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2005-03-17 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Putin to stay in power beyond 2008
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Posted by Dan Darling 2005-03-17 1:30:05 PM|| || Front Page|| [5 views since 2007-05-07]  Top

#1 
there is "a real danger that a new fuehrer with a fascist-type, nationalist ideology" might win the presidency
Looks like the probability is approaching 1.
Posted by someone 2005-03-17 2:06:29 PM||   2005-03-17 2:06:29 PM|| Front Page Top

#2 "Putin to stay in power beyond 2008"

Where's the suprise meter?
Posted by Hunter 2005-03-17 2:19:48 PM||   2005-03-17 2:19:48 PM|| Front Page Top

#3 He has so effectively eliminated the competition, now that he *wants* somebody to fill his shoes, nobody is left. About his only remaining alternative, if he wants any semblance of democracy to remain, would be to break off from his own party, then start another party to run against it. The new party would lose the election, but under his leadership, he might bring it up to high enough standards to compete with his old party. It won't happen.
Posted by Anonymoose 2005-03-17 4:17:56 PM||   2005-03-17 4:17:56 PM|| Front Page Top

#4 All depends on oil prices. If they stay high, then Russia's mismanagement and incompetence will continue to be hidden by huge inflows of hard currency. If they were to fall sharply, as they did in 1997-1998, then the rotten edifice will collapse again as it did then, and Putin will be booted out.
Posted by thibaud (aka lex) 2005-03-17 5:03:27 PM||   2005-03-17 5:03:27 PM|| Front Page Top

#5 Or else he's laying the groundwork to declare a permanent state of emergency, during which he will take on more and more power. All hail Tsar Vladimir I...
Posted by Jonathan  2005-03-17 5:34:20 PM|| [http://www.emessell.typepad.com/muddling]  2005-03-17 5:34:20 PM|| Front Page Top

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