Article

2009-08-02 Syria-Lebanon-Iran

Archived material is restricted to Rantburg regulars and members. If you need access email fred.pruitt=at=gmail.com with your nick to be added to the members list. There is no charge to join Rantburg as a member.

Posted by Fred 2009-08-02 00:00|| || Front Page|| [5 views ] Top
File under: Govt of Iran

#1 however the domestic demand is still growing (since consumption is effectively subsidized by price caps)

thus the amount of crude oil available for export is decreasing

finally there is no way Iran is going to be able to produce enough gasoline to export it

the best they will do is reduce their imports

Posted by lord garth 2009-08-02 00:13|| 2009-08-02 00:13|| Front Page Top

#2 Simple. A single 500lb bomb shuts them down for quite a while.

Posted by OldSpook 2009-08-02 00:22|| 2009-08-02 00:22|| Front Page Top

#3 "finally there is no way Iran is going to be able to produce enough gasoline to export it"

Not so fast. They have some of the largest refinery projects in the world underway. And there is more profit per tanker load exporting refined products than in exporting crude. That is the only way we manage to get enough gasoline, we haven't built a new refinery in nearly 30 years. We buy gasoline, kerosene, diesel, and jet fuel from Saudi Arabia already refined.

Iran would much rather export refined products than crude. It is like the difference between corn and whiskey.

Posted by crosspatch 2009-08-02 01:44|| 2009-08-02 01:44|| Front Page Top

#4 A single 500lb bomb shuts them down for quite a while.

No, no, no! That's not how we do it in Operation Lemony Snickett.

It's really simple -- Mahmoud lights up a cigarette in the middle of the refinery, and the whole place goes kaboom. Mahmoud can't be found afterwards of course, and (RAB style) it's not clear that he was ever there, but he sure does make a convenient scapegoat when the refinery managers have to explain to Tehran what happened. "Honest, boss, we all saw Mahmoud light up a cigarette!"

Scratch one refinery.

Posted by Steve White 2009-08-02 09:36|| 2009-08-02 09:36|| Front Page Top

#5 Red Storm Rising anyone? It can be done in Iran probably much more easily than the old Soviet Union with far less bad consequences.

Posted by OldSpook 2009-08-02 13:54|| 2009-08-02 13:54|| Front Page Top

#6 we haven't built a new refinery in nearly 30 years

crosspatch, strictly speaking this may be true (thanks to NIMBY, among other things) but we actually have increased refined product production - through expansions of existing refineries and much-improved efficiencies. We just have not increased production as much as we have increased consumption, and the difference is, as you noted, made up through imports from KSA etc.

Posted by Glenmore 2009-08-02 19:32|| 2009-08-02 19:32|| Front Page Top

23:52 crosspatch
23:51 JosephMendiola
23:51 crosspatch
23:46 anymouse
23:45 OldSpook
23:39 OldSpook
23:36 JosephMendiola
23:33 trailing wife
23:29 notascrename
23:19 JosephMendiola
23:10 JosephMendiola
23:10 trailing wife
22:35 Anonymoose
22:32 Anonymoose
22:29 trailing wife
22:29 Injun Grinesing9686
22:26 trailing wife
22:25 Anonymoose
22:19 Barbara Skolaut
22:13 Clyde Cherenter5727
22:12 crosspatch
22:10 crosspatch
22:04 tu3031
21:55 Eric Jablow