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2006-08-16 China-Japan-Koreas
Bird flu kills 1,800 ducks in China
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Posted by Steve White 2006-08-16 00:00|| || Front Page|| [2 views since 2007-05-07]  Top

#1 H5N1 coming to an emergency room near you.
Twice a year, birds migrate, therefore, twice a year, the bird flu can be spread from continent to continent. The people of the world may not be doomed, but the poultry industry sure is.
Posted by wxjames 2006-08-16 11:52||   2006-08-16 11:52|| Front Page Top

#2 I wonder how central the poultry industry is to Chinese food supply.
Posted by lotp 2006-08-16 12:13||   2006-08-16 12:13|| Front Page Top

#3 For a little perspective, the U.S. poultry industry produced 8.9 BILLION "broiler" chickens in 2005.
http://www.ers.usda.gov/News/broilerCoverage.htm
Posted by Darrell 2006-08-16 12:36||   2006-08-16 12:36|| Front Page Top

#4 FAO for 2003
125 of 2940 calories/capita/day. 52 poultry meat 73 eggs.

Of the 2940 c/c/d about half is cereal and half of that is rice. The next greatest source of calories after rice and wheat is pigmeat 343 c/c/d, over 10% of the cal/cap/day. Islam's going to have a problem there.
Posted by Nimble Spemble 2006-08-16 12:56||   2006-08-16 12:56|| Front Page Top

#5 Interesting. Thanks.
Posted by lotp 2006-08-16 13:37||   2006-08-16 13:37|| Front Page Top

#6 W: Twice a year, birds migrate, therefore, twice a year, the bird flu can be spread from continent to continent. The people of the world may not be doomed, but the poultry industry sure is.

This is true only if the poultry are allowed to run around in the open air. The American poultry industry grows its birds indoors in cages. Even poultry being grown outdoors can be isolated via netting. It's just not that big of a problem. Sanitation practices in China are crap. And yet the H5N1 infection rate there is negligible. Which goes to show that the disease is usually fatal, but not all that infectious, at least with respect to humans. Epidemic-scale infection is really hard to hide, because there are lots of foreign Asian reporters in China who can blend.
Posted by Zhang Fei 2006-08-16 21:06|| http://timurileng.blogspot.com]">[http://timurileng.blogspot.com]  2006-08-16 21:06|| Front Page Top

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