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Droukdel ally banged in Algeria
Today's Headlines
Headline Comments [Views]
Page 2: WoT Background
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1 00:00 Anonymoose [3] 
2 00:00 Besoeker [8] 
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1 00:00 Thing From Snowy Mountain [2] 
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Page 6: Politix
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-Lurid Crime Tales-
New Facebook group: I was also part of the Dubai hit squad
Feeling depressed that are aren't among the millions of people around the world who work for the Mossad? Upset that the Dubai Police Chief hasn't personally named you as a chief assassin yet? Now's your chance -- you too can join the "I was also in the Dubai hit-squad" Facebook group. Click here to join.

JoeSettler reports that someone (with way too much time on their hands) opened up facebook personality accounts for every single "assasin" listed by the Dubai police, complete with pictures, hobbies, etc.
Posted by: Atomic Conspiracy || 02/26/2010 00:00 || Comments || Link || [8 views] Top|| File under:

#1  "I am Spartacus!"
Posted by: Anguper Hupomosing9418 || 02/26/2010 11:20 Comments || Top||

#2  There's another page, in Hebrew, where the members post messages such as "Here's a video from our vacation in Dubai".
Posted by: Uleng Bourbon7867 || 02/26/2010 12:51 Comments || Top||

#3  All together now:

"Secret AY-gent man!"
Posted by: mojo || 02/26/2010 17:42 Comments || Top||


Stratfor: The Utility of Assassination
The apparent Israeli assassination of a Hamas operative in the United Arab Emirates turned into a bizarre event replete with numerous fraudulent passports, alleged Israeli operatives caught on videotape and international outrage (much of it feigned), more over the use of fraudulent passports than over the operative's death. If we are to believe the media, it took nearly 20 people and an international incident to kill him.

STRATFOR has written on the details of the killing as we have learned of them, but we see this as an occasion to address a broader question: the role of assassination in international politics.

Defining Assassination
Continued on Page 49
Posted by: Goober Crealet3411 || 02/26/2010 00:00 || Comments || Link || [10 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Assassination is far more effective against a culture oriented in a hierarchical social structure, see 'strong horse', than against a democratic culture.

One story from the Afghan conflict is the view of our opponent. When they shot Soviet officers, the men retreated. When they shoot British or French officers, the men hunker down and await new orders. When they shoot American officers, the troops keep attacking. There's a critical mass that, as reflected even in the Tea Party Movement, that no man is better than another and that we are equal. We value each other equally. In such a society, taking out 'leaders' doesn't have the effect as it would on a society encased in hierarchical arrangements of power and authority and the rituals of ascendancy.

The converse is also true, as our opponents on the battlefield and the MSM have played each death of a soldier and the body count game. Since we are all of equal value, its the numbers that count and not the individuals. That is viewed as the center of gravity to be played against us.

However, from that perspective, the killing of each citizen by the likes of Hamas be it by bullet, bomb, or rocket is an assassination.
Posted by: Procopius2k || 02/26/2010 7:38 Comments || Top||

#2  Rot.

Stratfor probably opposes capital punishment for the same reasons.

These people need to die. If there are more people like them that need to die, they should also.

What is desirable about assassination is that only the people who need to die are killed, unlike the battlefield where plenty of innocents die as "collateral damage" and for the killing on which Stratfor seems to have no major objection.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble || 02/26/2010 8:41 Comments || Top||

#3  Is Stratfor still a mouthpiece for the oil-field Arabists, or am I letting my early impressions of the site blossom into an unwarrantable prejudiced dismissal?
Posted by: Mitch H. || 02/26/2010 8:57 Comments || Top||

#4  Stratfor = Some guy with a computer in his Mom's basement.
Posted by: Parabellum || 02/26/2010 9:42 Comments || Top||

#5  There are some other interesting variables to assassination. The first is payback: is the enemy organization likely to respond with effective counter-assassination?

The second is promotion: Israel once assassinated a South American terrorist leader, and his replacement was Carlos the Jackal, a far more effective terrorist.

