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2020-10-13 Home Front: Politix
Drudge Report - Biden has 91% chance of winning
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Posted by Besoeker 2020-10-13 06:02|| || Front Page|| [11130 views ]  Top

#1 Is that the percentage chance of his senatorial campaign?
Posted by airandee 2020-10-13 06:44||   2020-10-13 06:44|| Front Page Top

#2 Who is Drudge?
Posted by Mad Eye Angonter1301 2020-10-13 07:32||   2020-10-13 07:32|| Front Page Top

#3 I had Bee.

Also, Drudge Report is still around?
Posted by SteveS 2020-10-13 07:58||   2020-10-13 07:58|| Front Page Top

#4 and he'll do a great job taking over from President Hillary!
Posted by Bob Grorong1136 2020-10-13 08:08||   2020-10-13 08:08|| Front Page Top

#5 Out of the 10 most recent polls used, 9 were "likely voters", 7 were online.

Prior to August 15th polls were mostly registered voters. An obvious switch of data points stacking the results. DNC Pravda is laying it on thick with no worries of being reported as liars.
Posted by Woodrow 2020-10-13 08:11||   2020-10-13 08:11|| Front Page Top

#6 Ref #5: Pravda is laying it on thick with no worries of being reported as liars.

Not much of a concern with our MSM either.
Posted by Besoeker 2020-10-13 08:18||   2020-10-13 08:18|| Front Page Top

#7  with no worries of being reported as liars.

Reported? No. Believed to be liars by the general population? Absolutely.

Their only hope is to create enough noise that it will depress Republican turnout.
Posted by trailing wife 2020-10-13 08:27||   2020-10-13 08:27|| Front Page Top

#8 So, no need to risk covid by going to a voting station?
Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-10-13 08:47||   2020-10-13 08:47|| Front Page Top

#9 Or the more dangerous than covid option of driving to the voting station.
Posted by Bright Pebbles 2020-10-13 09:08||   2020-10-13 09:08|| Front Page Top

#10 About a week ago, O'Reilly was interviewed on News Max and he also said Biden is likely to take the election.

I don't believe it. IMO, we are in for a repeat of 2016 but even with a larger margin. There is no enthusiasm for Biden. A handful of people show up at Biden rallies if anyone shows at all. Compare that with Trump rallies. They are huge even in this COVID-19 environment.
Posted by JohnQC 2020-10-13 10:03||   2020-10-13 10:03|| Front Page Top

#11 just setting up so they can say trump cheated. I can't wait until journalist start getting strung up.
Posted by Chris 2020-10-13 11:59||   2020-10-13 11:59|| Front Page Top

#12 just setting up so they can say trump cheated.

Just setting up so they can cheat.
Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-10-13 12:08||   2020-10-13 12:08|| Front Page Top

#13 Clinton Has 90% Chance of Winning
Posted by Matt 2020-10-13 12:14||   2020-10-13 12:14|| Front Page Top

#14 @Matt2030

Clinton had 92% chances
Posted by JFM 2020-10-13 13:02||   2020-10-13 13:02|| Front Page Top

#15 110% Chance with all of those Magic Mail-In Ballots™.
Posted by magpie 2020-10-13 13:02||   2020-10-13 13:02|| Front Page Top

#16 If Biden is going to win then why is the attendance to his meetings so low? Why so few "Biden" signs in front of homes? He is doing far worse than Trump and far worse than Clinton did in 2016
Posted by JFM 2020-10-13 13:04||   2020-10-13 13:04|| Front Page Top

#17 Kamala is Corbyn in drag...

And looking at Biden he might not even make it to inauguration...

Will Americans elect the Willie Brown sucker as president?
Posted by Bright Pebbles 2020-10-13 13:19||   2020-10-13 13:19|| Front Page Top

#18 So Drudge is so f'ed up now that he totally "forgot" what happened four years ago.

