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2004-02-16 
WMD and Decisions Under Uncertainty
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Posted by Super Hose 2004-02-16 8:45:22 AM|| || Front Page|| [3 views since 2007-05-07]  Top

#1 OldSpook had an excellent comment on threat analysis quite similar to this from a post two weeks ago. If I could search the comments or if I were home (I saved it), I'd repost it.
Posted by Dar  2004-2-16 11:20:45 AM||   2004-2-16 11:20:45 AM|| Front Page Top

#2 Here it is DAR. In the interest of saving Fred's bandwidth click on Calling Iraqs Bluff. Then scroll down to # 5. That will take you to Old Spooks comments on 1/30/04.
Posted by GK 2004-2-16 2:12:07 PM||   2004-2-16 2:12:07 PM|| Front Page Top

#3 Next, let us describe Type I and Type II errors but do it very slowly - the HE LIED crowd is not good at math.
Posted by Super Hose  2004-2-16 4:51:10 PM||   2004-2-16 4:51:10 PM|| Front Page Top

#4 I notice that "stockpiles" qualifier is being used here in every sentence here. Maybe I'm seeing too much into it...but I think it's going to become the meaning of is, when they find lots of wmds and wmd programs....just no "stockpiles".

Time will tell.
Posted by B 2004-2-17 12:09:35 AM||   2004-2-17 12:09:35 AM|| Front Page Top

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