The third is deniability: top assassins recruit local nuts to be their trigger men, and are two countries away in the Holiday Inn sipping martinis when the hit goes down.

The fourth is the message: Is the purpose of assassination just death, or is it to send a message? This is in infamous, if fictional, "extreme prejudice."

The fifth is the means: should it look like a homicide, or an accident? If several assassinations are planned, you don't want subsequent kills to put their guard up.

Sixth is the assassination decision making process. There are always more candidates for assassination than are practical, or even desirable. So the list must be scrutinized, as well as the time frame for the hit. This leads to a hierarchy of targets, to maximize the effect of the hit.

Seventh, as with a military operation, the most important part of an assassination plan is the mission, what you want the assassination to accomplish.

And finally eighth, mission abortion. Many assassinations are aborted before execution, so there has to be a clear communications channel open to the assassins, in case the situation has changed.
Posted by: Anonymoose || 02/26/2010 10:08 Comments || Top||

#6  #4 Stratfor = Some guy with a computer in his Mom's basement. Posted by Parabellum

Whahaaha... and now you've BURNED him! I silently chuckle a bit when I hear STRATFOR referenced on 'The Factor.'
Posted by: Besoeker || 02/26/2010 10:15 Comments || Top||

#7  The Israelis should learn from their failure to not only dismantle Black September, but the PLO and Arafat at the time. The only mistake the Israelis made in Dubai, if in fact Mossad is solely responsible, is not quietly "disappearing" al-Mabhouh. "Enhanced interrogation" followed by mob-style body disposal would have left everyone looking over their shoulder. And by Strat-for's rationale, 'utilizing' a few top clerics is morally justified, not only by Israel, but by the US, Britain, Spain, Russia, Indonesia, the Phillippines,......
Posted by: Lumpy Elmoluck5091 || 02/26/2010 10:25 Comments || Top||

#8  The only mistake the Israelis made in Dubai, if in fact Mossad is solely responsible, is not quietly "disappearing" al-Mabhouh, Lumpy Elmoluck5091 .

No dead body, no concrete message. Besides, body disposal has it's very own inherent risks and very well might make one late for a scheduled flight out of country and back to Europe for the graduation exercise dinner and final critique.
Posted by: Besoeker || 02/26/2010 10:31 Comments || Top||

#9  to dispose of the body, they would've needed 43 other agents.

this investigation is a joke. I'm really pissed I wasn't named as one of the 189,655 suspects
Posted by: Frank G || 02/26/2010 11:04 Comments || Top||

#10  I am Spartacus!
Posted by: SteveS || 02/26/2010 13:34 Comments || Top||

#11  I'm really pissed I wasn't named as one of the 189,655 suspects
Frank G,
It's not too late, you can always set up your own spy page on Facebook
Posted by: tipper || 02/26/2010 13:41 Comments || Top||

#12  the killing of Adm. Isoroku Yamamoto by the Americans in World War II was a targeted killing, an assassination
No, it was not an assassination, it was an act of war. Is there something about the English language that is that difficult to get right?
Posted by: Anguper Hupomosing9418 || 02/26/2010 15:08 Comments || Top||


Afghanistan
Afghan army improving, not ready to go it alone
Posted by: ed || 02/26/2010 09:30 || Comments || Link || [3 views] Top|| File under:

#1  When the US military sets its mind to training a foreign military, it is a miracle worker. The big question is are we teaching the Afghan soldiers literacy? Being able to read and write accelerates other learning many times.
Posted by: Anonymoose || 02/26/2010 9:47 Comments || Top||


Afghans give US soldiers a run for their money
The battalion commander pondered the question: How much is a tree worth? Warrior one day, haggler the next. Lt. Col. Burton Shields was talking to an Afghan farmer who said the Americans had damaged five trees on his property in an operation against the Taliban near the town of Marjah, where NATO forces are fighting insurgent holdouts.
Posted by: ed || 02/26/2010 09:20 || Comments || Link || [8 views] Top|| File under:

#1  I'm sure he will be paid in a more timely manner than any US citizen would be if one of our trees was torn down by a road crew
Posted by: chris || 02/26/2010 13:13 Comments || Top||

#2  Those trees would have provided deadfall twits and branches for 10,000 cooking fires. Also shade and refuge for 1000 goats per day x (years)...which could have fed 10,000 starving children and village members. Did I mention starving children?....which could have.........

