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#1 In terms of energy impact, perhaps, but Weather Underground is forecasting a Cat 1 hit pretty much centered on N'alins Tuesday afternoon
Posted by Bobby 2012-08-27 06:08||
2012-08-27 06:08||
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#2 this tropical storm has confounded the forecasts
it has refused to intensity as rapidly as models have indicated and keeps trending left of the forecast path
some of the major differences between Isaac and Katrina
- more pockets of mid level dry air with Isaac
- no El Nino with Katrina
Posted by lord garth 2012-08-27 08:17||
2012-08-27 08:17||
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#3 I believe Katrina was the third in a series of storms which had the ground saturated and Mississippi already high even before landfall.
Posted by swksvolFF 2012-08-27 09:29||
2012-08-27 09:29||
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#4 ..this tropical storm has confounded the forecasts
Which leads the question, if their models can't predict several days or one week in advance, how can they rationally project decades and lifetimes ahead? GIGO
Posted by Procopius2k 2012-08-27 10:23||
2012-08-27 10:23||
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#5 prop
A lot of people use that logical meme but its basically wrong.
Yes, the 48 hour forecast may be dead wrong but nonetheless we can say with certainty that winter will be colder than summer.
Similarly, we may fail to predict the crumbling of a retaining wall but we can accurately predict the position of planets and asteriods.
Posted by lord garth 2012-08-27 10:57||
2012-08-27 10:57||
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#6 We are taking no chances. Evacuated Sat to Portland. Grandson here might possibly e a factor.
Posted by Glenmore 2012-08-27 13:53||
2012-08-27 13:53||
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#7 I love it when my prayers are answered.
Of course, I didn't specify how much it should go to the left...
Posted by Ptah 2012-08-27 14:00||
2012-08-27 14:00||
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#8 I have too much work to do down here to evacuate to a glacier to escape the heat to Portland to escape the storm...
Posted by Thing From Snowy Mountain 2012-08-27 15:38||
2012-08-27 15:38||
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#9 ...but we can accurately predict the position of planets and asteroids.
Purer math, far fewer variables in the environment. There exists a long established methodology by the astronomical community that uses explicit base observations and formulas that have been tested for generations and repeatedly validated.
Posted by Procopius2k 2012-08-27 15:56||
2012-08-27 15:56||
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#10 Weather has to take into account mutant Japanese butterflies and the heathen collectivist prayers for a Tampa slam, which not only slightly delayed the opening rounds (get to see Tampa/Texas play ball) but will bring water and prosperity to thirsty bible belt farmers as well as the Halliburton weather devision - move along you did not read this part.
Posted by swksvolFF 2012-08-27 17:40||
2012-08-27 17:40||
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#11 at 8 pm edt, its still a tropical storm - not yet a hurricane
Posted by lord garth 2012-08-27 20:33||
2012-08-27 20:33||
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#12 Evacuated Sat to Portland.
Taking precautions is good, but fleeing all the way to Oregon seems to be over-doing it.
Posted by SteveS 2012-08-27 21:31||
2012-08-27 21:31||
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#13 I fled from Katrina, decided it was too much and moved back to Montgomery, No hurricanes ever hit here.
Posted by Redneck Jim 2012-08-27 22:44||
2012-08-27 22:44||
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