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2004-10-10 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia

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Posted by RWV 2004-10-10 8:26:23 PM|| || Front Page|| [2 views since 2007-05-07] Top

#1 I guess that means everyone will get a bigger apartment, and the country will make billions from the sale of carbon credits under the Kyoto Treaty. Almost as profitable as oil, and no effort to get it out from the ground.

/shallow shortsightedness

So, the Chinese will continue settling population in the border areas, and lots of them will be thrilled to get older Russians as wives. And in the end the Russian oil fields will fulfill Chinese needs rather than Europe's, while the children will have an adorable mixture of Slavic and Oriental characteristics. Hmmm....

Posted by trailing wife 2004-10-10 8:56:30 PM|| 2004-10-10 8:56:30 PM|| Front Page Top

#2 The demographic collapse west of the Urals is a major source of current and especially future instability. Add in massive industrial pollution in many parts of the country (with associated birth defects) and a rising Aids crisis.

It's not hard to imagine that the trend some see towards autocracy will accelerate over the next decade or so. I hope not, but ...

Oh yes, the fastest rising demographic, east of the Urals, is ethnic Chinese.

Posted by rkb 2004-10-10 10:25:42 PM|| 2004-10-10 10:25:42 PM|| Front Page Top

#3 Russia will likely devolve into a much smaller, Europeanized, reasonably well-governed and demographically stable western-oriented state with only a loose attachment to a set of de facto Chinese puppet regimes covering the Far East and the Siberian regions north and east of Novosibirsk.

Russia will never be both democratic and geographically vast. A smaller Russian Federation would allow for a better-governed, more democratic Russian entity stretching roughly from St Petersburg to Novosibirsk.

Posted by lex 2004-10-11 11:48:30 AM|| 2004-10-11 11:48:30 AM|| Front Page Top

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