Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin
See a graphic depicting the changes here.
[ColonelCassad] Territorial changes on the map War for the Partition of Ukraine associated with the conduct of hostilities for January 2024 (December 2023):
- in the Kupyansk direction, the Russian Armed Forces took positions in the forest area near Sin'kovka and took under control of the settlement of Krakhmalnoye +2.43 (+1.6) km²
- in the Svatovsky direction, new positions of the RF Armed Forces in the Karmazinovka area, as well as the RF Armed Forces managed to expand control west of Ploshchanka +4.51 (+0) km²
- in the Kremennaya area high degree of offensive activity of the RF Armed Forces in the directions towards the settlements of Terny, Yampolovka and in the Kremen forests south of Dibrov +6.19 (+10.2) km²
- at the line Soledar - Lisichansk attacks of the RF Armed Forces with expanded control at the Belogorov filter station and north of Vesely +1.03(+4.39) km²
- north of Artyomovsk, the offensive of the Russian Armed Forces on a broad front from Artyomovsky (Khromovo) to Grigorovka, but with a slight advance into the depth of the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine +1.55 (+10.3) km²
- in the south of Artyomovsk The Russian Armed Forces attacked the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the southwest of the city in the dachas and north of Height 215 near Kleshcheevka +1.89 (+0.1) km²
- north of Avdievka the RF Armed Forces expanded the zone of control in the dacha area and in the direction of Ocheretino +1.67( +4.26) km²
- in Avdievka, the Russian Armed Forces carried out an offensive operation entering the neighborhoods of the southern part of the city and attacked strongholds of the Ukrainian Armed Forces south of the DFS, and also expanded their presence in Pervomaisky +3.37 (-1.39) km²
- in the area Marinki, the RF Armed Forces entered the eastern part of Georgievka +1.3(+6.46) km²
- near Novomikhailovka, the offensive activity of the RF Armed Forces was noted south of the village +1.7(+4.43) km²
- in the area of Velikaya Novosyolka, the RF Armed Forces carried out a series assaults on the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine north of Priyutnoye and near Urozhainy +5.52 (+0) km²
- in the Orekhovsky direction, the RF Armed Forces returned part of the lost positions in the Verbovoy area +1.32 (+2.73) km²
General territorial changes for January 2024 (December 2023) +32.28(+43.31) km²
The map was compiled based on geodata published on the Creamy Caprice channel available from public videos and photographic materials.
https://t.me/bmpd_cast/18759 - zinc
More from Boris Rozhin:
Cleared "Menagerie"
Confirming footage from the Zverinets fortified area northeast of Novomikhailovka, which was occupied by Russian troops after months of fighting.
Regarding the situation south of Novomikhailovka, despite the unsuccessful attack on January 30 (loss of three tanks and five MTLB), there has also been progress there in recent days. The Russian Armed Forces are obviously trying to bypass the village from the north and south in order to force the enemy to retreat, as was the case during the capture of Vesely. On the outskirts of Novomikhailovka, the front line has not yet changed significantly.
MTLB is a Russian tracked armored personnel carrier, one of the world's oldest still in active use.
The key importance of this section is that when Novomikhailovka is captured, the opportunity opens up to advance to the Ugledar-Konstantinovskoye supply route, which will create a serious threat to the logistics of a significant part of the enemy’s Ugledar group. Hence the severity of the battles for Novomikhailovka - both sides understand its operational value.
PS. Judging by Putin’s statement yesterday about problems with drones on one of the front sectors, information about unnecessary losses of equipment near Novomikhailovka reached the leadership. Yesterday it was said that additional instructions had been given on the production and development of electronic warfare systems. But so far the projectile is superior to armor when it comes to FPV drones and this applies to both sides.
Even more from Rozhin:
See a map of the Avdievka operation here.
Preparation for the assault on Avdievka
Scheme of possible operations of the Russian Armed Forces in the Avdievka area (author: Swedish military analyst Mikael Woltersson)
1. Go to the east and west to the lake (flooded quarry) and force the Ukrainian Armed Forces to withdraw troops from sector 1A (up to two companies of Ukrainian Armed Forces infantry)
2. Then, using flank pressure, create a threat to the communications of the Ukrainian Armed Forces forces in sector 2A, forcing the Ukrainian Armed Forces to retreat to the city.
3. Attack and take strong points 2 and 3 near the air defense unit (one of them is “Cheburashka”) and secure the group’s flank in the “Tsarskaya Okhota” area after occupying area 1B.
5. At the same time, the task of clearing the forest between the “Tsarskaya Okhota” and the Industrial Zone in 1C is being solved, which will provide another flank.
6. In the future, there is an advance towards opornik 5 next to the Khimik quarter 6, which is the heart of Avdeevka’s defense.
Having carried out these actions, the RF Armed Forces will find themselves in a convenient position for the final assault on the city.
We'll find out pretty soon how much all this coincides with reality.
PS. In the morning, the enemy confirms that the Russian Armed Forces are close to completing the task from point No. 1.