Article

2004-06-18 Arabia

Saudi royals, Islamic state to stay: spokesman

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Posted by Mark Espinola 2004-06-18 1:21:46 AM|| || Front Page|| [8 views since 2007-05-07] Top

#1 Not a good idea to bring up Pope and catholics, although both have their share of perverts.

Posted by Capt America 2004-06-18 4:35:44 PM|| 2004-06-18 4:35:44 PM|| Front Page Top

#2 The more I read, the more I become convinced that the Saudis are going down, and probably sooner than later. Only question is, will we move to stop the Islamic nutcases (redundant, I know) from taking/destroying the oil? .com, what's your take on this?

Posted by The Doctor 2004-06-18 6:06:52 PM|| 2004-06-18 6:06:52 PM|| Front Page Top

#3 Dr - I'd bet my retirement fund that the US has, at least, a few different plans for how to secure the oil if the "Saudis fall" - I put that in quotes because there are obviously various forms of this - with differing probabilities. I'll start a list - everyone should pile on with their own, then we'll see how it pays out... First, the possibilities, and everyone can say what they think each will "mean" regards a US response.

1) The House of Saud "falls" - all of the Royals bail out and leave it to the Wahhabi freaks created in the last 30 yrs.

2) The "pro-Western" Princes (that sounds absurd because, well, because it is, heh) bail out - leaving it to Nayef, Turki, Wahhabists, Tame AlQ???, etc. The post-House of Saud pecking order is created / accepted without further serious conflict. One of these entities is in charge and the others kow-tow.

3) Bona-fide Saudi civil war breaks out, but The Royals, both groups in the divided House of Saud, decide to stay and try to save their game.

4) The House of Saud "falls" and all pro-Western Princes bail - and Nayef / Turki try to hang one but find themselves in full civil war with AlQ types. #2 without the post-fall harmony.

I don't know if this one makes any sense, since I believe Nayef has just "won" the battle of The Seven:
5) The "pro-Western" faction of the House of Saud "wins" and Nayef / Turki faction(s) either runs off or is eliminated in a coup by Abdullah's faction.

I guess the question of continued jihadi activity or even civil war against Abdullah's faction continues after #5 by default.

Well, see any other major situation?

And the results for any of these situations? Which ones invite intervention, or do all do so?

I can post what I think, but I'd rather hear from others for a change!

Posted by .com 2004-06-18 6:25:05 PM|| [http://www.amble.com/images/operation_pissoff_logo.jpg] 2004-06-18 6:25:05 PM|| Front Page Top

#4 I am underwhelmed. :-(

Posted by .com 2004-06-18 10:02:24 PM|| [http://www.amble.com/images/root_for_us.jpg] 2004-06-18 10:02:24 PM|| Front Page Top

#5 I think that he is very far from reality.

Posted by Super Hose 2004-06-18 10:22:15 PM|| 2004-06-18 10:22:15 PM|| Front Page Top

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