Text taken from a V Kontakte post of Reports from the Novorossiya militia
one hour ago.
[VK] WHAT ARE WE TALKING ABOUT?
A week after the start of the operation in the Kursk region, the Armed Forces of Ukraine launched a series of strikes on bridges and crossings on the Seim River in the Glushkovsky district. It would seem that the reason for these actions is obvious - the Armed Forces of Ukraine are preparing another strike and are trying to isolate the area. However, a number of elements indicate the illogicality of what is happening. The
first reports of strikes on bridges appeared on August 12 (!) in the Russian-language segment of the Telegram social network. From there, information began to spread to pro-Ukrainian and Western publications. By August 15-16, strikes on bridges became a popular topic in the media and social networks. At the moment, the topic is still warming up with reports of imminent activation in this area, as if explaining the logic of the actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
WHAT'S WRONG?
Firstly, practically all Western media and the Ukrainian leadership insist that the key moment in the preparation of the operation in the Kursk region of the Russian Federation was the strictest secrecy, under which even high-ranking officers learned about the goals of the operation at the last minute.moment. The attacks on bridges, on the contrary, are not only not hidden, but are even emphasized by the Ukrainian command, which published photos and videos.
Secondly, between August 12 and 27, 16 days have passed during which nothing happened.
From a military point of view, such preparation for the operation looks absurd, since it simultaneously reveals intentions, deprives the element of surprise and gives the enemy (in this case, the Russian Armed Forces) time to prepare. In addition, the principled approach contradicts the principles of preparation for the entire operation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region.
But what if the Ukrainian Armed Forces are confident in themselves or is this a diversionary maneuver?
Right now they should be less confident than at the beginning of the operation. Irreplaceable (or difficult to replace) resources and reserves have already been spent, high losses have been incurred, and the Russian command has time to deploy reserves. In addition, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have not solved the fundamental problems of the entire operation, namely, the dominance of Russian aviation in the air, the superiority of the Russian Armed Forces in artillery and resources. Simply put, time does not work for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. They can enter the territory, but it is difficult to hold it.
WHAT CONCLUSIONS CAN BE DRAWN?
Let us make an unpopular (but logical) assumption: the reasons for the attacks on the bridges should be sought not in the military component, but in the media.
Even before the start of the SVO, the Ukrainian special services' strong point was the forces of information and psychological operations. The Ukrainian command knows that the issue of bridges is an irrationally sore spot for a significant part of the Russian media and Telegram channels covering the progress of the SVO.
Thus, regular demonstrative strikes, supported by both Ukrainian and Western information machines, can be organized precisely within the framework of the information and psychological operation.
The goals can be different. For example, to increase tension within the country, force the army leadership to take ill-considered steps and even cause panic on the ground.