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Houthi militia has sentenced four journalists to death in Yemen for ‘treason and espionage,’
Today's Headlines
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Page 4: Opinion
1 19:31 Procopius2k [5] 
6 15:22 M. Murcek [9] 
4 12:24 g(r)omgoru [10] 
1 17:39 trailing wife [7] 
4 22:58 Nero [5] 
15 21:59 KBK [10] 
16 22:07 Lex [14] 
6 14:38 swksvolFF [6] 
1 04:45 g(r)omgoru [2] 
2 10:22 JohnQC [4] 
6 10:11 Clem [7] 
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1 09:59 Clem [1]
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4 22:21 trailing wife [6]
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Page 6: Politix
8 14:25 M. Murcek [5]
5 15:41 Dron66046 [11]
1 09:45 JohnQC [4]
6 08:58 Bob Grorong1136 [7]
19 22:13 Lex [11]
4 23:08 KBK [8]
11 22:45 Lex [8]
22 22:18 Lex [15]
-Lurid Crime Tales-
After Major New Revelations of Russia Investigation Abuse, How Bruce Ohr Still Has a Job Remains a Mystery
[Red State] Yesterday, more major news broke in regards to not only FISA abuse, but also where the information for the Steele dossier came from. RedState reported on it here, citing Catherine Herridge sharing newly declassified documents requested by Sen. Ron Johnson.

The implications of this are just stunning. Bruce Ohr, a DOJ official, was meeting with a partisan political operative in Glen Simpson who was then sharing information from a Russian intelligence officer. There wasn’t even any ambiguity here. Ohr knew exactly where this information was coming from. These supposed "professionals" who we are told we must trust were feeding Russian disinformation, not even attempting to verify it, into FISA warrants. It’s like something out of a movie.

But while others like James Comey and Andrew McCabe have rightly been fired for the malfeascence that went on, Bruce Ohr continues to garner a government check. In fact, Ohr was given a massive raise and a bonus throughout the Russia investigation scandal. I guess it pays to be a conduit for Hillary Clinton’s Russian disinformation.

Think about how ridiculous this all is. The entire basis of the investigation was based on the notion that Donald Trump was secretly communicating with the Russians. Yet, at the exact same time that allegation was being pursued with everything the FBI had, the DOJ themselves were colluding with a Russian intel officer. That bad information was then used to get an illegal FISA warrant, and Bruce Ohr, the guy at the center of facilitating all this bad information from hostile sources, only got "demoted."

Despite all of this, there are people who still insist the DOJ and FBI did nothing wrong, that this was all just an avalanche of "mistakes." To be frank, one would have to be an absolute idiot to believe that at this point. You don’t meet with and take information from a partisan operative by Glen Simpson by mistake. You don’t then use that unverified information in FISA warrants by mistake. You don’t continue to pursue the investigation after knowing it was Russian disinformation by mistake. All of this was purposeful. They were looking for something to use to take down Donald Trump and if it was garbage from the Russians, they were willing to use it.
Posted by: Besoeker || 04/12/2020 02:31 || Comments || Link || [14 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Touch him or Nellie and the entire Intelligence Community, Christopher Steele bi-lateral project goes down. Brennan, Obama, and others included.

I fear too much time has past and nothing will ever come of this....or perhaps I'm just having a 'grassy knoll' moment.
Posted by: Besoeker || 04/12/2020 2:42 Comments || Top||

#2  A very compelling mystery. As soon as I solve the one occupying me now - why most politicians become richer - I'll attend to it.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru || 04/12/2020 3:53 Comments || Top||

#3  If the Trunks take the House back in November, they'd better put a high priority on reforming the Civil Service system or give up governing altogether.
Posted by: Procopius2k || 04/12/2020 6:44 Comments || Top||

#4  Judging from the pictures, this must not be the thread about a beauty pageant.
Posted by: Raj || 04/12/2020 8:11 Comments || Top||

#5  Judging from the picture I'm not altogether certain 'they' aren't the same person.
Posted by: Cesare || 04/12/2020 9:51 Comments || Top||

#6  Imagine what their pet dog looks like.
Posted by: Clem || 04/12/2020 9:58 Comments || Top||

#7  I wonder if any of these seditionists will be prosecuted? They tried to take down a candidate and duly elected president. That is as serious as it gets. If nothing is done to bring these cabalists to justice, the "rule of law" will be destroyed in the U.S.A.
Posted by: JohnQC || 04/12/2020 10:29 Comments || Top||

#8  It's already destroyed. Nothing's going to be done. All this Russia-gate and "lock her up" stuff is all penny matinée material not unlike the Kardashians.

