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2023-06-07 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
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Who blew the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station?
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin
[ColonelCassad] Regarding the comical statements that it was the RF Armed Forces themselves that blew up the Kakhovskaya HPP, then:
1. During the war, the Armed Forces of Ukraine repeatedly fired at the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, including the collapsed fragments of the dam, inflicting direct damage on them with various types of MLRS.
2. The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine openly stated that it was shelling the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station in order to destroy it and flood the territory of the Kherson region for military purposes.
3. Ukrainian propaganda openly threatened for many months with the destruction of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, in order to flood the left bank of the Dnieper and cut off the water supply to Crimea. Previously, the terrorist regime in Kyiv carried out a water blockade of Crimea for 7 years. Now these threats are shamefully wiped from the Internet.
4. Ukraine several times deliberately dumped water from the Zaporizhzhya hydroelectric power station, which led to an increase in the water level in the Kakhovka reservoir. In particular, last fall, when there was a lot of talk about a possible undermining of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, and literally on the eve of the destruction of the hydroelectric power station on the night of June 6th.
5. From a military point of view, flooding will create more problems for the RF Armed Forces than for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, because the RF Armed Forces will lose part of the defensive ground and minefields that will have to be created in the second circle after flooding.
6. Against the backdrop of the loss of Artemivsk and the failure of attempts to attack in the area of the Vremievsky ledge, Ukraine urgently needed another "bucha" in order to shift the focus from recent military failures.
7. The destruction of the Kakhovskaya HPP will not bring special benefits to Russia, because if the activity of the DRG on the islands in the Kherson region is difficult due to flooding, the situation on the coast of the Dnieper north of the Kakhovskaya HPP, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine can also carry out attacks in the interests of supporting offensive attempts on the Zaporozhye offensive, especially if the goal is to capture the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant. Moreover, the enemy had previously made unsuccessful landing attempts in the Energodar region in order to capture the ZNPP.
In this case, we have a motive, opportunities, proven facts of previous attacks of the Kakhovskaya HPP and documented confessions of the criminals that they are planning to commit a terrorist act by destroying the Kakhovskaya HPP.
Naturally, the sponsors of the Nazi regime in Kiev will do that they do not know who blew up the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station or directly blame Russia for this, just like they did during the blowing up of the Nord Stream. These are the same people. Therefore, the facts there, of course, are of no interest to anyone. We are talking about the implementation of their policy by terrorist methods.
More from Russian military blogger Andrey Chervonets
Around Kakhovskaya HPP
The attack on the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, as a result of which the hydroelectric power plant was partially destroyed, was allegedly inflicted by the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the Alder multiple launch rocket system.
At the same time, official Kiev cowardly accused the Russian side of hitting the dam, although this is not beneficial for the Russian side, since the Kakhovka reservoir provides for the needs of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, and flooding downstream of the Dnieper will flood just those lowlands on the left bank of the Dnieper, where the positions of the Russian Defense Ministry are located . Let me remind you that the right bank of the Dnieper, controlled by Kyiv, is high.
To "proof" the "guilt" of the Russian side in breaking the dam, Kyiv very quickly threw in a pre-prepared fake in the form of a video, which depicts the old blow to the dam of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station by Khaymersami. Such efficiency and prepared fake videos speak of the preparation of official Kyiv for this strike.
On Tuesday night, as a result of Ukrainian shelling, the upper part of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station was “demolished”, the reservoir dam itself was not destroyed, but an uncontrolled discharge of water began. The head of the administration of Nova Kakhovka, Vladimir Leontiev, said that the extent of the destruction of the Kakhovka hydroelectric power station is very serious, and the hydroelectric power station will practically have to be rebuilt.
The Nazis do not hesitate to demolish dams and bridges, and the flood of the Dnieper does not stop them.
It is interesting that in the analysis of RybarLiterally 10 hours before the strike on the Kakhovskaya HPP, the forecast was repeated that this would soon happen in order to flood the Russian left bank. The purpose of flooding on the surface is to flood the mines and the enemy will land over them within 3 days.
