Submit your comments on this article |
Government Corruption |
The search for Biden's replacement has reached the home stretch. |
2024-02-14 |
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. by Petr Akopov [RIA] Joe Biden is becoming one big problem: After his lawyer last week described the US president as "an old man with a bad memory", talk is growing louder that Biden will be forced to withdraw from the election. Moreover, this is no longer just talk: although there are still ten months before the elections, and a little more than six months before the Democratic Party congress, at which a presidential candidate will be nominated, a decision must be made this spring. Then it will be too late, but now the Democrats still have time to try to promote another candidate. Biden hasn't been completely written off yet, but that's where it's headed. His ratings are falling, and the odds on Trump's victory are rising. And the point here is not the real state of health of the owner of the White House, but the fact that Americans are increasingly confident in his weakness: 85 percent believe that he is too old for a new presidential term. This is a lot (20 percent less thinks so about Trump) - and it is this factor that becomes decisive in the elections. At the same time, Biden is actually not as bad as he is portrayed: he has to deal with dire crises both in foreign policy and at home. On the world stage, Ukraine, the Middle East and China are sparking at the same time, and the intensity everywhere is such that even one such crisis would be enough. Biden is undoubtedly the most experienced American politician alive, especially when it comes to international affairs, which he has been involved in for half a century. And on purely American soil, he has enormous experience: 35 years in the Senate, eight years as vice president (and not at all nominal), a presidential term. No one living today has such a track record— Obama, for example, served in the Senate for only three years. But Biden’s vast experience does not help him not only in foreign affairs (here the reason is that the general course of the United States led them to the current problems), but also in general. During all three years of his presidency, Biden fought on two fronts - externally and internally, that is, he tried to stop the deterioration of the US global position and restrain the revenge-minded Trump. There were no particular successes either: even the building of an anti-Russian coalition did not stop the degradation of the world in the American way, and various pressures on Trump did not turn the ex-president into an outsider. He confidently leads in the ratings not only in the country, but also, most importantly, in key (so-called swing) states, on which the outcome of the elections depends. In these circumstances, Biden had only one thing left to do: bet on a repeat of the 2020 election scenario. Not in the sense of gerrymandering, but in terms of a call to vote against Trump: elect Biden to stop a crazy dictator. The scenario for 2024 is so-so, but the White House didn’t have a better one. However, now a third front has opened against Biden - and defeat on it will put an end to his victory. This front is the most internal of all possible - we are talking about the health of the president. Biden is clearly losing here, and with each passing week Americans will increasingly believe that he is incapable of fulfilling his responsibilities. This is a disaster - not only for Biden, not only for the Democratic Party, but also for most of the American establishment, which considers Trump’s second term categorically unacceptable. And if the “Washington swamp” comes to the conclusion that Biden has finally “broken,” then he will be replaced. But to whom? And here the most difficult part begins, because there is simply no backup option. What was considered such in 2020, namely Vice President Kamala Harris, did not work: both the ratings and the managerial, mental level of the Californian turned out to be below par. In a normal situation, this would not be so bad - well, let the frankly weak president have one term, they will select reliable managers for her. But, firstly, Harris has even less chance of defeating Trump than Biden, and secondly, the international situation is so turbulent that putting a frankly empty figure at the head of a superpower is simply dangerous. That is, the Harris option remains, but for the most extreme, hopeless case. In the meantime, Democrats are trying to find a stronger replacement for Biden - and are faced with a difficult choice. In fact, there are only two possible candidates. One of them is California Governor Gavin Newsom. He has some national fame, but he represents the same "California Mafia" as Harris. They even worked together: when Newsom was mayor of San Francisco, Harris was elected district attorney there. Newsom's aunt was the wife of Ronald Pelosi - not a namesake, but the older brother of Nancy Pelosi's husband, the former Speaker of the House of Representatives. It is, of course, possible to nominate Newsom, but given both his personal reputation and the image of California as the most “progressive” (in terms of migrants, LGBT* and other) state, this could alienate many non-radical supporters from the Democrats. And a lot of questions will immediately arise about the Californian’s personal life, and Trump will not miss this opportunity at the debate (which it will be impossible for Newsom to avoid). Much more serious than Newsom is the option with Obama, but not Barack, but Michelle. Barack himself will speak in New York at the end of next month at a rally in support of Biden - Harris, but this does not mean anything. The ex-president cannot run for a third time, but his wife was very popular. Now polls don’t give her many supporters, but this is because there was no promotion and, most importantly, her desire to run. The option with Michelle was discussed back in 2020, but she was categorically against it. She doesn’t want to enter the fight even now, but everything could change if the medical commission of the “Washington swamp” decides that Biden cannot participate in the elections. Then the whole world will try to persuade Michelle - and it’s not a fact that they won’t persuade her. Of course, everyone understands that if elected, Barack will be the real president, because Michelle has no not only political, but also managerial experience (unlike Trump, who had extensive experience in managing large businesses). But what won’t you do to save America from the “impending dictatorship of Trump,” and this is becoming the main slogan of the Democrats’ presidential campaign. There is, however, another option with the nomination of Barack Obama himself - not for president, but for vice-president. Such a castling: if in 2008 the experienced Biden supported the inexperienced Obama, now the popular and experienced Obama will support the tired and unpopular Biden. The option is very risky and unlikely, but in the current situation even this is being discussed. In a word, the Democrats have no one to replace Biden with, but they can’t not change him either - he’ll lose. So it's a dead end? Yes, and this always happens when influential people break away from reality, believe in their omnipotence and try to stop the objective course of history. In 2020 they succeeded, but now everyone is convinced that in fact they only succeeded in putting everything on pause, and not changing the direction of movement. And now everything will return to its place, including Donald Trump. |
Posted by:badanov |
#2 As a want-ta-be woman Michael er "Mike" will never be acceptable to a large portion of the American Public. Hell just look at all the memes showing her crotch bulge and neck.... Its bad enough with all the Trans that Biden stuffed into cabinets and the military. |
Posted by: 3dc 2024-02-14 14:56 |
#1 Meet 5 Democrats who have been floated as possible Biden replacements |
Posted by: Skidmark 2024-02-14 08:24 |