Maneuver Damage Officer (MDO). Once his work starts it never, never ends.
Posted by: Besoeker || 02/26/2010 14:29 Comments || Top||


China-Japan-Koreas
North Korea warns US over planned military drill
North Korea's military has strongly condemned the upcoming joint US-South Korean war games in the tense peninsula.

On Thursday, an army spokesman said in Pyongyang that the drill is a rehearsal for the invasion of the North.

It cautioned that it will respond to any aggression with nuclear weapons, if necessary.

The United States is expected to send 18,000 troops to South Korea for the maneuver, which is scheduled for 8 March 2010.

Seoul and Pyongyang remain technically at war. The Korean War between 1950 and 1953 ended with a truce but not a peace treaty.
Posted by: Fred || 02/26/2010 00:00 || Comments || Link || [8 views] Top|| File under: Commies

#1  Dear North Korea:

Ah, shaddap.

Love,
America


Mike
Posted by: Mike Kozlowski || 02/26/2010 5:06 Comments || Top||

#2  We train, they complain. Happens every year. *yawn*
Posted by: Spot || 02/26/2010 13:25 Comments || Top||

#3  Never say never.

Always keep in mind that, prior to WW2, many rational Americans held the attitude and belief that iff Nazi Germany + Japan made war agz the US, they would surely lose, ERGO THEY WOULDN'T WAGE WAR = WEREN'T STUPID ENUFF TO WILFULLY START A WAR AGZ THE US THAT THEY WOULD LOSE, THAT THEY MUST KNOW OR REALIZE THEY WOULD LOSE.

History records that JAPAN attacked Pearl Harbor on 12/7/1941, after which Nazi Germany declared war on the US a few days later.

* KOREAN WAR > the US believed the CHINESE weren't supposed to be technologically or economically able to militarily intervene in Korea so soon after the end of the 1949 Chin Civil War [MAO-VS-CHIANG], BUT THEY DID AND FORCED MACARTHUR'S BOYZ TO RETREAT FROM THE YALU [ e.g. CHOSIN Reservoir].

* 1968 TET?

* 1973 YOM KIPPUR WAR?

* FULDA GAP > "CONTROLLED ESCALATION" = US-NATO believed that the USSR would never use MASSIVE/OVERWHELMING NUMBERS OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS in ANY OPENING CONVENTIONAL FIRST-STRIKE AGZ NATO FORCES IN WESTERN EUROPE.

US-NATO were wrong.
Posted by: JosephMendiola || 02/26/2010 20:36 Comments || Top||


Europe
Danish daily issues apology over prophet drawing
A Danish newspaper on Friday apologized for offending Muslims by reprinting a cartoon of the Prophet Muhammad with a bomb-shaped turban, rekindling heated debate about the limits of freedom of speech.

Danish daily Politiken said its apology was part of a settlement with a Saudi lawyer representing eight Muslim groups in the Middle East and Australia.

It drew strong criticism among Danish media, which previously had stood united in rejecting calls to apologize for 12 Muhammad cartoons that sparked fierce protests in the Muslim world four years ago.

The Saudi lawyer representing the Muslim groups, Faisal Yamani, has been demanding apologies from 11 Danish newspapers that reprinted the cartoon. Politiken is the only one so far to have reached a settlement.
Posted by: ed || 02/26/2010 09:34 || Comments || Link || [6 views] Top|| File under:

#1  The only legitimate response is to "hit 'em again, harder". The newspapers should be escalating, by doing many more cartoons. They need to use the axiom that familiarity breeds contempt, which in this case could be a lifesaver.
Posted by: Anonymoose || 02/26/2010 9:42 Comments || Top||

