See here for counterpoint referenced at the bottom of this piece.
[VoxDay] The End of Airpower Confirmed
Simplicius observes how the US failure in the Red Sea has underlined the lessons of the NATO-Russian war.
The US is unable to safely conduct operations near even Yemen’s airspace, with its so-called ‘rudimentary’ air defenses. F-35s—claimed to be ‘the most advanced fighter jets ever assembled’—are unable to safely operate without being detected. What do you think it could be that’s allowing the Houthis to detect “invisible” F-35s to such an extent as to fire on them, causing evasive maneuvers? Is it hand-me-down Iranian radars, which themselves are likely hand-me-down Russian ones? How would the vaunted F-35s and B-2s handle the far larger and superior national Iranian AD network if they can’t even handle the Houthi one?
The costs of that complete failure have been staggering:
He proposed an eight- to 10-month campaign in which Air Force and Navy warplanes would take out Houthi air defense systems. Then, he said, U.S. forces would mount targeted assassinations modeled on Israel’s recent operation against Hezbollah, three U.S. officials said.
Saudi officials backed General Kurilla’s plan and provided a target list of 12 Houthi senior leaders whose deaths, they said, would cripple the movement. But the United Arab Emirates, another powerful U.S. ally in the region, was not so sure. The Houthis had weathered years of bombings by the Saudis and the Emiratis.
By early March, Mr. Trump had signed off on part of General Kurilla’s plan — airstrikes against Houthi air defense systems and strikes against the group’s leaders. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth named the campaign Operation Rough Rider.
At some point, General Kurilla’s eight- to 10-month campaign was given just 30 days to show results.
In those first 30 days, the Houthis shot down seven American MQ-9 drones (around $30 million each), hampering Central Command’s ability to track and strike the militant group. Several American F-16s and an F-35 fighter jet were nearly struck by Houthi air defenses, making real the possibility of American casualties, multiple U.S. officials said. That possibility became reality when two pilots and a flight deck crew member were injured in the two episodes involving the F/A-18 Super Hornets, which fell into the Red Sea from the aircraft carrier Harry S. Truman within 10 days of each other…
But the cost of the operation was staggering. The Pentagon had deployed two aircraft carriers, additional B-2 bombers and fighter jets, as well as Patriot and THAAD air defenses, to the Middle East, officials acknowledged privately. By the end of the first 30 days of the campaign, the cost had exceeded $1 billion, the officials said.
So many precision munitions were being used, especially advanced long-range ones, that some Pentagon contingency planners were growing increasingly concerned about overall stocks and the implications for any situation in which the United States might have to ward off an attempted invasion of Taiwan by China.
And through it all, the Houthis were still shooting at vessels and drones, fortifying their bunkers and moving weapons stockpiles underground.
Airpower as it has been conventionally understood is over. Anti-air defenses are only going to improve, given the pressures created by drone warfare, and what can shoot down a tiny, agile drone is usually going to be able to take down a much larger, much less agile jetfighter.
And yet the Houthis did not manage to shoot down the Israelis on their bombing runs, admittedly fewer though they were. Neither did Iran, nor Syria, which suggests a flaw somewhere in the analysis — not that I have any idea where…
#2
Tanks are obsolete. Aircraft carriers are obsolete. It's all repetitive dialogue. Things enter the combat space, evolution occurs, measures are met by counter measures to include not just technology but application and employments. The limitation with air power is that it does not occupy ground space. If the other guy is the one still standing with a weapon on that hill, he controls the hill.
He definitely has severe faults, but at least he’s working to pull the Democratic party back from the brink in the hope of keeping one of those icky Republlicans from winning the race.
[IsraelTimes] Former governor makes combating antisemitism a focus of campaign in visits to synagogues, frames next month’s primary as a choice between the party’s centrists and leftists
Former New York State governor Andrew Sonny Cuomo took to the stage of Congregation Kehilath Jeshurun in Manhattan on Saturday, making his campaign pitch to the Jewish community from beneath the synagogue’s towering marble facade and vibrant stained glass window.
Cuomo, wearing a black kippah and a yellow ribbon in support of Israeli hostages in Gazoo
...Hellhole adjunct to Israel and Egypt's Sinai Peninsula, inhabited by Gazooks. The place was acquired in the wake of the 1967 War and then presented to Paleostinian control in 2006 by Ariel Sharon, who had entered his dotage. It is currently ruled with a rusty iron fist by Hamas with about the living conditions you'd expect. It periodically attacks the Hated Zionist Entity whenever Iran needs a ruckus created or the hard boyz get bored, getting thumped by the IDF in return. The ruling turbans then wave the bloody shirt and holler loudly about oppression and disproportionate response... , greeted the crowd with "Shabbat shalom," then apologized.
