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2022-03-17 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia

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Posted by Besoeker 2022-03-17 02:26|| || Front Page|| [6 views ] Top

#1 The war in Ukraine will end in some form.
Maybe not. Been going on for 8 years already in Donbass. About 10,000 dead between the coup in 2014 and end of 2021

Posted by Guillibaldo Chong4167 2022-03-17 05:37|| 2022-03-17 05:37|| Front Page Top

#2 there’s a present-day model for this kind of balancing: Austria. As part of a deal to end Allied occupation in 1955, the Soviet Union recognized Austria’s sovereignty and Austria pledged permanent military neutrality — it would not join NATO, and it would not allow foreign troops to be stationed on its territory.

If Zelensky had accepted this (or the US had forced him to accept this on pain of another US instigated coup in Ukraine), Putin would not have invaded. This was his core demand. Instead Zelensky said he wanted to go on the offensive and conquer Crimea

Posted by Shelet Poodle2343 2022-03-17 05:42|| 2022-03-17 05:42|| Front Page Top

#3 Like COVID, the current crisis must end well enough before the midterms for the dems to claim that they had a win and need to be re-elected. If there isn't an actual diplomatic solution in the next few weeks, watch for the media to sbruptly lose interest around the 4th of July and all the bandwagon pols in DC to immediately follow suit.

Posted by M. Murcek 2022-03-17 07:57|| 2022-03-17 07:57|| Front Page Top

#4 If there isn't an actual diplomatic solution in the next few weeks,
They're already talking about war with Russia. Hal Brands in Bloomberg today, Harris's loose talk, Zelensky saying WWIII's "already started"

Posted by Ebboter Theremble4880 2022-03-17 08:02|| 2022-03-17 08:02|| Front Page Top

#5 Get the old Warsaw pact to drop out of NATO and become swiss-style neutral alliance with that can be a buffer between the Germans and the Russian bear (who seems easily terrified).

Then get this new Pseudo Warsaw Pact to send troops to Africa to end Boka Haram and other troublemakers. This will make the world a better place and provide necessary experience.

Posted by ruprecht 2022-03-17 11:28|| 2022-03-17 11:28|| Front Page Top

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