#2  "We are sorry we reprinted that picture of Mohamhead with the bomb-shaped turban. And next time we accidentally reprint it, we'll be sorry then, too. So relax, haters."
Posted by: gorb || 02/26/2010 11:20 Comments || Top||

#3  "representins muslim groups in Australia and the middle east" maybe htey should just give up their subscription too a Danish newspaper
Posted by: chris || 02/26/2010 13:09 Comments || Top||

#4  "Sorry you guys have no sense of humor about your psycho profit."
Posted by: mojo || 02/26/2010 13:18 Comments || Top||

#5  Hey Moose, you ever know of the USS Harder? Now that was some good "Tang"! "Hit'em Harder"
Posted by: Goldenshellback || 02/26/2010 13:52 Comments || Top||

#6  In contrast the American MSM did not apologize to this Saoodi thug lawyer because they'd never shown the cartoons in the first place.
Posted by: Pancho Snusoting2092 || 02/26/2010 16:23 Comments || Top||

#7  drill for oil and often.
Posted by: HammerHead || 02/26/2010 18:09 Comments || Top||


How to: Denmark Rallies Public Behind Afghan War
Among allied forces fighting in Afghanistan, few countries have deployed a bigger share of their armed forces than Denmark, and fewer still have taken higher levels of casualties. But the small Scandinavian country is emerging as an unlikely example of how to maintain public support for the war.

The popularity of the international campaign in Afghanistan has fallen across Europe and in the U.S. On Tuesday, the Dutch government set a June 9 date for general elections, nearly one year ahead of schedule. The move followed the unraveling of Netherlands' coalition government last weekend after it failed win support to extend the mandate of the nation's 1,600 troops in Afghanistan, presaging a likely withdrawal this year.

U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates warned Tuesday that the NATO military alliance is facing "very serious, long-term, systemic problems" sparked by European nations' unwillingness to adequately fund their militaries.
Continued on Page 49
Posted by: trailing wife || 02/26/2010 00:00 || Comments || Link || [10 views] Top|| File under:


Home Front: WoT
Slam her to the max: Judges rightly demand hard time for terror moll Stewart
A group of federal appeals judges have gone out of their way to signal that terror-abetting lawyer Lynne Stewart must be imprisoned for far longer than the 28 months to which she was originally sentenced.

Thank you very much, Your Honors.

Stewart, a longtime radical activist, was convicted of passing deadly messages for a client who happened to be the mastermind of the 1993 World Trade Center bombing. But, citing Stewart's history of representing unpopular clients, her trial judge, John Koeltl, meted out punishment appropriate for a minor offense.

A divided appeals panel balked at the sentence. The majority said Koeltl also should have factored in whether Stewart had committed perjury, while the minority focused on the traitorous nature of her conduct.

Now, five senior 2nd Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals judges have used an arcane procedural decision to volunteer their thoughts as to what Stewart really deserves. It's bye-bye, baby, for her.

Chief Judge Dennis Jacobs, joined by Judges Richard Wesley and Peter Hall, wrote of Stewart:

"Her offense tends to erode judicial confidence that lawyers can be entrusted with national secrets - or (as in this case) with the means to trigger or promote a mass slaughter of innocents."

Based on Stewart's posttrial statements, Jacobs added, "For her, supporting and promoting terrorism remains acceptable."

Judge Jose Cabranes, with Judge Reena Raggi, was even more explicit in arguing, unsuccessfully, that the appeals court should have used the case to enforce standards for terrorism sentences.

Cabranes noted that Koeltl ignored federal guidelines that called for Stewart to be sentenced to 30 years.

"The unreasonableness of [a 28-month] sentence for a crime whose ultimate object - terrorism - threatens countless innocent lives would appear obvious," Cabranes wrote.

