Article

2005-04-11 Africa: Subsaharan

Reduced Admissions in Uige Signals Spread of Marburg

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Posted by phil_b 2005-04-11 6:37:45 AM|| || Front Page|| [3 views since 2007-05-07] Top

#1 WHO was chased out of the city for several days by mobs who believe that doctors are apreading the disease. Given the history of the region, it is NOT an unwarrented belief. I still don't see this as particularily contaigious. The WHO site has reports of an outbreak of cholera in Senegal. Reproted cases for the last three weeks were: 428, 757, 3475. Now that's an outbreak.

The history of Marburg originates in Europe. It is believed that the index cases originated with exposure to monkeys, but it is evident that person to person contact resulted in the majority of the 37 cases. LINK

200 cases is still not enough of a population to draw statistical conclusions from. The life expectancy in Angola is about 40, meaning that lots and lots of children die from every imaginable disease. Marburg will take some, but I would suggest that many more have died during the same period of time from other causes.

Posted by Chuck Simmins 2005-04-11 11:53:37 AM|| [http://blog.simmins.org] 2005-04-11 11:53:37 AM|| Front Page Top

#2 Meanwhile, Thousands of children hospitalized due to hot weather According to the news report 7,000 children were brought to 2 hospitals in Ho Chi Minh City in one day. This may well be bird flu. BTW, its widely believed in Asia that artificial cooling results in illness.

Posted by phil_b 2005-04-11 4:12:03 PM|| 2005-04-11 4:12:03 PM|| Front Page Top

#3 What will really cause a pandemic is medical practices like those in the article. The notion that 7,000 children were brought to hospitals because they slept under fans is the perfect set-up for SARS, avian flu, any respiratory illness to break out without control. Vietnam had SARS. They should have some clue about modern medical epidemiology and public health practices.

Posted by Chuck Simmins 2005-04-11 4:35:22 PM|| [http://blog.simmins.org] 2005-04-11 4:35:22 PM|| Front Page Top

#4 I recall SARS in Vietnam was contained in one foreign run hospital.

Posted by phil_b 2005-04-11 5:20:33 PM|| 2005-04-11 5:20:33 PM|| Front Page Top

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