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| -Signs, Portents, and the Weather- |
| After the Deluge |
| 2024-10-29 |
| [RealClearWire] Residents of western North Carolina try to reconcile with the “once in a thousand years” storm that wasn’t supposed to happen to them. Related: Western North Carolina: 2024-10-23 Hurricane Helene forces North Carolina residents to sleep in tents where homes once stood Western North Carolina: 2024-10-09 Through Hurricanes Helene and Milton, Amateur Radio Triumphs When All Else Fails Western North Carolina: 2024-10-08 Watch: Black Hawk Helo Wreaks Havoc On Civilian Hurricane Outpost, Raising Questions |
| Posted by:Skidmark |
| #5 #3 - Spot on. Journalists are unable to grasp statistics. |
| Posted by: Frank G 2024-10-29 18:04 |
| #4 How silly of me. I forgot man-made, elite-controllable, Climate Change science. |
| Posted by: Bobby 2024-10-29 16:54 |
| #3 A "thousand year event" (flood,storm, etc.) doesn't mean that if it occurs, you are safe for another thousand years. It means that there is a 0.1% chance of it occurring. So if it occurs, it could happen next year or the year after.If it does, they will probably reassess the probability. |
| Posted by: Rambler in Virginia 2024-10-29 16:53 |
| #2 The hurricane may not have been a thousand year storm, but could easily generate local rainfall events which match the theoretical probability of once in a thousand years. I stood in a valley in suburban Kansas City where they had two one-hundred year storms, back to back. Might have been equivalent to one 500-year event. Probability and statistics. Meteorology. Hydrology. Science. |
| Posted by: Bobby 2024-10-29 16:48 |
| #1 Johnstown Flood - 1889. Dam broke - much higher death toll. Helen was not a "thousand year storm" apparently. |
| Posted by: Mercutio 2024-10-29 09:22 |