Stewart was the handmaiden of blind Sheik Omar Abdel-Rahman, who had also plotted to blow up city landmarks and kill the president of Egypt. She is 70. A 30-year stretch would surely be a life sentence. She is deserving, and Koeltl must do his duty as instructed by wiser superiors.
Posted by: Fred || 02/26/2010 00:00 || Comments || Link || [3 views] Top|| File under: al-Qaeda

#1  Koeltl is clearly incompetent, and should be censured at the least, more preferably removed.
Posted by: Whiskey Mike || 02/26/2010 5:09 Comments || Top||

#2  She's got a face for radio, that's for sure...
Posted by: Raj || 02/26/2010 8:14 Comments || Top||

#3  my guess would be she won't ever do a day in jail
Posted by: chris || 02/26/2010 13:16 Comments || Top||

#4  On November 19, 2009, Stewart surrendered to U.S. Marshals in New York City to begin serving a 28-month sentence as prisoner #53504-054.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble || 02/26/2010 13:18 Comments || Top||

#5  She's pissed cause there's a "No Beard" policy in jail.
Posted by: HammerHead || 02/26/2010 18:07 Comments || Top||

#6  and frequent showers
Posted by: Frank G || 02/26/2010 18:09 Comments || Top||

#7  Her facilitation of the Blind Freak's abrogation of the ceasefire with Egypt led to the murder of 64 people at Luxor in 1997 including three generations of the Turner family from the UK.
Posted by: HammerHead || 02/26/2010 18:33 Comments || Top||

#8  sorry nimble I forgot she surrendered herself after the appeal that had been going on for several years after she was found guilty! Now she has served around 4 months she will be pardoned secretly by the white house and turned loose.
Posted by: chris || 02/26/2010 21:14 Comments || Top||

#9  Here's hoping lightning strikes twice.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble || 02/26/2010 22:00 Comments || Top||


Two Accused of Plotting With Zazi
NEW YORK--Two Queens, N.Y., men were charged Thursday with conspiring with a Colorado man to stage a bomb attack in the New York City subway system last September.

Zarein Ahmedzay, a cab driver, and Adis Medunjanin, a part-time building superintendent, were charged in a five-count superseding indictment with conspiracy to use weapons of mass destruction, conspiracy to commit murder in a foreign country, providing material support to al Qaeda and receiving military-type training from al Qaeda.

Mr. Ahmedzay, 25 years old, also is charged with making false statements to Federal Bureau of Investigation agents.

They face life in prison on the conspiracy to use weapons of mass destruction charge. They pleaded not guilty to the new charges in U.S. District Court in Brooklyn.

Prosecutors from the U.S. Attorney's office in Brooklyn alleged that Messrs. Ahmedzay and Medunjanin conspired with Mr. Zazi, 25, to conduct a terrorist attack on the Manhattan subway lines between Sept. 14 and 16.

Mr. Zazi, an Afghan native who worked as an airport shuttle driver in Colorado, pleaded guilty Monday to conspiracy to use weapons of mass destruction and other charges in U.S. District Court in Brooklyn.
Posted by: trailing wife || 02/26/2010 00:00 || Comments || Link || [6 views] Top|| File under:


India-Pakistan
Pak Army officers suspected in Mumbai attacks
[Dawn] A serving Pakistani Army officer has been named in one of the three dossiers handed over by India to Pakistan for his suspected involvement in the Mumbai terror attacks, reports DawnNews.

The dossier has also named another retired Major and two other officers as 'Major Iqbal' and 'Major Samir Ali.

The three dossiers were handed over during the Indo-Pak Foreign secretary level talks.

The role of 'Major Iqbal' is believed to have emerged in the interrogation by the FBI of US terror suspect David Headley, arrested in Chicago in September last year in connection with the Mumbai attack.

India has named eight people, including 'Major Iqbal' and Hafiz Saeed, the leader of the Jamaat-ud-Dawa.

India wants Pakistan to take action against these men and then hand them over to India.

One of the dossiers also demands the handing over of seven Khalistani militants, in which four of seven Khalsitani militants were named as Jagtar Singh Hawara alias Tara, Ranjeet Singh alias Neeta, Harminder Singh and Lakhvinder singh alias Rody. Seventeen Indian Mujahideen terrorists which includes five Pakistani nationals for their role in subversive activities.
Posted by: Fred || 02/26/2010 00:00 || Comments || Link || [10 views] Top|| File under: Govt of Pakistan


Nuggets from the Urdu Press
Crisis bigger than NRO

Writing in Jang Hamid Mir stated that, according to the Supreme Court judge Justice Javed Iqbal, if Pakistan was unable to solve the case of disappeared persons democracy will be endangered. The fact is that secret institutions became offended with Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry when he insisted that they produce before him the people they had in their custody. They started prejudicing Musharraf against him, something that finally led to the dismissal of the court.

