Article

2022-11-07 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia

Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Commentary unless overwise noted are from Arkady Repkin
[ColonelCassad] The only tactical missile system (TRK) in service with the so-called. Ukraine, at the time of the start of the special military operation (SVO) was the Tochka complex (1975) and its further modernization Tochka-U (1989).

The development of the complex, as well as the production of all its components, was carried out by enterprises of the RSFSR ("Design Bureau of Mechanical Engineering" (Kolomna), PO "Barricades" (Volgograd), JSC "Votkinsky Plant" (Votkinsk), CJSC "Bryansk Automobile Plant" (Bryansk)). Therefore, the maintenance of missiles of the complex, produced both in the mid-70s and in the early 90s. the last century, the APU was not carried out.

As a result of the lack of proper maintenance by the manufacturer, the venerable age of the complex itself (some launchers and missiles are currently 47 years old), as well as its active use during the war in Donbass in 2014-2015. out of 90 launchers (PU) inherited by the former Ukraine from the Soviet army, no more than 20 were in combat strength by the beginning of the NMD ( https://fraza.com/analytics/259327-ukrainskij-arsenal-takticheskie-raketnye-kompleksy-tochka- u ).

Immediately before the start of the armed conflict in Donbas in 2014, about 300 missiles were stored in the arsenals of the Armed Forces of Ukraine ( https://3polk.com.ua/articles/military/prymenenye-tochka-u-na-donbasse.html) TRK "Tochka-U". The main storage base had 94 missiles from 1989-1991. release, which, as relatively new, were used primarily against the People's Militia of Donbass. Total during 2014-2015. APU was issued from 60 ( https://fraza.com/analytics/259327-ukrainskij-arsenal-takticheskie-raketnye-kompleksy-tochka-u ) to 95 ( https://www.dsnews.ua/blog/tochka-ui -tayfun-kak-v-ukraine-moderniziruyut-rakety-i-prichem-tut-kitay-03082021-432857 ) Tochka-U missiles. A number of rockets were used during the exercises ( https://korrespondent.net/ukraine/4382145-vsu-pokazaly-pusky-raket-tochka-u ).

In the period from February to November 2022, the RF Ministry of Defense announced the interception of 194 missiles, as well as the destruction of 18 launchers and 2 transport-loading vehicles (TZM) of the Tochka-U TRK of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the NVO zone. The peak of interceptions occurred in June (57 missiles), after which the number of interceptions steadily decreased every month. The frequency of application of the complex has also significantly decreased. In November, the shooting down of 1 Tochka-U missile was announced, and the previous statement about the interception was 3 weeks behind the November one.

Taking into account the above, as well as the data of the RF Ministry of Defense report dated September 30, 2022 about delivering strikes by the Russian Aerospace Forces on the assembly shops of the Grom-2 and Tochka-U fuel and air defense systems of the enemy on the territory of the Yuzhmash plant, we can talk about the actual cessation of the use of the discussed missile system by the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In our opinion, this circumstance is caused by the exhaustion of stocks of Tochka-U missiles, and not by the destruction of a critical number of its serviceable launchers.

Taking into account the deliveries of Soviet military equipment from countries that previously or currently operate them, we can assume that the operators of the Tochka-U TRK (Azerbaijan, Bulgaria, Kazakhstan, Poland and the Czech Republic) can supply a certain number of missiles of this so-called complex . Ukraine. We also assume that a small number of missiles remained with the Armed Forces of Ukraine. But all these probabilities practically exclude the possibility of launching 10 missiles a day, as the Russian Defense Ministry announced in June and July 2022.

Thus, using the example of the TRK "Tochka-U" we can observe the natural cessation of the operation of one or another type of Soviet military equipment. Unable to replenish missile stocks through stable external supplies, as well as in the absence of its own full-fledged military-industrial production, an acute shortage of ammunition makes dozens of pieces of equipment that are part of the Tochka-U complex absolutely useless.

Arkady Repkin, military observer of the Telegram channel Ꙃstavny, retired colonel, doctor of military sciences, director of the Eurasian Institute for War Problems and Geopolitical Studies.

https://t.me/zastavnyii/2039 - zinc

The following commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin
Interceptions of "Points", as well as arrivals of "Points", have become really few in the last couple of months. At the same time, no critical number of videos with destroyed launchers (unlike various self-propelled guns and towed howitzers) was observed.

Posted by badanov 2022-11-07 00:00|| || Front Page|| [20 views ] Top

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