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2014-11-07 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-

Number of People Under "Active Monitoring" for Ebola in NYC Triples

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Posted by trailing wife 2014-11-07 00:00|| || Front Page|| [2 views ] Top

#1 We talked the other day about how projecting exponential growth too far into the future was risky, but the flip side of that growth rate is that if you get behind the curve, there is hell to pay.

The Nigerians have done a heroic job in checking the spread of Ebola. We may have the capability to mount a similar response, but I'm uncertain we have the will. Wouldn't want to spread panic now, eh?

Posted by SteveS 2014-11-07 02:27|| 2014-11-07 02:27|| Front Page Top

#2 All of those being monitored showed no symptoms but are being checked on out of "an abundance of caution," the statement said.

"Out of an abundance of caution"....top the list of phrases I've come to hate.

Posted by Besoeker 2014-11-07 06:53|| 2014-11-07 06:53|| Front Page Top

#3 While Dallas, "Ground Zero" for US Ebola, will clear the last of 170+ people monitored for symptoms. Texas is now Ebola-free!

Posted by Bobby 2014-11-07 10:13|| 2014-11-07 10:13|| Front Page Top

#4 If an outbreak happens then exponential growth will correctly describe its dynamics during the first phase before there's a change in the epidemiological ecosystem (quarantine, systematic decontamination, behavioral changes etc).

Should things go wrong at some point (it hasn't happened yet) we could easily end up with a few hundred people infected and scores dead in Western nations before any countermeasures start to work.

Compared to other disasters or even infectious diseases this would still be a very small incident. Still the psychological and economic impact would be considerable.

Posted by Elmerert Hupens2660 2014-11-07 19:36|| 2014-11-07 19:36|| Front Page Top

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