But if your name is Roger Stone or Paul Manafort or Julian Assange, then that's different.
Posted by: Clem || 04/12/2020 10:52 Comments || Top||

#9  /\ I fear you are right Clem, and with each passing day without indictments and convictions, a further confirmation.
Posted by: Besoeker || 04/12/2020 10:59 Comments || Top||

#10  The worst of many awful consequences attending this shitshow is the stranglehold it has placed around Trump's policy toward Russia. We have wasted almost four years in which OrangeMan could have reached an understanding over Ukraine, sanctions, NATO and Syria.

Had we achieved that, we would today be in a position to peel Russia away from China, and completely surround and contain China with hostile states aligned to us.

Those bastards at FBI State CIA and Fusion didn't just conspire to subvert the election results; they have greatly undermined our national security.

Is this not treason?
Posted by: Lex || 04/12/2020 11:18 Comments || Top||

#11  It is treason Lex, and the weakness in this is Kelli since she leads to Brennan. I wonder ow about the obscure reference at the beginning of th unraveling of this about her late in life license in shortwave radio. The one communication medium not fully monitored and recorded you our NSA. Old school tradecraft might be the dead end for investigators if she keeps her mouth shut?
Posted by: NoMoreBS || 04/12/2020 14:09 Comments || Top||

#12  Nelli not Kelli.
Posted by: NoMoreBS || 04/12/2020 14:11 Comments || Top||

#13  The one communication medium not fully monitored and recorded you our NSA.

Or so they say. It's absurdly low bandwidth and mostly bad quality audio. Maybe hard to analyze, but not a big task to capture. Especially with a Trumpet, perhaps?
Posted by: M. Murcek || 04/12/2020 14:18 Comments || Top||

#14  Maybe he's cooperating to allow minor hand slap for him and Nellie then a quiet retirement.
Posted by: Dave Mac || 04/12/2020 14:39 Comments || Top||

#15  and completely surround and contain China with hostile states aligned to us.

Lex, Moscow was until recently the capitol of an empire that controlled over half the world and influenced the rest as an equal of and competitor to the U.S. They will never align with us, any more than France has really done (though the French empire ended almost a century ago after the second world war), though like France they will work with us on some projects of mutual benefit.

Yes, we could have reached understandings about Ukraine, etc, but the only understandings that would be acceptable to Moscow would involve us backing off completely and letting them do as they please over there, while conceding nothing on our side of the world.
Posted by: trailing wife || 04/12/2020 16:55 Comments || Top||

#16  I see your point, TW, and agree the Russians and the Americans are too different culturally politically and socially to ever be more than allies of convenience.

But the time requires such an alliance. China is a mortal threat to this country. We need Russia on our side.
Posted by: Lex || 04/12/2020 22:07 Comments || Top||


-Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
Virus Lockdown in Beijing
[Aljazeera] Beijing is a city under lockdown.

Life in the Chinese capital has ground to a halt, as authorities wage a desperate battle to contain the coronavirus epidemic.

Sebastien Le Belzic, a journalist based in Beijing for 13 years, has found himself largely confined to his apartment, giving him a front-row seat to the government's attempts to control the virus.

Turning the camera on his own daily routine with his wife and son, Sebastien provides a rare inside glimpse into life under quarantine.

The picture that emerges is one of a city where subways usually crammed with commuters are eerily empty, where multilane highways notorious for traffic gridlock are devoid of vehicles, a city where not just people, but even dogs, wear masks.

Venturing out, Sebastien and his wife don the required face masks and prepare to go through the numerous checkpoints and roadblocks around the city.

"The entire apparatus of the Communist Party, its neighbourhood committees, which usually monitors residents' political and social behaviour, have now been turned into specialised virus watchdogs," he says.

"Temperature monitoring, mandatory quarantine after leaving the city, mandatory masks, Beijingers have slowly disappeared from view in their city, forced to stay home by both the government and fear."

Sebastien also reveals how Chinese authorities are tracking people's whereabouts - there are now apps that allow residents to geolocate people who have been diagnosed.

With most of the world's media cut off from the capital, 101 East follows one journalist's "chronicle of confinement".
Posted by: Besoeker || 04/12/2020 10:54 || Comments || Link || [10 views] Top|| File under: Commies

#1  Maybe 'extreme social distancing' was too extreme?

Perhaps a mutation?

Or the news is just now getting out?
Posted by: Bobby || 04/12/2020 11:18 Comments || Top||

#2  Wait just a damn minute!!

I was just told that China had this all fixed weeks ago and we should do what they do.

Did the press not have the whole story??

