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2009-10-24 China-Japan-Koreas

Tokyo still resistant to Washington base deal

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Posted by Fred 2009-10-24 00:00|| || Front Page|| [3 views ] Top

#1 TOPIX > JAPAN: NO BASE DECISION/DEAL UNTIL AFTER OBAMA VISIT.

versus

WMF > JAPAN: CHINA HAS DISCOVERED THE WEAKNESS OF US PACIFIC FORCES. CHIN recognizes it must

(1) DEPLOY MORE SUBMARINES CAPABLE OF STRATEGIC STRIKE FROM CHIN = EAST ASIAN LITTORALS. +
(2) PREEMPTIVE FIRST-USE OF BM NUCLEAR SATURATION STRIKES AGZ US PACIFIC AND CONUS TARGETS. A heavily damaged, but NOT destroyed, US DEFENSE would be hard pressed to stop FOLLOW-ON CHIN NUCLEAR + CONVENTIONAL STRIKES.

ARTIC > Year 2020-2040 > CHIN must seek to de facto dominate the "SECOND ISLAND CHAIN", i.e. IZU IsLands, OGASAWAR Islands, GUAM, SAIPAN-CNMI, + PAPUA NEW GUINEA [PNG], + surounding lessor islands or areas.

* SAME WMF > RUSSIAN DUMA APPROVES EXPANSION OF POWERS OF RUSSIAN PRESIDENCY TO USE MILITARY FORCE ABROAD. Not just CONVENTIONAL MIL = GROUND-TAC FORCES, but also NUCLEAR FORCE, IN DEFNSE OF RUSS INTERESTS + RUSS CITIZENS.

ARTIC > also INCLUSIVE OF PREEMPTIVE STRIKE.

* SAME MWF > AZERBAIJAN'S NEW MIL STRATEGY: TURN TOWARDS US-WEST WHILE ISOLATING RUSSIA IN THE CASPIAN REGION [four of ex-Russ States around Caspian are mostly MUSLIM].

"INTELLIGENCE VACUUM" in CASPIAN REGION may exist after expiration of RUSSO-AZERI Treatise [RussBases]in 2012.

Posted by JosephMendiola">JosephMendiola 2009-10-24 00:25|| na]">[na] 2009-10-24 00:25|| Front Page Top

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