Article

2010-07-26 Africa Horn

Archived material is restricted to Rantburg regulars and members. If you need access email fred.pruitt=at=gmail.com with your nick to be added to the members list. There is no charge to join Rantburg as a member.

Posted by Fred 2010-07-26 00:00|| || Front Page|| [2 views ] Top
File under: al-Shabaab

#1 Kenya should be afraid

they will go after Kenya and there is such a huge Somali diaspora there they can hide easily

The problem won't go away until the UN first contains then neutralises it.

Containment: Recognise Somaliland and Puntland as separate states. Give aid money directly to the governments instead of the TFG.

Neutralise: Once the north is buttressed you can make some attack on the south using AU troops - but vastly increased numbers. Maybe call on the nearby French Foreign Legion in Djibouti for help

Posted by anon1 2010-07-26 11:16|| 2010-07-26 11:16|| Front Page Top

#2 Kenya should not be afraid. Kenya should get mad.

Calling on the UN won't solve a damned thing. The AU forces might be helpful, particularly the Ugandan ones given the recent bombing in Kampala, but I wouldn't count on them for much.

Yes, allow Somalialand to become a recognized nation-state. Offer Puntland that status for the future if the tribes there cooperate and clean al-Shabaab out (and stop the piracy).

But Kenya will have to take the bull by the horns. The attack on the Kenyan patrol was an act of war. Treat it as such. Fire up the Kenyan military, get their ducks in a row, and have them come across the border to stomp al-Shabaab good and hard.

Lather, rinse, repeat as necessary.

The US could help with intel and logistics. A couple drones would do wonders. Perhaps the Indians would want to help.

Point it, Kenya has to take care of this, not the UN. The UN is useless.

Posted by Steve White 2010-07-26 13:33|| 2010-07-26 13:33|| Front Page Top

#3 yes the UN is worthless in this matter (actually worse than useless because they hinder good actions and assist and reward bad ones)

I don't know about the African Union though. They might be worth something here.

The Org of Islamic States will probably be in the useless or worse category also.

Posted by lord garth 2010-07-26 16:01|| 2010-07-26 16:01|| Front Page Top

#4 Kenya is not the final objective. Zimbabwe and South Africa are the endgames. Diamonds and gold. Turning out the Amish cutters in Antwerpen and commandeering the mines. One must always follow the money.

Posted by Besoeker 2010-07-26 18:18|| 2010-07-26 18:18|| Front Page Top

00:19 JosephMendiola
23:53 JosephMendiola
23:49 trailing wife
23:42 JosephMendiola
23:40 trailing wife
23:38 trailing wife
23:37 JosephMendiola
23:35 trailing wife
23:28 Asymmetrical Triangulation
23:27 JosephMendiola
23:24 JosephMendiola
23:18 JosephMendiola
23:17 Fred
23:07 Asymmetrical Triangulation
22:57 JosephMendiola
22:52 trailing wife
22:48 Mike Hunt
22:38 Asymmetrical Triangulation
22:36 lord garth
22:22 john frum
21:52 Pappy
21:42 Besoeker
21:39 bigjim-CA
21:29 Dale