Nadeem Ejaz and Chief Justice
Continued on Page 49
Posted by: john frum || 02/26/2010 00:00 || Comments || Link || [12 views] Top|| File under:


Iraq
Iraq to reinstate officers from Saddams army
[Al Arabiya Latest] More than 20,000 army officers who served under deposed Iraqi president Saddam Hussein are to be reinstated, a defense ministry spokesman said on Thursday, as Iraq's Sunni block decided to end elections boycott. "Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki gave his consent to reinstate 20,400 officers" who had made a request, Mohammad al-Askari said.
They did such a good job fighting us off the army really feels like it needs them...
The United States dissolved Saddam's 450,000-strong army shortly after the 2003 U.S.-led invasion.

Iraq's leading Sunni Arab political bloc meanwhile announced that it will take part in next month's general election and urged its followers to turn out in numbers. The about-face by the National Dialogue Front (NDF) comes just five days after it said it was withdrawing from the vote, only the second parliamentary poll since the invasion.

"We call on the Iraqi people to vote massively to avoid fraud, despite our reservations concerning the electoral process," Saleh al-Mutlak, a Sunni MP who has been barred from standing for re-election on the grounds of alleged links to the Baath party of now executed dictator Saddam Hussein, told AFP.

Mutlak, who was among 456 candidates who were barred, highlighted "the exclusion of candidates, which is hurting the legitimacy of the election."

On Saturday, the NDF said that its 175 candidates would no longer stand in protest at what it said was Iranian interference in the poll. However, electoral authorities told AFP the boycott was largely symbolic and had no official status because the deadline for parties to withdraw had passed and ballot papers had already been printed.

Mutlak was the main Sunni figure in Shiite former premier Iyad Allawi's secular Iraqiya list. His disqualification is a setback for Allawi's bid to unseat Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki and hopes for reconciliation.

"We are concerned that the situation will deteriorate in the event that Iraqiya does not win, and we are sure that Iraqiya will not win if we do not participate," Mutlak said.
Posted by: Fred || 02/26/2010 00:00 || Comments || Link || [3 views] Top|| File under: Iraqi Baath Party

#1  These birds are fish out of water. They are "old school" and have none of the years of training and military schooling for the rest of the Iraqi officers corps. As such, they can't be given command, and can't be given responsibility over anything that demands expertise, or anything they might steal.

So the best bet would be to put them all on Iranian border patrol, with instructions to count every sand flea they encounter.
Posted by: Anonymoose || 02/26/2010 10:16 Comments || Top||


Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Iran launches Saeqeh fighter-bomber squadron
The Iranian military has introduced a new squadron of domestically-manufactured Saeqeh fighter-bombers to the country's Air Force to strengthen its deterrence power.
Well, no. Televised pictures indicate the new plane is a modified F-5 fighter jet - a U.S.-made aircraft that was supplied to Iran before the Islamic revolution in 1979.
"This fleet is the first fighter-bomber squadron made up of domestically manufactured aircraft," a top Air Force officer, Seyyed Mohammad Alavi, explained on Wednesday. "The plane's parts have all been produced inside the country in a joint project between the Defense Ministry and the Air Force," he added.
And it they go up against the U.S., all the burning parts will fall inside the country
Alavi did not elaborate on the number of aircraft in the squadron, but said that several new Saeqeh fighters would be added at a later date making a full fleet of 24 aircraft. The senior Air Force officer also said that all the pilots that were to fly the planes had been trained in Iran.

