Archived material Access restricted Article
Rantburg

Today's Front Page   View All of Thu 05/14/2020 View Wed 05/13/2020 View Tue 05/12/2020 View Mon 05/11/2020 View Sun 05/10/2020 View Sat 05/09/2020 View Fri 05/08/2020
1
2020-05-14 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
More magic numbers malarkey...
Archived material is restricted to Rantburg regulars and members. If you need access email fred.pruitt=at=gmail.com with your nick to be added to the members list. There is no charge to join Rantburg as a member.
Posted by M. Murcek 2020-05-14 00:00|| || Front Page|| [6 views ]  Top

#1 Always said numerical simulations are NOT a valid tool of scientific inquiry.
Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-05-14 02:58||   2020-05-14 02:58|| Front Page Top

#2 The original number crunchers and predictors were astrologers. Just saying.

Models can be useful. However, they need clean data, GIGO. They also need clear labeling of confidence. The greater the assumptions and lack of hard data, the lower the predictability and validity.
Posted by Procopius2k 2020-05-14 06:24||   2020-05-14 06:24|| Front Page Top

#3 models when done correctly, see ^, can help to define what questions to ask and what issues to investigate.

GIGO is of particular concern when trying to get a model to provide and answer.
Posted by AlanC 2020-05-14 06:58||   2020-05-14 06:58|| Front Page Top

#4 To paraphrase Dr. Strangelove "When you merely wish to get a predetermined result, there's no limit to the things you can bury in your 'model'"
Posted by M. Murcek 2020-05-14 07:21||   2020-05-14 07:21|| Front Page Top

#5 Hey honey wanna see my etchings models exponential curve? It's yuuuge, I'm tellin' ya...
Posted by Lex 2020-05-14 07:32||   2020-05-14 07:32|| Front Page Top

#6 If it saves one life....
Posted by Procopius2k 2020-05-14 11:26||   2020-05-14 11:26|| Front Page Top

#7 We have to destroy the economy to see what's in the model.... or something like that.
Posted by ruprecht 2020-05-14 14:53||   2020-05-14 14:53|| Front Page Top

23:26 Bobby
23:21 Phusotle Dingle5823
22:48 Lex
22:42 Grunter
22:03 Rob Crawford
21:50 Lex
21:48 Lex
21:47 Lex
21:44 Lex
21:42 Lex
21:38 Lex
21:32 Mullah Richard
21:27 Mullah Richard
21:12 M. Murcek
21:12 trailing wife
20:33 Anomalous Sources
20:30 Anomalous Sources
20:11 Frank G
20:08 Frank G
20:04 Frank G
20:01 Procopius2k
20:01 Procopius2k
19:59 Phusotle Dingle5823
19:56 M. Murcek









Paypal:
Google
Search WWW Search rantburg.com