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2011-01-13 China-Japan-Koreas

How Soon Can N.Korea Develop Long-Range Missiles?

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Posted by Steve White 2011-01-13 00:00|| || Front Page|| [3 views ] Top

#1 IN A HEARTBEAT IFF CHINA WILL ALLOW IT. See MUSLIM NUC PAKISTAN + now also IRAN [LRBMS], etc. Third-Party States, espec ala so-called INTER-STATE "FRANCHISING".

Plus of course BLACK MARKET TRANSFERS.

Once again, NORTH KOREA > fears unilateral CHINESE TAKEOVER either directly via MAJOR NEW WAR, or indirectly by select NATURAL FORCES/FACTORS e.g. SINO-DPRK FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS in which most Analysts agree will disproportionately benefit China relative to North Korea.

In short, IMO NORTH KOREA cannot be seen by China as "TOO SUCCESSFUL" in any of its ADVANCED INDIGENOUS MIL, NUCLEAR TESTS. China holds the Korean Peninsula to be an ancient, STRATEGIC ROUTE OF FOREIGN INVASION AGZ CHINA, + has made it clear that anything on occurs on the Korean Peninsula is in its "STRATEGIC/CORE INTERESTS", ESPEC CHIN-SPECIFIC NATIONAL, GEOPOL + NUCLEAR SECURITY, + won't hesitate to militarily intervene on the Peninusla iff its same is threatened.

NORTH KOREA'S TESTS > may be PRE-PLANNED/INTENDED TO "FAIL", at least OVERTLY where relations wid overlord CHINA is concerned.

DPRK LABS + SECRET TEST FACILITIES, WHERE CHINA + WORLD MEDIAS HAVE LITTLE TO NO ACCESS, MAY BE A DIFFERENT ANIMAL ALTOGETHER???

In any case, DEMOCRATIC SOUTH KOREA + has a common interest wid Communist North Korea in preventing any Chinese takeover of North Korea, hence may "tolerate" a LIMITED NORTH KOREAN NUC ARSENAL, espec as complemented by SOUTH KOREA'S OWN NUCLEAR ARMS [+ Other].

Posted by JosephMendiola 2011-01-13 01:23|| 2011-01-13 01:23|| Front Page Top

#2 Of course there is that low key incident when pieces of a Taepodong-2 warhead were believed to have been found in Alaska. In 2003, eight years ago.

Alleged by the Japanese based on US info, and published in an SKor newspaper.

According to the FAS, this is the definitive paper on the status of NKor missiles. (.pdf format)

Posted by Anonymoose 2011-01-13 09:54|| 2011-01-13 09:54|| Front Page Top

#3 This is one of those bad news, good news deals. The bad news being their ability to have a basic delivery capability and warhead. That would mean some big target in order to avoid a miss and do some damage, ie major city. The good news is that that left coast is first in range. /sarc off

Posted by Procopius2k 2011-01-13 11:58|| 2011-01-13 11:58|| Front Page Top

#4 What annoys me is that they invariably call San Francisco the big target on the west coast, when it has little or no value. As far as China is concerned, they want Bremerton in Washington and San Diego neutralized, because that would cripple the US Pacific fleet.

Hopefully before they made a major play for Taiwan.

Believe it or not, there are no other suitable friendly deep water ports in the Pacific capable of the full range of aircraft carrier fleet services, repair, refuel and rearm. And by the time the Atlantic fleet could arrive, Taiwan would be over.

Posted by Anonymoose 2011-01-13 13:27|| 2011-01-13 13:27|| Front Page Top

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