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2014-08-09 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-

That's-a nice: US Ebola outbreak 'possible' but likely not large: CDC chief

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Posted by Anguper Hupomosing9418 2014-08-09 00:00|| || Front Page|| [5 views ] Top

#1 Possible but not likely. Is that 'possible' as in a non-zero probability? Or 'possible' as in it's possible it might rain tomorrow?

And are we assuming the disease is only spread by close contact with bodily fluids? There is demonstrative evidence for airborne transmission to monkeys. No, there is no evidence for Ebola spreading by air in humans. Yet. That we know about. But I doubt everyone who has it kissed a fruit bat.

As far as microbes are concerned, you and me and the monkeys are all just big rubbery motels.

Posted by SteveS 2014-08-09 01:07|| 2014-08-09 01:07|| Front Page Top

#2 Remember, the current track record is that the government lies to you, but also to each other. They only say what they think the big guys wants to hear. It'll be too late for the amateurs to react till its beyond containment. Hardest hit will be the blue urban areas with low information occupants. Talk about fundamental transformation. True irony.

Posted by Procopius2k 2014-08-09 08:43|| 2014-08-09 08:43|| Front Page Top

#3 Based upon my recent studies of epidemiology, large means at least 1% of a population.

If you go to 0.5%, they are still talking about any where from 150K to 200K contracting the disease and with a 58% survival rate, that is 80 to 110 thousand dying...

Every where these government drones try to spin every announcement to gloss over harsh reality.

Posted by Bill Clinton 2014-08-09 11:47|| 2014-08-09 11:47|| Front Page Top

#4 "we had study results and a possible successful vaccine design, but it was on a Government hard drive, and they fail monthly and without backup, you know"

Posted by Frank G on the road 2014-08-09 12:21|| 2014-08-09 12:21|| Front Page Top

#5 Healthcare workers treating Ebola patients should wear goggles, face masks, gloves and protective gowns, according to CDC guidelines.

I read that Dr. Brantly, the ebola-infected man who is in Emory was very careful in handling patients and that he wore protective gear, gowns, and gloves. ZMAPP, isolation, and supportive care seem to have helped save Brantly and Writebol (the nurse). I don't have any confidence in anything this government says under this regime. They have lied about everything. Why should we start believing them now?

Posted by JohnQC 2014-08-09 14:46|| 2014-08-09 14:46|| Front Page Top

#6 New paper from the same guys that did the pig->monkey infection study shows no evidence for transmission in non-human primates (NHPs). (ht Instapundit)

Money quote: “The presence of transmission in the pig-NHP experiment and not the NHP-NHP experiment, both performed under similar conditions and environments, could be explained by the fact that EBOV disease in pigs is respiratory in nature with high amounts of infectious particles present in the oro-nasal cavities in the symptomatic phase of the disease which provided an opportunity for release into the environment. The moral of the story is don't get sneezed on by diseased pigs.

paper on NHP transmission

Posted by SteveS 2014-08-09 16:07|| 2014-08-09 16:07|| Front Page Top

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