In fact, this may well be an informational rehearsal before a man-made disaster on a much larger scale. It is no coincidence that the president's office has been throwing a trial balloon since morning about the problems at the Zaporozhye NPP.
As today the world will assess the enemy's strike on the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, it will also evaluate, for example, an attack on a nuclear power plant. And he will evaluate it traditionally, according to the principle "they fired at themselves." Kyiv has a complete carte blanche.
More from regnum.ru
Russian Federation recorded the beginning of a disinformation campaign about the attack on the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station
Russia has recorded the start of a disinformation campaign about what happened at the Kakhovka hydroelectric power station, Vasily Nebenzya, Permanent Representative of the Russian Federation to the UN, said on June 6.
According to him, the Russian side is interested in conducting investigations into the destruction of the Kakhovskaya HPP. On Tuesday, June 6, Russia will raise the relevant issue at a meeting of the UN Security Council, he added.
By blowing up the dam, the Kiev regime committed an unthinkable crime, Nebenzia pointed out.
As IA Regnum reported , British Foreign Secretary James Cleverley was one of the first Western politicians to react to the blowing up of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric dam. He called the incident a "war crime", blaming Russia, as he promised that London would help Ukraine after the incident. According to experts, the attack on a strategically important facility on the Dnieper is part of the long-awaited and clearly begun offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The Russian Foreign Ministry called the incident at the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station a terrorist act planned by the Kyiv regime, directed against civilian infrastructure. The department stated that the Russian Federation initiates consideration of this crime of the Kyiv regime in the UN Security Council, the statutory and policy-making bodies of the OSCE and other international organizations.
After another shelling by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the night of June 6, 2023 (presumably from the Alder MLRS), 11 of the 28 spans of the hydroelectric power station were destroyed. The Kremlin called the explosion of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station a sabotage by Ukraine.
Yet more from regnum.ru
Zakharova: Moscow warned the UN about Kyiv's plans to destroy the Kakhovka hydroelectric power station
Russian Permanent Representative to the UN Vasily Nebenzya warned UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres on October 21 that Ukraine plans to destroy the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant, Maria Zakharova, spokeswoman for the Russian Foreign Ministry, said on June 6 in her Telegram channel.
“Question to the UN Secretary General: what was done?” she wrote.
Earlier, the press secretary of the President of Russia Dmitry Peskov called the explosion of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station a sabotage by Ukraine. He noted that the statements of the Ukrainian authorities and the EU authorities about Russia's responsibility for undermining the station have nothing to do with reality.
As Vladimir Tetelmin , doctor of technical sciences, academician of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences, hydropower engineer , noted in an interview with IA Regnum , the Ukrainian authorities were preparing for a sabotage at the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station and began to dump water upstream in advance in order to overflow the Kakhovka reservoir and make the consequences of the disaster as destructive as possible.
Head of the Department of Political Science and Sociology of the PRUE Plekhanov, Andrey Koshkin , an expert of the Association of Military Political Scientists, in a commentary to IA Regnum noted that the strikes on the hydroelectric power station indicate that the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has begun, and the purpose of the strikes is to “flood” in the literal sense of the word the Russian defensive fortifications and, figuratively, the reputation of Russia.
Yet again, more from regnum.ru
Bild corrected the news accusing Russia of blowing up the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station
The German newspaper Bild on the morning of June 6 accused Russia of blowing up the dam of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, and then changed the wording on its website to neutral, while leaving the “blaming” headline on its pages on social networks.
On the website of the publication, the heading “Russia blew up a huge dam” was changed to “A huge dam in Ukraine was blown up,” RIA Novosti noted. On Bild social media, the headline remained the same.
Earlier, representatives of the leadership of Ukraine, as well as the head of the European Council Charles Michel , without presenting any arguments, accused Russia of undermining the dam of the station.
Undermining the dam of the station is a deliberate sabotage of Ukraine, said the press secretary of the President of Russia Dmitry Peskov . The Kiev regime "received an order" to carry out this sabotage, and he must bear responsibility for it, Peskov said.
