You have commented 358 times on Rantburg.

Your Name
Your e-mail (optional)
Website (optional)
My Original Nic        Pic-a-Nic        Sorry. Comments have been closed on this article.
Bold Italic Underline Strike Bullet Blockquote Small Big Link Squish Foto Photo
-Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
Supercomputer predicts catastrophic future for Earth
2025-02-24
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Waiting for the downside.

[Regnum] Scientists from the University of Bristol have used a supercomputer to model the Earth in 250 years. According to the forecast, the planet will face a global catastrophe.

The study was published in the scientific journal Nature Geoscience. In the model of the Earth of the future, all the continents have merged into one supercontinent, called Pangea Ultima. At the same time, the air temperature on it fluctuates between 40 and 60 °C, and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is 1.5 times higher than in modern times.

The cause of extreme temperatures in the future was said to be increased activity of the Sun, which is heating up more and more each year. This will also be facilitated by excessive activity of volcanoes, awakened by the merger of continents, and the greenhouse effect provoked by this.

According to scientists, 8-16% of land will remain habitable for humans. At the same time, the expected changes will lead to the extinction of many mammal species. It is noted that they survived by adapting to the cold, and it will be difficult for them to survive extreme heat. The researchers also concluded that over time, the Earth will still become unsuitable for life.

Earlier, Vladimir Semenov, head of the climatology laboratory at the Institute of Geography of the Russian Academy of Sciences, told IA Regnum that predictions about a death sentence for humanity due to the rise in average global temperatures should be understood as an exaggeration and a figure of speech. So far, there is no threshold in sight in the near future beyond which there will be irreversible catastrophic consequences, he noted.
Impressive. Not only common sense about climate modelling, but common sense in the journalist who looked for that quote to give balance to the hysteria.
Biophysicist and senior researcher at the Institute of Cell Biophysics of the Russian Academy of Sciences Alexey Karnaukhov also called the gloomy forecasts an exaggeration. At the same time, he believes that warnings should not be brushed aside. According to the scientist, with sharp warming, the World Ocean will begin to release carbon dioxide and methane at an accelerated rate, which could lead to consequences worse than other cataclysms.
Posted by:badanov

#8  Re #5. Exactly. The title should read "Programmers of Supercomputer predict catastrophic future for Earth".
Posted by: Melancholy   2025-02-24 20:04  

#7  pretty sure the computer was prognosticating for 250 million years

Regnum doesn't understand a lot of stuff
Posted by: Lord Garth   2025-02-24 09:41  

#6  in 250 years, all the continents will have joined together? um, okay.
Posted by: Mercutio   2025-02-24 09:28  

#5  Warthog, these computer models have dozens of parameters for which even the range of the parameter values are unknown. The work of computer simulants consists of trying different values of parameters until the desired result is obtained.
Posted by: Grom the Affective   2025-02-24 09:11  

#4  I won't care in 250 years.
Hell, I don't care now!
Posted by: Skidmark   2025-02-24 08:58  

#3  I wouldn't worry too much. Achieving a super-continent in 250 years makes no sense geologically.
Posted by: Warthog   2025-02-24 08:49  

#2  
What me worry
and likely everyone reading this will be also.
Posted by: NN2N1   2025-02-24 05:50  

#1  
Posted by: Skidmark   2025-02-24 00:42  

00:00