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2004-09-01 -Short Attention Span Theater-

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Posted by Steve 2004-09-01 2:16:03 PM|| || Front Page|| [5 views since 2007-05-07] Top

#1 TGA - Just think, you might get to "see" a hurricane when you come to Florida! Won't that be a hoot? Perhaps the vote will end up being a back-page story... Lol!

Posted by .com 2004-09-01 2:32:48 PM|| 2004-09-01 2:32:48 PM|| Front Page Top

#2 TGA is coming to the US? Are you gonna be one of the "international observers" at our elections? That would be awesome!

Posted by Seafarious 2004-09-01 2:42:46 PM|| 2004-09-01 2:42:46 PM|| Front Page Top

#3 Sea - he said it was a possibility last night - don't recall which thread at the moment. I'll update with a link if / when I locate it. And yeah, it would be beyond cool! Mebbe we should plan a field trip to Florida, lol!

Posted by .com 2004-09-01 2:46:01 PM|| 2004-09-01 2:46:01 PM|| Front Page Top

#4 Sea - Oops - night before last... Link... See comment #8.

I'm sure he'd have a great time - assuming he didn't have to hang out with people like Alcee Hastings, heh. And that's where you could save the day!

I hereby nominate you to be the Official RB Observer of the 2004 Florida Vote, heh.

Posted by .com 2004-09-01 3:11:42 PM|| 2004-09-01 3:11:42 PM|| Front Page Top

#5 Readies for France's what?

Posted by Robert Crawford 2004-09-01 3:16:27 PM|| [http://www.kloognome.com/] 2004-09-01 3:16:27 PM|| Front Page Top

#6 The "Rantburg Ready Response" European election observers: TGA, Bulldog, Howard, Shep, Dutchgeek and the dude from Brussels Blog. (Apologies to anyone I've left out.) Also Rafael, Canuck, the rest of the Canadiens on duty at the RB Center for International Studies and Expense Account-Padding.

Posted by Seafarious 2004-09-01 3:19:42 PM|| 2004-09-01 3:19:42 PM|| Front Page Top

#7 RC, Florida is getting ready for Hurricane Frances. But you knew that. :-)

Posted by Seafarious 2004-09-01 3:22:24 PM|| 2004-09-01 3:22:24 PM|| Front Page Top

#8 JFM!!! And then we kidnap him and not let him return, heh. He belongs in the US!

Posted by .com 2004-09-01 4:28:17 PM|| 2004-09-01 4:28:17 PM|| Front Page Top

#9 It's entirely possible. I am routinely asked to participate in election observations (Lithuania, Latvia, Slovakia, Romania etc.) but haven't done so for years. Although in this case I'd have to look into the political implications. If there is a chance that the OSCE is instrumentalized by the Anti Bush camp, I won't have any part in that.

Good luck with that hurricane though. It's all Bush's fault. You know, it's the secret CIA special weather operation to damage Florida so that Bush can look good providing swift help. Mucky will explain chainey's role in all that.

Posted by True German Ally 2004-09-01 4:46:47 PM|| 2004-09-01 4:46:47 PM|| Front Page Top

#10 LOL, TGA. If you decide to observe, see if you can arrange a few days in Virginia, the mother of Presidents and Capital of the Confederacy.

Drinks are on me. :-p

Posted by Barbara Skolaut 2004-09-01 4:56:38 PM|| 2004-09-01 4:56:38 PM|| Front Page Top

#11 TGA, please send me a note if you're coming Stateside. And your presence is extra-necessary if the OSCE is an anti-Bush tool. Someone's gotta watch the watchers. Make sure you get a really good hotel room, a double-plus luxury car, and lobster every night while you're here. George Soros & company won't mind picking up the tab!

Posted by Seafarious 2004-09-01 4:58:58 PM|| 2004-09-01 4:58:58 PM|| Front Page Top

#12 P.S. My apologies to all the Floridians in harm's way, whose thread I've hijacked. Good luck and I'll throw some change in the Red Thingy tip jar, for both you and Richmond.

Posted by Seafarious 2004-09-01 5:00:39 PM|| 2004-09-01 5:00:39 PM|| Front Page Top

#13 Halliburton Hurricane Repairâ¢ at the ready, sir!

