Article

2008-04-10 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-

Fasten your seatbelts, it's gonna be a bumpy hurricane season.

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Posted by GolfBravoUSMC 2008-04-10 12:30|| || Front Page|| [3 views ] Top

#1 After the 2005 hurricanes the spiel became "global warming causes hurricanes". After the last couple years it changed to "global warming decreases hurricanes". I guess now they're just shutting up about it. We should enjoy relative quiet while it lasts. Because you know that this November WHATEVER kind of hurricane season we have, it will of course be blamed on globall vorming.

Posted by Hector 2008-04-10 13:13|| 2008-04-10 13:13|| Front Page Top

#2 The guy's not exactly money in the bank...

Forecasters: 'Very Active' 2007 Hurricane Season
03 April 2007 10:07 am ET

The latest forecast upgrades the teams earlier predictions for the 2007 hurricane season. The team now expects 17 named storms to form in the Atlantic, with nine of those storms becoming hurricanes. Five of the hurricanes are expected to develop into major storms (Categories 3, 4, and 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale) with wind speeds of 111 mph or greater. The earlier 2007 forecast estimated 14 named storms and 3 hurricanes.

2006: Forecast flop

Forecasts for 2006, by Gray's team and another by government meteorologists, also predicted an active hurricane season, but only 10 named storms developed and only 5 of those became hurricanes. By all accounts, the forecasts were wrong. Meteorologists said later on that a strong El Niño event weakened storm activity. The energy from El Niño starts with a huge, warmer-than-normal "bathtub" of seawater that races from west to east in the Pacific and across the continent and eventually results in atmospheric energy that shears the tops off Atlantic storms before they can really intensify.

Posted by tu3031 2008-04-10 13:32|| 2008-04-10 13:32|| Front Page Top

#3 Didn't they say that the last 2 years?

Since that turned out to be soooo accurate, guess we'd better pay attention to them.

/sarcasm

Posted by Barbara Skolaut">Barbara Skolaut 2008-04-10 15:43|| http://ariellestjohndesigns.com/]">[http://ariellestjohndesigns.com/] 2008-04-10 15:43|| Front Page Top

#4 Not only that, Barbara, but they can amazingly predict even *more complex* weather phenomenon 100 years from now to one-tenth of one degree! It's like money in the bank!

*snicker*

Posted by BA 2008-04-10 15:59|| 2008-04-10 15:59|| Front Page Top

#5 "they can amazingly predict even *more complex* weather phenomenon 100 years from now to one-tenth of one degree!"

So many of the globall vormers fail to realize that precision is no substitute for accuracy. There are more than content to be precisely inaccurate time after time as long as it gives their reported number an air of certitude.

Posted by Hector 2008-04-10 16:22|| 2008-04-10 16:22|| Front Page Top

#6 Forecasters made the same predictions about Australia for the cyclone season just ended. It was the quietest cyclone season in at least 20 years.

The forecast was 6 cyclones making landfall of which 2 or 3 severe (cat 3 or higher). We got a single weak cat 1 cyclone.

Posted by phil_b 2008-04-10 17:31|| 2008-04-10 17:31|| Front Page Top

#7 barbara i was thining the same thing

Posted by sinse 2008-04-10 18:18|| 2008-04-10 18:18|| Front Page Top

#8 In ancient times, a king went to an oracle to find out who would win if his army attacked that of another king.

The oracle replied: "A great victory is guaranteed."

The king's army got roundly thumped by their enemy, and he angrily returned to the oracle to demand an explanation.

To which the oracle replied: "The great victory was guaranteed to your enemy."

Posted by Anonymoose 2008-04-10 18:33|| 2008-04-10 18:33|| Front Page Top

#9 Does Vegas have an over/under on hurricanes ?

Posted by wxjames 2008-04-10 19:46|| 2008-04-10 19:46|| Front Page Top

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