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2020-05-16 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-

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Posted by trailing wife 2020-05-16 03:57|| || Front Page|| [9 views ] Top

#1 Hospitalizations, Daily Cases Stable in Texas After Phased Reopening

Posted by Frank G 2020-05-16 10:51|| 2020-05-16 10:51|| Front Page Top

#2 AM I the first to think of a non-racyssist name fopr the WuFlu - "Bat Flu"?

Shirley not!

Posted by Bobby 2020-05-16 12:25|| 2020-05-16 12:25|| Front Page Top

#3 Texas fears losing oil-rich lands in Chinese takeover of weakened energy companies

Posted by Skidmark 2020-05-16 12:32|| 2020-05-16 12:32|| Front Page Top

#4 Colorado amends coronavirus death count - says fewer have died of COVID-19 than previously reported

Posted by Skidmark 2020-05-16 12:33|| 2020-05-16 12:33|| Front Page Top

#5 As US coronavirus death toll mounts, so does the belief by some that it is exaggerated

Posted by Skidmark 2020-05-16 12:35|| 2020-05-16 12:35|| Front Page Top

#6 Thousands expected at Texas 'Go Topless' Jeep festival, making social distancing tough, officials say

Posted by Skidmark 2020-05-16 12:39|| 2020-05-16 12:39|| Front Page Top

#7 CDC director says that all 12 of their models predict US coronavirus deaths will accelerate in coming weeks and toll will exceed 100,000 by June

Posted by Skidmark 2020-05-16 13:48|| 2020-05-16 13:48|| Front Page Top

#8 ^Toll will exceed 100,000 by June even without an acceleration.

Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-05-16 13:51|| 2020-05-16 13:51|| Front Page Top

#9 One in three patients who fall severely ill with coronavirus develop deadly blood clots that trigger heart attacks, strokes and organ failure, leading scientist says

Posted by Skidmark 2020-05-16 13:53|| 2020-05-16 13:53|| Front Page Top

#10
Toll will exceed 100,000 by June even without an acceleration.
Sun seekers defy beach ban in New York City as crowds in New Jersey flock to reopened coastline and flout social distancing measures as temperatures soar

Posted by Skidmark 2020-05-16 13:54|| 2020-05-16 13:54|| Front Page Top

#11 Toll = with or from?

Posted by Lex 2020-05-16 13:59|| 2020-05-16 13:59|| Front Page Top

#12 Kinda a tired mantra, Lex.

He died from drowning.
No he didn't, he died from falling in the water!

Posted by Skidmark 2020-05-16 15:37|| 2020-05-16 15:37|| Front Page Top

#13 Yeah, tiresome indeed: we're tired of recycled BS data.

Posted by Lex 2020-05-16 16:24|| 2020-05-16 16:24|| Front Page Top

#14 This is why we're so tired of being subjected to ridiculously inconsistent, wildly inaccurate guesstimates of how many deaths were actually caused by COVID: because the people doing the counting are over-counting, and applying attribution logic that was not applied in previous years to any other infectious disease.

The last word belongs to retired NHS pathologist Dr. John Lee, who below explains why the Johns Hopkins data is unreliable, if not actually garbage:

How to understand - and report - figures for "COVID Deaths"

Dr. John Lee
The Spectator (UK version)
29 March 2020

Unfortunately nuance tends to be lost in the numbers quoted from the database being used to track Covid-19: the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center. It has compiled a huge database, with Covid-19 data from all over the world, updated daily – and its figures are used, world over, to track the virus. This data is not standardised and so probably not comparable, yet this important caveat is seldom expressed by the (many) graphs we see. It risks exaggerating the quality of data that we have.

The distinction between dying ‘with’ Covid-19 and dying ‘due to’ Covid-19 is not just splitting hairs.

Consider some examples: an 87-year-old woman with dementia in a nursing home; a 79-year-old man with metastatic bladder cancer; a 29-year-old man with leukaemia treated with chemotherapy; a 46-year-old woman with motor neurone disease for 2 years.

All develop chest infections and die. All test positive for Covid-19. Yet all were vulnerable to death by chest infection from any infective cause (including the flu). Covid-19 might have been the final straw, but it has not caused their deaths.

Consider two more cases: a 75-year-old man with mild heart failure and bronchitis; a 35-year-old woman who was previously fit and well with no known medical conditions. Both contract a chest infection and die, and both test positive for Covid-19.

In the first case it is not entirely clear what weight to place on the pre-existing conditions versus the viral infection – to make this judgement would require an expert clinician to examine the case notes. The final case would reasonably be attributed to death caused by Covid-19, assuming it was true that there were no underlying conditions....

Posted by Lex 2020-05-16 17:00|| 2020-05-16 17:00|| Front Page Top

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