Posted by Frank G 2004-09-01 5:02:34 PM|| 2004-09-01 5:02:34 PM|| Front Page Top

#14 chainey bribed france

Posted by mucks halfwit assistant 2004-09-01 5:17:29 PM|| 2004-09-01 5:17:29 PM|| Front Page Top

#15 Barbara and Seafarious, many thanks :-)
Observing the OSCE observing might not be such a bad idea indeed.

Posted by True German Ally 2004-09-01 5:22:28 PM|| 2004-09-01 5:22:28 PM|| Front Page Top

#16 AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FLEW AGAIN IN THE EYE OF FRANCES
AND ESTIMATED A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 938 MB. THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE
WARMED BUT THE PLANE MEASURED 131 KNOTS AT FLIGHT LEVEL. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 120 KNOTS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY
FORECAST CALLS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS INDICATED BY THE SHIPS MODEL...BUT
MOST LIKELY THE HURRICANE WILL GO THROUGH INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS
DURING EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES. IF FACT...THE 1719Z RECON FIX
REPORTED A DOUBLE EYEWALL SUGGESTING THAT ANOTHER OF THESE
PROCESSES IS TAKING PLACE. THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO REACH THE
U.S. COAST AS A MAJOR HURRICANE.

DATA FROM THE STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER...SFMR...ON
BOARD THE NOAA P3 AIRCRAFT WERE USED TO DECREASE THE WIND RADII
ESTIMATES IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. BECAUSE THE NW WIND RADII ARE
SMALLER THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED...THE ISSUANCE OF A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST CAN BE DELAYED A LITTLE.

FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13
KNOTS AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. HOW FAR WEST
THE HURRICANE WILL GO WILL DEPEND ON THE FUTURE STRENGTH OF THE
RIDGE AND THAT VARIES FROM MODEL TO MODEL. THE GFS AND THE GFDL
CONSISTENTLY WEAKEN THE RIDGE AND TURN THE HURRICANE NORTHWESTWARD
EARLIER THAN ANY OTHER MODELS. BECAUSE THE GFS AND GFDL MODELS ARE
VERY RELIABLE...I WAS TEMPTED TO SHIFT THE TRACK A LITTLE BIT TO
THE NORTH AND EAST AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THE FLORIDA STATE
UNIVERSITY SUPER-ENSEMBLE AND THE CONU CONSENSUS...WHICH CONSISTS
OF THE AVERAGE OF THE GFDL...GFDN...GFS...NOGAPS AND UKMET
MODELS...BRING THE HURRICANE ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK ACROSS
FLORIDA. THEREFORE...I AM NOT READY TO MAKE THE NORTHWARD SHIFT AT
THIS TIME AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REMAINS AS IN THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY...VERY CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS AND BASICALLY ON TOP OF THE
FSU SUPER-ENSEMBLE.

Leave your mobile/modular housing now. Prepare to leave the coast from Cape Canaveral to Brunswick. To wit: Head for the hills!

Happily for Florida the forecast track keeps moving north....

Posted by Shipman 2004-09-01 5:31:57 PM|| 2004-09-01 5:31:57 PM|| Front Page Top

#17 I think the Nole Cast is wrong for the first time.

Posted by Shipman 2004-09-01 5:33:51 PM|| 2004-09-01 5:33:51 PM|| Front Page Top

#18 "To wit: Head for the hills!"

Lol! What hills? Hell, you gotta run all the way to Georgia to find a bump in the road!

Serious side: Plz take care all you Floridians - East Coasters. I think we lucked out with Barbara coming through Gaston okay. Too close. Gotta have all of you back ASAP to help defend RB, heh! If someone gets in trouble, don't hesitate to post a note here whenever you get a chance. Think WiFi laptops & Starbucks (or wherever).

Posted by .com 2004-09-01 9:40:39 PM|| 2004-09-01 9:40:39 PM|| Front Page Top

#19 Any Floridians - take care, prepare, and evacuate if they tell you to (I know, easier said than done - I finally did during last year's San Diego Cedar Fires, after the hills 200 yds away were on fire.) Keep us posted, and our prayers are with you

Posted by Frank G 2004-09-01 10:04:09 PM|| 2004-09-01 10:04:09 PM|| Front Page Top

#20 I second Frank G - please heed any warnings if you even think you're in Frances' path.

Two more bodies were found here today as some of the water recedes.

Be careful, Floridians.

Posted by Barbara Skolaut 2004-09-01 10:35:15 PM|| 2004-09-01 10:35:15 PM|| Front Page Top

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