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2009-04-22 Africa North

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Posted by Steve White 2009-04-22 00:00|| || Front Page|| [5 views ] Top

#1 The 1918 pandemic came in 3 or 4 waves. The first wave was relatively mild. It was the second and third waves that were the real killers.

While records are patchy, it seems those killed by the second and third wave were disproportionately those infected in the first wave. Dengue fever is very similar to this.

Anyway don't assume a mild strain spreading is good news, because its probably very bad news. Much better if the virus makes people very sick killing a high proportion. It's much less likely to spread that way.

Posted by Phil_B 2009-04-22 05:33|| 2009-04-22 05:33|| Front Page Top

#2 Tracking what Avian flu is doing around the world is impressive, it doesn't miss a beat. In China, it is expanding its endemic turf, appearing in small outbreaks hundreds of miles apart; different offensives in Vietnam, Indonesia, and Bangladesh. It is like a major war led by different generals.

And this extremely troubling one in Egypt, that seems to be opening the door for H2H with clear foreshadowing.

Posted by Anonymoose 2009-04-22 16:48|| 2009-04-22 16:48|| Front Page Top

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