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2014-11-09 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-

Magic Formula That Will Determine Whether Ebola Is Beaten

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Posted by trailing wife 2014-11-09 00:00|| || Front Page|| [1 views ] Top

#1 One problem with the Reproductive Ratio: does it include the people who get Ebola, never get sick, and develop productive antibodies so they don't catch it again?

Posted by Anguper Hupomosing9418 2014-11-09 00:41|| 2014-11-09 00:41|| Front Page Top

#2 Last week began a news kind of blackout where i think we are being told ebola is under control

no more scare stories,(even if true) no more "panic" the key message now is "we are winning the fight on ebola"

But this is bullsh*t.

Nothing has changed.

This month there will be 17,000 new cases of ebola if it is true that nothing has changed.

If there are less than 17,000 new cases by the end of this month then it will be slowing.

Simple to see. The WHO reported `13,703 cases to October 27. Round up to 14,000 to end October.

Subtract 14,000 from whatever figure they give at November 30.

If that number is 17,000 then nothing has changed and we are on track for entire world infection by march 2016

Posted by anon1 2014-11-09 01:58|| 2014-11-09 01:58|| Front Page Top

#3 Yeah. You can spin the stats and cook the books all you want, but as the great Feynman said "Nature will not be fooled".

Posted by SteveS 2014-11-09 03:01|| 2014-11-09 03:01|| Front Page Top

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