Did the commies fib??

tune in later---
Posted by: AlanC || 04/12/2020 12:06 Comments || Top||

#3  Aw shucks, you mean no film at 11?
Posted by: DooDahMan || 04/12/2020 12:09 Comments || Top||

#4  It's from March 26.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru || 04/12/2020 12:24 Comments || Top||


Fears of ‘Wild West' as COVID-19 blood tests hit the market
WASHINGTON (AP) — Blood tests for the coronavirus could play a key role in deciding whether millions of Americans can safely return to work and school. But public health officials warn that the current "Wild West" of unregulated tests is creating confusion that could ultimately slow the path to recovery.

More than 70 companies have signed up to sell so-called antibody tests in recent weeks, according to U.S. regulators. Governments around the world hope that the rapid tests, which typically use a finger-prick of blood on a test strip, could soon ease public restrictions by identifying people who have previously had the virus and have developed some immunity to it.

But key questions remain: How accurate are the tests, how much protection is needed and how long will that protection last.

The blood tests are different from the nasal swab-based tests currently used to diagnose active COVID-19 infections. Instead, the tests look for blood proteins called antibodies, which the body produces days or weeks after fighting an infection. The same approach is used for HIV, hepatitis, Lyme disease, lupus and many other diseases.

Because of the relative simplicity of the technology, the Food and Drug Administration decided to waive initial review of the tests as part of its emergency response to the coronavirus outbreak.

Right now, the tests are most useful for researchers studying how the virus has spread through the U.S. population. The government said Friday it has started testing 10,000 volunteers. The White House has not outlined a broader plan for testing and how the results might be used.

With almost no FDA oversight of the tests, "It really has created a mess that’s going to take a while to clean up," said Eric Blank of the Association for Public Health Laboratories. "In the meantime, you’ve got a lot of companies marketing a lot of stuff and nobody has any idea of how good it is."

Members of Blank’s group, which represent state and local lab officials, have urged the FDA to revisit its lax approach toward the tests. That approach essentially allows companies to launch as long as they notify the agency and include disclaimers. Companies are supposed to state that their tests have not been FDA-approved and cannot rule out whether someone is currently infected.

Posted by: Besoeker || 04/12/2020 09:04 || Comments || Link || [5 views] Top|| File under:

#1  How accurate are the tests, how much protection is needed


Protection from what?

This sounds like another bait and switch argument, who does it help?
Posted by: AlanC || 04/12/2020 12:22 Comments || Top||

#2  Protection from Bill Gates, W.H.O., and Tony Fauci, hopefully.
Posted by: Clem || 04/12/2020 12:32 Comments || Top||

#3  Ahhh so that's where the nonfunctional made in China test kits went!
Posted by: Seeking Cure For Ignorance || 04/12/2020 22:16 Comments || Top||

#4  "Eric Blank of the Association for Public Health Laboratories"

Can you say "rent seeker"?
Posted by: Nero || 04/12/2020 22:58 Comments || Top||


Coronavirus: Why has the virus hit African Americans so hard?
BLUF
[BBC] 'Structural racism is to blame'

As health commissioner in a city where nearly 40% of the residents are black, this misinformation was something Dr Jeanette Kowalik dealt with on a daily basis in her work in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

But just as her department was forming strategies to counter the narrative that the virus was something associated with foreign travel, Covid-19 struck her city.

"In the first week, there were maybe 80 cases in the city, and 70% of them were black," Dr Kowalik tells me.

She lays bare what she thinks is the major reason why African Americans are at a disadvantage when it comes to Covid-19.

"African-Americans have more of the underlying health conditions associated with fatality (among those with coronavirus); the heart disease, diabetes, asthma, obesity," says Dr Kowalik.

She also talks of more subtle ways in which the health of African Americans may be compromised, pointing to studies that suggest that prolonged raising of stress hormone levels like cortisol lead to premature aging of the body, and that some of that "weathering" has been tied to encountering racism.

"These are all things that can be tied back to the structural racism, the policies and practices that have been in place in this country for a very long time," she says.

Dr Kowalik says the way African Americans are being impacted by this crisis and the difficulties that remain in getting a coronavirus test in low-income communities has left people feeling they are being neglected yet again.
Posted by: Besoeker || 04/12/2020 02:49 || Comments || Link || [10 views] Top|| File under:

#1  "African-Americans have more of the underlying health conditions associated with fatality (among those with coronavirus); the heart disease, diabetes, asthma, obesity," says Dr Kowalik.

Commonly referred to (but not by Dr. Kowalik) as 'pre-existing conditions.' But of course, if pre-existing conditions are discussed, causation must also be discussed, things like education, culture, and the like. Perhaps we really shouldn't go there. Let's just stick to racism instead.

US Surgeon General Jerome Adams nails in his recent presention (found at this link).
Posted by: Besoeker || 04/12/2020 3:17 Comments || Top||

#2  For more on the topic:

How a small Georgia city far from New York became one of the worst coronavirus hotspots in the country.