But going up against the MSM, Farcebook, Twitter, YouTube, Hollywood, etc., it ain't easy (but evidently they didn't learn their lesson from four years ago, either, isn't that right, "Madame President"?
Posted by Clem 2020-10-13 13:24||   2020-10-13 13:24|| Front Page Top

#19  So Drudge is so f'ed up now that he totally "forgot" what happened four years ago.

Matt Drudge sold the site some time ago, about when the change in focus became noticeable. It’s apparently been run by unsupervised interns ever since.
Posted by trailing wife 2020-10-13 13:36||   2020-10-13 13:36|| Front Page Top

#20 Repeated from the other thread: JFM, for the opinion piece you submitted, Statistics and the US elections, did you forget the link or is it your personal opinion? Both are welcome, as it is well-argued, but if you got it somewhere else we need a link.

Merci beaucoup!
Posted by trailing wife 2020-10-13 13:38||   2020-10-13 13:38|| Front Page Top

#21 Liberals are exaggerating their lead so folks down feel hopeless. Conservatives are mostly going along lest overconfidence leads to low turnout and loss.

We are getting near the point when the polling folks start to slowly drift closer to reality to avoid looking like total fools and not worth paying in future elections.
Posted by rjschwarz 2020-10-13 13:47||   2020-10-13 13:47|| Front Page Top

#22 T.W. I wondered what happened to the Drudge site. At some point the change in the site became very noticeable. It tended to be left of center but then it went pretty far left of center. In addition it had an anti-Trump aspect to it.

Biden 91% chance of winning? A load of B.S.
Posted by JohnQC 2020-10-13 13:54||   2020-10-13 13:54|| Front Page Top

#23 TW.

It is a personal opinion. Now I graduated in statitics and while I forgot most of the maths I still have the thinking habits. Like using indicators. Or considering structure effects (the part about Republicans in houses and Democrats in appartments that is why I compared Biden and Clinton).

I would need more indicators and a larger sample of people to be totally sure but I am sceptical about a Biden's victory without ballot stuffing
Posted by JFM 2020-10-13 14:42||   2020-10-13 14:42|| Front Page Top

#24 Liberals are exaggerating their lead so folks down feel hopeless.

Ah, don't forget "How could we have lost?! Republican stolen election coup! Fire up the fire bugs!"
Posted by swksvolFF 2020-10-13 17:04||   2020-10-13 17:04|| Front Page Top

#25 Drudge is like Disney. Neither reflect their creators. Just that Disney has deeper pockets to burn through with fiduciary responsibility thrown to the winds.
Posted by Procopius2k 2020-10-13 17:08||   2020-10-13 17:08|| Front Page Top

#26 Drudge (and Bill O'Reilly) remind me of an old boss I had in their Rise and Downfall:
A hard-working Micro-manager that gets older and starts delegating things to their staff -- Revealing that they are terrible Managers.
Posted by magpie 2020-10-13 18:36||   2020-10-13 18:36|| Front Page Top

#27 Drudge went TDS a while back. Did Trump is in Mattt's wheaties?
Posted by Theager Borgia1057 2020-10-13 19:08||   2020-10-13 19:08|| Front Page Top

#28 I think Drudge sold out and part of the deal was silence about the deal.
Posted by rjschwarz 2020-10-13 20:51||   2020-10-13 20:51|| Front Page Top

23:57 JohnQC
23:28 swksvolFF
23:20 swksvolFF
23:10 swksvolFF
22:34 trailing wife
22:28 Clem
22:12 Jumbo the Eponymous2451
22:09 rjschwarz
21:51 rjschwarz
21:49 rjschwarz
21:21 trailing wife
21:16 trailing wife
21:11 Iblis
21:07 trailing wife
21:03 Angoluling Ulealing4735
20:59 trailing wife
20:51 rjschwarz
20:50 Jinetle Poodle6219
20:02 Vespasian Ebbereng3110
19:56 Bob Grorong1136
19:50 Jumbo the Eponymous2451
19:46 Albert Snore8893
19:32 Gomez Unearong8268
19:30 Glavins Brown9918









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