"I’m sorry for the pain and anguish you felt on October 7 and every day since. I’m sorry for any antisemitism you have experienced," he said. "I’m sorry for my mistaken assumption that widespread antisemitism could never happen again in a modern, sophisticated, educated society and certainly not in New York City."
The speech, one of several appearances Cuomo has made at New York City synagogues in recent weeks, came as Cuomo vies for Jewish votes ahead of the city’s mayoral primary on June 24. Polls show Cuomo is leading a crowded field in the primary, which will likely decide the winner of November’s general election in the mostly Democratic city.
Jewish issues have played a significant role in the campaign given the way news about Israel and Gaza has dominated headlines and activist spaces over the past year-plus, and due to the host of issues at play for Jews, such as hate crimes, street protests and yeshivas.
The yeshiva voters plump for the Republican party, so Governor Cuomo isn’t much concerned about their issue.
Cuomo has made combating antisemitism and support for the Jewish community a focus of his campaign, an effort he said was motivated by his longtime connections to the community, and the politics of the moment.
"The Jewish community is important to me first on a personal level," Cuomo told The Times of Israel in a Wednesday interview. "They are literally members of my family, they’re an important part of New York and they are under stress right now with the scourge of antisemitism."
Cuomo framed the vote as a choice between the mainstream Democratic Party and the far-left Democratic Socialists of America (DSA).
Within the Democratic Party, certainly.
Cuomo’s leading challenger, State Assemblymember Zohran Mamdani, is a DSA member who has alarmed Jews with his harsh rhetoric against Israel, such as his criticism of Israel the day after the October 2023 Hamas ..always the voice of sweet reason... invasion. The New York branch of the DSA backed a widely criticized anti-Israel rally in Times Square the same day, and boycotting Israel is one of the party’s central planks.
New York’s Democratic party leadership, including Mayor Eric Adams ...Hizonner da Mare of Noo Yawk. As a Manchurian candidate, Hizonner was all in favor of law and order and that kind of stuff. Once in office, a bunch of his friends found cushy jobs with the city, the windows kept getting broken, and Soros-funded DA Alvin Bragg remained right where he was. Most people comfort themselves with the thought that he's not Bill di Blasio but that's pretty small comfort with kids who actually go to school getting bumped off while standing in front of them. But he's a Dem, so the rubes will vote for him next election too, so he's what they deserve... and Governor Kathy Hochul, have remained staunchly supportive of Israel and the Jewish community. Adams, who shares a centrist base with Cuomo and has long ties to Jewish communities, is running as an independent for his reelection campaign.
Hizzoner won’t go so far as to actually become a Republican (ick!), but the Biden-Harris administration worked to drive him out of their party once he objected to being flooded with illegals bussed up from Texas and Florida.
"You have a schism in the Democratic party right now and this election is in many ways a litmus test of that," Cuomo said.
"I don’t consider them Democrats ...every time you hear the phrase white people, white supremacy,white anything but paint, you're listening to a Democrat. Ask him/her/it to reimagine something for you; they do that a lot, though not well. They can hear a dog whistle a mile or two away. They invented the spoils system and Tammany Hall, and inspired the addition of the word (Thomas) Nasty to the English language. They want to stop continental drift and repeal the law of unintended side effects... , I consider them socialists," Cuomo said of the DSA. "They support BDS, they pledge never to visit Israel. That’s not what I believe is the fundamental relationship between Israel and the Democratic party. As a Democrat, I think it’s synonymous that you support Israel."
"My position is 100% supportive of Israel and it’s a more right issue now because you do have two camps within the Democratic party," he said.
Last year’s primary for New York’s 16th Congressional District covering Westchester County and a sliver of the Bronx was similarly seen as a referendum between the two Democratic party camps. That race pitted centrist pro-Israel George Latimer against Jamaal Firebug Bowman ...sleazy Dem politician and educator, former U.S. representative for New York's safe 16th congressional district since 2021. On September 30, 2023, while House Dems were desperately attempting to delay a vote that avoided shutting the government down so they could blame it on the Pubs, Bowman pulled a fire alarm in the Cannon House Office Building, causing the building to be evacuated. Bowman told reporters he thought it was a doorknob or something. Capitol Police released a statement saying they were investigating the fire alarm incident, and maybe a few rubes somewhere expected something to come of it. Republicans introduced a motion to expel Bowman from the House but that evaporated too. Bowman issued a statement saying they were Nazis. Bowman is a member of The Squad, a faction of like-minded subversives... , a progressive critic of Israel who repeatedly attacked the pro-Israel lobby during his campaign. Latimer won the vote in a stinging defeat for the progressive anti-Israel camp.