As IA Regnum reported earlier, after another shelling by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the night of June 5-6 (presumably from the Alder MLRS), 11 of the 28 spans of the hydroelectric power station were destroyed. Water from the Kakhovka reservoir began to be discharged uncontrollably downstream of the Dnieper. The water level in Novaya Kakhovka has risen by 10 meters, evacuation from flooded areas is underway.
The Ukrainian authorities were preparing for a sabotage at the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station and began to dump water upstream of the Dnieper in advance in order to overflow the Kakhovka reservoir and make the consequences of the disaster as destructive as possible, Vladimir Tetelmin , doctor of technical sciences, academician of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences, hydropower engineer , said in an interview with IA Regnum .
Attacks on hydropower plants are evidence of the beginning of the counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, their goal is to “flood” in the literal sense of the word the Russian defensive lines and figuratively the reputation of Russia, the head of the Department of Political Science and Sociology of the Russian University of Economics named after M. Plekhanov, expert of the Association of military political scientists Andrey Koshkin .
Kakhovskaya HPP was built by 12,000 people and more than 200 pieces of equipment, and restoration work will be difficult, lengthy and expensive, said Alexander Timofeev, an economist, associate professor of the Department of Informatics at the Russian University of Economics, in an interview with IA Regnum . G. V. Plekhanov.
More from the V Kontakte page of Tatyana Vasilyeva
Both we and the enemy (NATO proxies) are trying to blame each other for blowing up the dam of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station. At the same time, accusing each other of blowing up the dam, each of the parties is trying to show how the dam break negatively affects the position of the enemy, they say again "they fired on themselves."
Let's try to understand this situation objectively. The initiator of undermining the dam, most likely, is the party to which this action is most beneficial.
I will not immediately discard the version that this action could have been committed by our armed forces, because. Russia actually knows how to wage a total war (not like it is waging now, but like it was waging in 1941-1945, opposing the previous variation of the European Union), potentially it can.
The potential benefits of our country are only the following:
1. Washing out the enemy from the islands on the Dnieper (but as soon as the water goes down, the enemy will immediately return).
2. Destruction of the passage along the dam, in order to reduce the possibility of a quick transfer of heavy military equipment by the enemy in the event of a breakthrough to the left bank of the Dnieper.
That's all the "benefits", i.e. such actions could have some effectiveness in the event of an enemy breakthrough through the Dnieper in order to bring down his offensive pressure, these are actions in the style of "we would have a dayhold out, but stand the night. "
Now consider the benefits that the enemy (NATO proxies) derives from undermining the dam:
1. Washing away our positions and minefields from the gently sloping left bank of the Dnieper.
2. Logistic isolation of the Kinburn Spit, complicating the supply of troops on the spit.
3 Depriving our side of the ability to regulate the discharge of water (in the event that the enemy built pontoon crossings across the Dnieper, our armed forces had the opportunity to wash them off, now there is no such possibility).
4. Narrowing the width of the Kakhovka reservoir, which expands the possibilities for river landing by 250 kilometers. We remember last year's landings in Energodar near the nuclear power plant. And if the Dnieper was much narrower there, the enemy could be more successful. Stopping these threats will require from us large forces along the Dnieper.
5. Loss of a significant part of the Crimean water supply due to the shallowing of the water intake from the Dnieper, which leads to a decrease in economic activity in Crimea during the peak agricultural season. (Governor of Crimea Aksyonov M.V. confirmed the risk of canal shallowing).
6. Threat of a shutdown of the Zaporizhzhya NPP due to the difficulty of replenishing the cooling pond (the head of the IAEA confirmed a significant decrease in the level in the cooling reservoir).
7. Retired power plants (Kakhivska HPP and Zaporizhzhya NPP) will need to be compensated in some way, in part, by small diesel power plants, this will require additional fuel volumes and increase the logistical load.
In general, the enemy creates strategic problems for us. On the one hand, trying to turn the Crimea, Kherson region and Zaporozhye into a "suitcase without a handle", on the other hand, by lowering the Kakhovka reservoir, it narrows the Dnieper, increasing the length of the sections on which it can be forced.
According to the factors considered, it is clear who benefited from the blowing of the dam. Most likely, he did it.
How to counter this? Only by seizing the initiative.
Evgeny Andrushchenko
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