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| Year of the Joker. What will happen to the USA and the world after Trump wins in 2024 |
| 2024-01-08 |
| Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. by Malek Dudakov [REGNUM] In 2024, the whole world will be watching the US presidential race with bated breath. The forecasts are the most contradictory - from a confident victory of one of the candidates to complete chaos and confusion, coupled with a surge in political violence. Panic has already reigned in the camp of the Democratic Party - due to Joe Biden’s low ratings and ongoing crises. But Donald Trump’s campaign is determined to go to the end - and is confident of its victory. Such confidence seems somewhat premature. After all, Trump’s legal problems are worsening. In March 2024, hearings will begin on four criminal cases brought against Trump. And right now they are trying to remove him from primaries and elections in a number of states. Although in this case, Trump will most likely be able to fight back and restore his candidacy. But this will take effort, time and money. Nevertheless, the general trend of the presidential race is rather positive for Trump. He is ahead of Biden in most polls released from October to December. Moreover, Trump’s lead is slowly but growing and at the end of 2023 it is 2-3 points. Things are even better in the swing states, for which the main battle in the elections is taking place - here Trump is already ahead of Biden by 5-7 points. Therefore, Trump’s apparatchiks are already dividing the skin of the unkilled bear with all their might. And they are forming lists of the future transit team that will occupy key positions in the next Trump administration. They are also making plans for large-scale reforms that will need to be implemented in the short four-year period of Trump’s second term. Trump's first term was unusually controversial in terms of successes. He managed to carry out only one major reform - tax, at the end of 2017. Trump lowered taxes, which ensured good growth for the US economy over the next few years, as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to historic lows. True, many of these achievements were then crossed out by the Covid crisis. On other issues, Trump was able to achieve only partial success. He wanted to arrange immigration reform - with the construction of a wall, the deportation of illegal immigrants and the reduction in the intake of legal migrants by half. Trump never managed to complete the wall, but he actively deported migrants. And the situation on the US southern border was significantly better than under Biden. Trump considers the personnel issue to be his key mistake of the first term. He trusted Vice President Mike Pence to select members of the administration. And he recruited many representatives of the political establishment who torpedoed Trump’s policies. Therefore, he was not really able to drain the notorious “Washington swamp.” Now Trump is taking a much more responsible approach to personnel selection. He managed to quarrel with many ex-employees; Trump simply threw others out of his social circle. That one now consists only of loyalists close to Trump in ideology and views. And they want to form Trump’s future cabinet in exactly the same way. Moreover, we are talking not only about the highest ranks in the US government hierarchy. Traditionally, elected presidents only change the leadership of federal structures, while lower-level apparatchiks can work in their positions for decades. They help maintain the status quo in Washington, preventing drastic changes from happening. Now Trump’s supporters are promising to carry out real purges, firing tens of thousands of mid-level officials from all ministries, intelligence agencies and the Pentagon. Republican think tanks like the Heritage Foundation are preparing in advance lists of candidates who can be promoted to government service. If such a large-scale bureaucratic reform is successful, we can expect a sharp shift in Washington politics to the right. Democrats are already in full hysteria about this, calling Trump’s proposals a de facto coup in the US capital. After all, the positions of the liberal establishment in this case will be greatly undermined. It is precisely this purge of officials and the hiring of outside apparatchiks that Trump intends to engage in in the first 100 days of his presidency. Only then will he focus on key reforms, having behind him a team of like-minded people who can be trusted. Trump wants to start by solving the migration crisis. He promises to immediately complete the wall on the border with Mexico, as well as to launch a military operation in the southern states to capture illegal immigrants and deport at least a million a year. This will certainly cause a crisis in relations with Mexico. Like Trump’s other promise - to declare war on drug cartels and send US troops to northern Mexico to destroy opioid laboratories. The drug crisis is truly devastating Americans—more than 100,000 people die from opioid overdoses in the United States every year. However, Trump's radical proposals could lead to chaos along the entire southern US border - and create a mini-Afghanistan if the cartels begin to fight back against regular American forces. In the context of the domestic American agenda, Trump has no less extravagant ideas. His proposals to build new private cities on uninhabited federal land caused great resonance. Moreover, Trump proposes to the residents of these cities to create a ready-made infrastructure for flying cars. And also provide them with subsidies to increase the birth rate, which has now fallen in the United States. This seems unrealistic only at first glance. After all, Trump is trying to give some kind of answer to the rampant crime and lawlessness in the largest US cities, which are increasingly less suitable for life. American billionaires - from Elon Musk to Silicon Valley tycoons - are already implementing their projects to create private cities for the elite. So Trump is correctly guessing the mood in society here - instead of resolving the stalemate in old megacities, simply create new ones. In foreign policy, Trump promises the impossible - to de-escalate the situation in the Middle East and achieve a truce in Ukraine in 24 hours. Some details can only be caught between the lines. For example, Trump in one of his interviews proposed a plan for the division of Ukraine - with the transfer of all Russian-speaking regions to Russia. And in the Middle East, he would like to restore the Abraham Accords between Israel and the Gulf monarchies - and this time even include Iran. There will likely be renewed efforts to reach an agreement between Serbia and Kosovo, something Trump tried to do in 2020. He also promises to hold another round of negotiations with North Korea - who will be promised Western investment in exchange for freezing the nuclear program. But with the preservation of existing warheads and hypersonic missiles. The prospects of all Trump's proposals will largely depend on his team. The return of first-term advisors Steve Bannon and Stefan Miller, the ideologists of “Trumpism”, is expected. Richard Grenell could become Secretary of State, and Christopher Miller could become Secretary of Defense. They also worked in concert with Trump in his first term. Grenell doesn’t have much reverence for Russia, but most of all he hates the European bureaucracy in Brussels. As US Ambassador to Germany, he actively supported right-wing populists rocking the boat in the European Union. And in the position of Secretary of State, he will again undermine the institutions of Brussels and fight battles with the Europeans. Miller also suits him in spirit - it was he who, when he was head of the Pentagon at the end of Trump’s presidency, made decisions on the withdrawal of US troops from Europe. It is not surprising that Trump's opponents on both sides of the Atlantic are calling his return to power a monumental crisis for the West. And they will make every effort to prevent this from happening. Trump’s victory will sharply exacerbate contradictions - both within America and between the United States and Europe. Much of what Trump promised will not be implemented. But he will be able to act as a “conductor of chaos” or the Joker, undermining the already shaky liberal world order from within. |
| Posted by:badanov |
| #5 Who is this guy? He is good at sliding the facts into questionable propaganda. Well done, total bullshit, but well done. |
| Posted by: 49 Pan 2024-01-08 13:40 |
| #4 The establishment hacks will not be in the administration, but the entire federal bureaucracy will work against their assigned cabinet member. It will be an ugly 4 year battle royal. It is also necessary. |
| Posted by: Super Hose 2024-01-08 07:47 |
| #3 Nothing less than a complete house-cleaning, top to bottom, will do this time. When the left starts screeching, Trump should just smile and say "Look what you made me do." |
| Posted by: M. Murcek 2024-01-08 07:27 |
| #2 /\ Fire Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General C. Q. Brown along with Austin. CQ knew about the hospitalization and reportedly said nothing. Probably informed Soetoro, so they assumed it was taken care of. |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2024-01-08 04:58 |