipment point for the supply of Western weapons to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, takes weapons and leaves in a completely different direction,” Matviychuk noted. Earlier, Regnum news agency reported with reference to the Ministry of Defense that the Russian Armed Forces inflicted a significant defeat on the manpower and equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the areas of Kleshcheevka and Andreevka in the (DPR). Enemy losses amounted to up to 140 people killed and wounded, three armored vehicles and two cars. In addition, three attacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces were repelled in the areas of Kurdyumovka and Vodyanoye (DPR). |
| Posted by:badanov |
| #4 ^ Except the Russians announced the deployment of the newly formed Russian 25th Army a few days before. |
| Posted by: badanov 2023-10-11 17:18 |
| #3 It would not surprise me one bit if the massive Russian offensive on Avdievka was timed in coordination with the Iran/Hezbollah/Hamas attack on Israel so that the west wouldn't react as quickly for the Ukrainians. And the satellites were pointed elsewhere and wouldn't detect a rapid buildup of forces. |
| Posted by: Mullah Richard OTR 2023-10-11 16:47 |
| #2 |
| Posted by: DarthVader 2023-10-11 09:45 |
#1  |
| Posted by: Cholutle Thrans9751 2023-10-11 08:24 |