Alavi went into further detail about the Saeqeh aircraft, pointing out that the fighter-bomber had the ability to track down enemy aircraft, engage in combat, target locations on the ground, and attract carry an assortment of weapons and ammunition. Finally, Alavi said that in the coming years, the Air Force also plans to produce new generations of the Saeqeh with enhanced features.
Posted by: Fred || 02/26/2010 00:00 || Comments || Link || [11 views] Top|| File under:

#1  The Saeqeh fighter: 1950's technology today!

Al
Posted by: Frozen Al || 02/26/2010 11:11 Comments || Top||

#2  AKA: the "Splash" fighter
Posted by: mojo || 02/26/2010 15:33 Comments || Top||


Jundallah arrest proves timely for Iran
If the snow-covered Elbruz mountains rising just north of Tehran took on an extra glint in the bright wintry sunshine on Wednesday, there was good reason. It was the morning after the dramatic capture of the 31-year-old leader of the dreaded Pakistan-based terrorist group Jundallah, Abdulmalik Rigi, in a stunning operation by Iranian intelligence.

The Soureh Cinema Institute in Tehran and Iran's Ministry of Culture and Islamic Guidance are already contemplating making a movie about the capture of Rigi, who headed Jundallah (Soldiers of God), a Sunni insurgent group that operates mostly in Iran's southeastern province of Sistan-Balochistan against the Shi'ite regime.

The operation had all the ingredients of a thriller. From available details, Iranian intelligence, which has been stalking Rigi for months, grabbed him while he was on a flight from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) to Kyrgyzstan. The aircraft was forced to land in Bandar Abbas, in southern Iran, where Rigi and an accomplice were forcibly deplaned.

However, Rigi's capture has wider ramifications going well beyond the stuff of high drama. For one thing, the Iranian public was dazzled by the intelligence operation and it has provided a morale boost at a critical juncture when the West is besieging Iran over its nuclear program and the political class in Tehran is more polarized than at any time in the three decades of the Islamic Republic.

Ironically, the Iranian performance stands out in sharp contrast with the fallout from the Israeli intelligence operation in Dubai in the UAE to assassinate prominent Hamas leader Mahmoud al-Mabhouh on January 19. (See Dubai hit exposes Hamas' weaknesses, Asia Times Online, February 23) Iranian Interior Minister Mostafa Mohammad Najjar made this clear when he said, "Such an operation by the Islamic Republic's security forces indicates that the country's intelligence and security have the upper hand in the region."

No doubt, Iranian public opinion will identify with this mood of self-confidence, no matter the political persuasions of various factions at this current juncture as regards the ruling establishment.

In turn, that would have implications for the United States-Iran standoff. But that is only one aspect. The fact is that Tehran has put Washington on the back foot at a critical juncture. Rigi is bound to spill the beans - he may already have begun - and much is going to surface about the covert activities by the US forces based in Afghanistan to subvert Iran by hobnobbing with Jundallah, which, incidentally, is also known to have links with al-Qaeda.

Rigi apparently had a meeting with his US mentors in an American base just a day before his journey to the UAE. It seems he was traveling with a fake Afghan passport provided by the Americans. A lot of highly embarrassing details are trickling in already that will be eagerly lapped up by the so-called "Arab street" and which will make the entire American position on the situation around Iran look rather weak.

The American doublespeak on terrorism comes out all too starkly. The big question is whether Pakistan played a helpful role in Rigi's capture. Iranian officials flatly insist that Rigi's capture was "fully carried out" by Iranian agencies, including its "management, operation and planning" and the credit goes "solely to our country's security and task forces".

Iranian Intelligence Minister Hojjatoleslam Heydar Moslehi, who is also an influential clerical figure, has stated categorically that "no other country had a share in this success".

But Persian is a highly nuanced language. What is significant is that while Iranian officials have unhesitatingly pointed their finger at the US as Rigi's top mentor, there has not been a single reference direct or implied about Pakistan that could be construed as critical or unfriendly. This must be noted as on several occasions in recent months Iranian officials publicly expressed their anguish that Pakistani intelligence was involved with Jundallah in one way or another, and that Islamabad was not doing enough to live up to its claims of being a friendly neighbor.

