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2003-05-14 East Asia

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Posted by Steve White 2003-05-14 01:32 am|| || Front Page|| [4 views since 2007-05-07] Top

#1 Like I said in an earlier comment a week or two ago, SARS has the possibility of being China's Chernobyl. It is not necessarily the magnitude of the outbreak of the disease, but the fact that the ChiComs covered it up and are still lying to their people that may shake any confidence in the govt. The Chicoms can't manage this one, it is managing them.

Posted by Alaska Paul 5/14/2003 11:11:15 AM|| 5/14/2003 11:11:15 AM|| Front Page Top

#2 I hope it does.

Posted by Mike N. 2003-05-14 06:46:24|| 2003-05-14 06:46:24|| Front Page Top

#3 Don't forget that the largest manufacturer in Communist China is the PLA. If this spreads in secret in the PLA, it could really impact their economy.

I've been blogging as I can the SARS outbreak. Communist China has been lying from the beginning on their stats. As of yesterday's numbers, their death rate was the lowest of all countries reporting major outbreaks, 12.9%. Canada is 18.2%, Hong Kong 17.1%, etc. How likely is it that the nation where SARS originated, and that has the highest number of cases also has the lowest death rate?

Posted by Chuck 2003-05-14 09:18:23|| [blog.simmins.org] 2003-05-14 09:18:23|| Front Page Top

#4 Chuck, as usual, is on the money. How anyone can accept any "news" from China on any disaster like SARS defines gullibility. The likely toll will only become clear years from now by extrapolating stats from isolated pockets able to be fact-checked.

Posted by Frank G 2003-05-14 09:55:54|| 2003-05-14 09:55:54|| Front Page Top

#5 A joint military excercise between North Korea and China's liberated military of the people would be interesting.

Posted by Lucky 2003-05-14 10:29:06|| 2003-05-14 10:29:06|| Front Page Top

#6 Like I said in an earlier comment a week or two ago, SARS has the possibility of being China's Chernobyl. It is not necessarily the magnitude of the outbreak of the disease, but the fact that the ChiComs covered it up and are still lying to their people that may shake any confidence in the govt. The Chicoms can't manage this one, it is managing them.

Posted by Alaska Paul 2003-05-14 11:11:15|| 2003-05-14 11:11:15|| Front Page Top

#7 Ditto Paul. Watch as some grieving peasant realizes that his soldier son died because his 'government' hid the facts, and starts potting pols. Then a Gdansk.

Posted by Scott 2003-05-14 11:23:11|| 2003-05-14 11:23:11|| Front Page Top

#8 While I doubt Communist China's reported death rate, that's not really the issue. SARS doesn't kill that many people. Today's reported death toll is 267 (from November 1 to today). Even if you add three zeros to that, 267,000 is still not very many people in a country of 1,100,000,000 people.

What is costly are the sick days lost of production, and those lost to massive quarantines. Flu kills 38,000 Americans every year, but costs billions in lost productivity. Communist China's economy hovers between subsistance and industrial and it needs all of the industry it can keep running not to slide backwards.

Today's numbers are at the WHO here.

Posted by Chuck 2003-05-14 15:39:12|| [blog.simmins.org] 2003-05-14 15:39:12|| Front Page Top

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