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2023-08-18 Africa Horn
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Why Somalia is delaying phase II of Al-Shabaab crackdown
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Hurry up and wait... [Garowe] The federal government of Somalia may delay planned operations against al-Shabaab
 ...... the personification of Somali state failure...
forces of Evil due to inadequate preparations and lack of confirmation from frontline nations whether they will participate in the crackdown or not, several months after a number of countries pledged to dispatch their troops.
Major General Ibrahim Sheikh Muhudin told VOA's The Dossier that it doesn’t appear to him that troops from Æthiopia, Kenya, and Djibouti will participate in the second phase of operations dubbed "Operation Black Lion." According to him, all indications are that the frontline nations "will not have immediate, direct participation".
A few months ago, leaders from Æthiopia, Kenya, and Djibouti pledged to dispatch more soldiers to the country to assist those serving in the African Union
...a union consisting of 53 African states, most run by dictators of one flavor or another. The only all-African state not in the AU is Morocco. Established in 2002, the AU is the successor to the Organisation of African Unity (OAU), which was even less successful...
Transition Mission in Somalia [ATMIS], the Somali National Army [SNA], and the US Africa Command in planned operations within Jubaland and Southwest states.
However,
a woman is only as old as she admits...
Muhudin says the countries did not inform them about whether they are still willing to participate.
"There is a preparation before an operation, I don’t see the preparation," he said. "We are waiting for them but I don’t see they can be part of what we are working on now, considering their preparation."
But despite the uncertainty, a senior military leader in the Kenya Defense Forces [KDF] told VOA that the country's position on the pledge had not changed.
"From our perspective, we are still committed to Operation Black Lion," the official said.
Presidents William Ruto [Kenya], Ismail Guelleh [Djibouti], and Æthiopia Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed promised to dispatch non-ATMIS troops to Somalia ahead of the second phase of operations against al-Shabaab. The first phase which targeted HirShabelle and Galmadug states was termed as "successful".
In their Feb communique, the leaders said that they agreed to "jointly plan and organize a robust operational campaign at the frontline states level, of search and destroy al-Shabaab on multiple frontlines aiming at the key strategic al-Shabaab strongholds across the south and central Somalia."
The deputy president of Jubaland Mohamud Sayid Aden who is in Doolow town, where Æthiopia military activities have been taking place said there is a "delay in the timing" of the operation. According to him, economic reasons could have informed the delay.
Sayid Aden further dismissed claims that the ongoing conflict in the Amhara region of Æthiopia could have contributed to the unprecedented delay. Some reports indicate that a number of Æthiopian non-ATMIS soldiers have already crossed over to Somalia.
"It has no relation with the internal issues in Æthiopia because the troops Æthiopia allocated for Operation Black Lion are stationed alongside the border, from Doolow [Somalia] to Godey [Æthiopia] where I recently travelled," he said.
But Muhudin says he is not giving up hope that the frontline countries could play a role in the offensive.
"If things change and they come back we’ll welcome, If they don’t return you can figure out that we are not going to sit around; the task awaits us," he said.
Kenya has started mobilizing troops along her borders in what is viewed as a strategy to prevent the forces of Evil from further penetrating the mostly non-existent border. In July, the country delayed the reopening of the Kenya-Somalia border due to increased al-Shabaab activities in Garissa, Mandera, Wajir, and Lamu counties. 
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Posted by trailing wife 2023-08-18 00:00||
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File under: al-Shabaab (AQ)
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Posted by Skidmark 2023-08-18 10:00||
2023-08-18 10:00||
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Posted by Super Hose 2023-08-18 13:57||
2023-08-18 13:57||
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