Tehran repeatedly passed on intelligence and urged Islamabad to extradite Rigi following the deadly attack by Jundallah in Sistan-Balochistan province in October, which resulted in the killing of 42 people, including several high-ranking Iranian military commanders.

On balance, Islamabad seems to have implied that it did cooperate with Tehran on Rigi's capture. The Pakistani ambassador in Tehran, Mohammad Baksh Abbasi, took the unusual step of "underlining Islamabad's support" for Rigi's arrest. Abbasi held a press conference to affirm, "Rigi's arrest showed that there is no place for Iran's enemies in Pakistan." Shorn of diplomatese, Abbasi claimed a share of the credit that Tehran was bent on exclusively hogging. But Maslehi was plainly dismissive about any Pakistani role.

If there was a Pakistani role in Rigi's capture there would be deep implications for regional security. Most certainly, Islamabad could claim reciprocal "goodwill" from Iran, such as accommodating its own interests in Afghanistan. On the other hand, Iranian officials have made it clear that Tehran is not indebted to anyone, including Pakistan.

Tehran remains deeply concerned about the US strategy in Afghanistan and Pakistan's role in it. In the Iranian estimation, the US strategy aims at consolidating a long-term North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) presence in Afghanistan and Central Asia. Equally, Pakistan's growing ties with NATO as the alliance's South Asian "pillar" have not escaped Iranian attention. There is no denying the fact that NATO-Pakistan ties are fast assuming a strategic character and have exceeded the immediate requirements of practical cooperation in Afghanistan.
Posted by: Fred || 02/26/2010 00:00 || Comments || Link || [14 views] Top|| File under: Govt of Iran

#1  TOPIX > [Iranian TV]CAPTURED JUNDALLAH GROUP LEADER RIGI SAYS US OFFERED MILITARY BASE, UNLIMITED ASSISTANCE TO DETABILIZE IRAN.

* NEWS KERALA > AL QAEDA-LINKED IRAN REBEL GROUP SELECTS NEW LEADER [Haj Mohammed Zaher Baluch], after capture of RIGI; + AL QAEDA-LINKED JUNDALLAH GROUP [aka People's Resistance MOvement of Iran]VOWS TO CONTINUE PEOPLE'S WAR AGZ TEHRAN DESPITE AREST OF LEADER.
Posted by: JosephMendiola || 02/26/2010 20:19 Comments || Top||


Home Front: Culture Wars
Gallup Poll: American support for Israel now 63%
15% prefer Palestinians. The previously unsure have chosen a side. Graph at link.
Posted by: trailing wife || 02/26/2010 00:00 || Comments || Link || [2 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Some appreciable fraction of that 63% have a very very strange way of showing it.
Posted by: Thing From Snowy Mountain || 02/26/2010 17:14 Comments || Top||



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Two weeks of WOT
Fri 2010-02-26
  Droukdel ally banged in Algeria
Thu 2010-02-25
  Qari Mohammad Zafar titzup
Wed 2010-02-24
  Iran grounds plane with Rigi holding US-issued passport
Tue 2010-02-23
  Another Taliban Big Turban Nabbed in Pakistain
Mon 2010-02-22
  Mali frees al-Qaeda members ahead of French hostage deadline
Sun 2010-02-21
  Abu Sayyaf commander Albader Parad banged in Philippines raid
Sat 2010-02-20
  Senior Qaeda military commander killed in Predator strike
Fri 2010-02-19
  Afghan Taliban chiefs arrested in Pakistani sweeps
Thu 2010-02-18
  MILF rejects Philippines autonomy offer
Wed 2010-02-17
  Mullah Omar issues 'Victory Declaration'
Tue 2010-02-16
  Secret Joint Raid Captures Mullah Barader in Karachi
Mon 2010-02-15
  Two al-Qaeda members arrested after clash with Mauritanian security services
Sun 2010-02-14
  Taliban leaders flee as marines hit stronghold
Sat 2010-02-13
  8 confirmed dead, 33 injured in blast at Pune bakery
Fri 2010-02-12
  Ahmadinejad hails nuke Iran on Revolution Day


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