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#1 IIUC, China's ban is against both Chinese + non-Chinese fishing activities, as enforced by China.
At last check, China is planning to build 36 armed maritime cutters [FLECS] for deployment to both SCS + Daoyus [Senkakus = Okinawa-Taiwan Straits] in order to unilater enforce its sovereignty.
Despite China's rhetoric this past weekend denying that it is prepping for war in the SCS, IMO this new ban on fishing actually contradicts + affirms that it is. THE US + PHIL MUST WATCH THEIR STEPS NOW, as CHINA = IRAN = HAS BEGUN "SHAPING THE BATTLEFIELD" IN ANTICIPATION OF MILITARY CONFLICT.
China on the surface may appear willing to negotiate wid PHIL, ETC. for formal "joint" or bilateral econ dev of the various disputed SCS islands, BUT IMO CHINA WILL ULTIMATELY NOT SIGN OR APPROVE SUCH VENTURES OR TREATISES UNLESS ITS SOVEREIGNTY = "SOLE" CONTROL OF THE ISLANDS + SCS REGION IS RECOGNIZED BY THE OPPOSITE GOVT(S).
* E.G. DEFENCE.PK/FORUMS > [Manila Times OPED] CHINA: PHILIPPINES MUST SURRENDER SOVEREIGNTY.
NOT "SHOULD", BUT "MUST"???
The only reason I see for China to totally ban fishing in the SCS, fishing being a Beijing-recognized vital national activity for China, is because China wants Any + All Civilians out of the way before the shooting = warfare begins.
IN EFFECT, CHINA HAS GIVEN THE PHIL + ITS US ALLY A SUBTLE BUT ESCALATORY "RED LINE", as consistent wid its historical preference for exercising "soft power/diplomacy".
China will not take the Issue to the UNO + UNCLOS because it needs Milbases to guard both Hainan Island + Taiwan, + does not trust the UNO = UNSC to support its case or "post-US" Agenda.
THE ABOVE LEAVES "POST-US" WANNABE RISING CHINA WID ONLY TWO REAL OPTIONS - CONCEDE ITS CLAIMS OF SOVEIGNTY [ + hence its "Manifest Destiny" as future World #1] TO OTHER COUNTRIES; OR ELSE TO FIGHT!
* TOPIX, WORLD NEWS > CHINA AGAIN WARNS PHILIPPINES NOT TO ESCALATE TENSION.
* WORLD NEWS > SOLON SAYS RP [Republic of the Philippines] LOSING SCARBOROUGH SHOAL TO CHINA.
* DEFENCE.PK/FORUMS > "CHINA LOSING SOUTH CHINA SEA BATTLE".
Lest we fergit, NUKE-ARMED PAKISTAN = has stated that BFF "CHINA'S ENEMY IS ITS ENEMY" [PHIL + US, wid US also read, INDIA].
Posted by JosephMendiola 2012-05-15 01:20||
#2 CHINA AGAIN WARNS PHILIPPINES NOT TO ESCALATE TENSION.
It is the geo-political version of "the bitch made me do it". Push will come to shove, and I don't see anything on the horizon that can stop it. Other than its neighbors completely ceding the SCS to China, I mean.
Posted by SteveS 2012-05-15 13:35||