Some of the same players are involved in the city’s mayoral race. Bowman criticized Cuomo during an endorsement of Mamdani this week, and a campaign that rallied Jewish constituents for the Westchester race led to a drive focused on the mayoral primary. In both races, organizers told Jewish voters, "Antisemitism is on the ballot."
Jews are targeted in hate crimes more than all other groups combined in New York City, accounting for 62% of all bias incidents reported to police in the first quarter of 2025, according to the mayor’s office. Jews make up around 10% of the city population.
"I’m just astonished and saddened and sickened by where we are, not just what is happening with these incidents, but the lack of outrage by elected officials," Cuomo said. "I would’ve never imagined this was possible and I want to fight it with everything I can."
In addition to speaking at synagogues, Cuomo has met with Jewish community leaders and outlined his plans for combating antisemitism. Those plans include codifying the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance’s working definition of antisemitism, which covers some forms of Israel criticism, into the city’s Human Rights Law; proposing a city masking law to combat antisemitic crimes; and introducing school curriculum on antisemitism and New York’s Jewish history.
Codifying the IHRA definition will allow for enforcement against anti-Jewish discrimination, Cuomo said.
Since the start of the Gaza war, hundreds of anti-Israel protests that feature eliminationist rhetoric toward Israel, support for terrorism, property destruction and antisemitism have unnerved Jewish New Yorkers.
"You can be pro-Paleostinian and you have a right to your opinion and you have a right to demonstrate, but you have no right to destroy public property or private property, or harass or disparage another individual based on race or religion and that’s a legal violation. I will enforce the law," he said.
Hear that, Harvard?
Cuomo has a long record of supporting Israel and the Jewish community as governor to lean on in his campaign, such as passing an anti-BDS bill in 2016, his many visits to Israel, support for business ties between Israel and New York, and legislation aimed at combating antisemitism, including a 2020 bill named for the victim of an antisemitic murder in Monsey, New York. Cuomo was governor from 2011 to 2021, when he resigned amid sexual harassment allegations.
The city is home to an array of Jewish communities, from secular leftists to conservative Orthodox, and political leanings on Israel, antisemitism and other domestic issues vary between different Jewish communities. Cuomo drew the ire of many in the Orthodox and Hasidic communities for his role imposing restrictions on gatherings during the COVID pandemic while he was governor.
Cuomo said he has been having conversations with the Hasidic and Orthodox communities about that controversy. This week, he met with Agudath Israel of America, an ultra-Orthodox umbrella group that sued him over the restrictions in 2020.
Cuomo said that he had been advised to keep restrictions in place due to a virus mutation.
"In retrospect, you can argue that the virus didn’t mutate and we could’ve lifted restrictions sooner," he told The Times of Israel. "I did err on the side of caution because the alternative was apocalyptic. We discussed that issue and I think we resolved that."
Orthodox communities tend to be more conservative, but many members in New York are registered Democrats who can vote in the upcoming primary.
Cuomo has taken fire for his campaign from critics such New York City Comptroller Brad Lander, the city’s highest-ranking Jewish elected official and another primary candidate. Lander defines himself as a progressive Zionist and places around third in polls. New York City uses a ranked-choice voting system that complicates predictions about the election outcome.
After Cuomo criticized Lander in a speech at the West Side Institutional Synagogue last month, Lander cursed Cuomo in Yiddish and attacked his record on Jewish issues. Weeks later, Lander responded in a speech at the same location, saying that Cuomo was weaponizing antisemitism for political points, and that using antisemitism as a political wedge was dangerous for Jews.
"He stood up in this synagogue and called all his opponents — including the highest-ranking Jewish official in New York City — antisemitic, with absolutely zero basis. Why? Not to help us. To help himself," Lander said.
Despite some tensions, Cuomo’s message has found an audience with many Jewish New Yorkers.
At the speech on Saturday, congregants filled the pews, stood along the walls, and applauded throughout as Cuomo spoke out against BDS and equated anti-Zionism with antisemitism.
After Cuomo left the stage, a crowd clustered around him. A mother introduced him to her children, an adolescent boy asked him for advice about getting into politics and an elderly man said, "You’re our best hope."
A multi-volume chronology and reference guide set detailing three years of the Mexican Drug War between 2010 and 2012.
Rantburg.com and borderlandbeat.com correspondent and author Chris Covert presents his first non-fiction work detailing
the drug and gang related violence in Mexico.
Chris gives us Mexican press dispatches of drug and gang war violence
over three years, presented in a multi volume set intended to chronicle the death, violence and mayhem which has
dominated Mexico for six years.
Rantburg was assembled from recycled algorithms in the United States of America. No
trees were destroyed in the production of this weblog. We did hurt some, though. Sorry.