I'll refer to it as the Albany, Georgia paradox. In desperation, or a move of political expedience, the Governor of Georgia dispatched the National Guard to Albany.
Posted by: Besoeker || 04/12/2020 3:36 Comments || Top||

#3  ^Could've happened exactly the same way to lily white people, Besoeker.

p.s. This should be a lesson to all the "country" people who think that Plagues are only dangerous to "city degenerates".
Posted by: g(r)omgoru || 04/12/2020 3:50 Comments || Top||

#4  Structurakl racisme? Had Obalma been White he would not have been elected to dog catcher
Posted by: JFM || 04/12/2020 6:31 Comments || Top||

#5  Two funerals likely sparked the spread, but how the disease got to Albany in the first place remains a mystery.

It's a mystery to some people how the light works when you flip the switch on the wall. It's magic to them. Oh, and all those roads and airports magically sprung from the ground.
Posted by: Procopius2k || 04/12/2020 7:27 Comments || Top||

#6  A thought - not even a theory. A few days ago there was an article here advancing the idea that CV was not primarily a pulmonary disease but instead was a hematic disease. Given the prevalence of sickle-cell anemia in the African-American population, this could be a contributing factor to the high infection rate.
Posted by: Mercutio || 04/12/2020 7:35 Comments || Top||

#7  That would indeed follow, Mercutio. We should then also look for coronavirus problems among those Mediterranean-descended subpopulations which also have a higher tendency toward sickle cell anemia.
Posted by: trailing wife || 04/12/2020 7:40 Comments || Top||

#8  Black folks are often heavier therefore insulin resistance therefore weakened immune system. I would like to see outcome vs BMI for each race. Maybe that would help.
Posted by: gorb || 04/12/2020 7:47 Comments || Top||

#9  What race has the most asthma?
Blacks and American Indian/Alaska Natives have the highest current asthma rates compared to other races and ethnicities. In 2017, Blacks (10.1%) were 25 percent more likely than Whites (8.1%) to still have asthma.Dec 4, 2019

Current Asthma Demographics | Asthma Trends Brief | American ...

That last line is supposed to be a link, sorry.
Posted by: Thimp Clusort2035 || 04/12/2020 7:56 Comments || Top||

#10  Strangely, or possibly not so, I've seen little with regard to the racial stats of CV from the media. The old 'what's not being said' theory ?

Japan and South Korea appear to have it under control. As mentioned in numbers 6,7,8 and 9, could there some sort of genetic predisposition ?

I doubt if anyone in the Japanese general population is much concerned about sickle-cell anemia. Harsh social and economic measures implemented to combat such a disease might be a tough sell in those parts.

Genetics? Oh no, we'd better default to Dr Kowalik's WOKE theories.
Posted by: Besoeker || 04/12/2020 8:04 Comments || Top||

#11  I think part of the story is that the BBC and the Guardian have been in a state of heightened sexual arousal ever since the number of US cases and deaths surpassed Italy's. (You couldn't get the smile off George Monbiot's face with a blow torch.) Being able to say that the virus is further evidence of American racism is just the icing on the cake.
Posted by: Matt || 04/12/2020 10:19 Comments || Top||

#12  Dr. recommends hydroxychloroquine and reparations twice a day.
Posted by: bbrewer126 || 04/12/2020 12:21 Comments || Top||

#13  Re #7: You mean like Italians, TW?
Posted by: Mercutio || 04/12/2020 13:53 Comments || Top||

#14  Some sub-populations of Italians, Mercutio, yes. If I recall correctly, the sickle red cell mutation has appeared several times in various populations in response to endemic malaria before the modern mania for drainage and DDT.
Posted by: trailing wife || 04/12/2020 17:18 Comments || Top||

#15  It appears this has been updated. A crosstab on sickle-cell anemia would surely be informative.

COVID-19: Attacks the 1-Beta Chain of Hemoglobin and Captures the Porphyrin to Inhibit Human Heme Metabolism

The novel coronavirus pneumonia (COVID-19) is an infectious acute respiratory infection caused by the novel coronavirus. The virus is a positive-strand RNA virus with high homology to bat coronavirus. In this study, conserved domain analysis, homology modeling, and molecular docking were used to compare the biological roles of certain proteins of the novel coronavirus. The results showed the ORF8 and surface glycoprotein could bind to the porphyrin, respectively. At the same time, orf1ab, ORF10, and ORF3a proteins could coordinate attack the heme on the 1-beta chain of hemoglobin to dissociate the iron to form the porphyrin. The attack will cause less and less hemoglobin that can carry oxygen and carbon dioxide. The lung cells have extremely intense poisoning and inflammatory due to the inability to exchange carbon dioxide and oxygen frequently, which eventually results in ground-glass-like lung images. The mechanism also interfered with the normal heme anabolic pathway of the human body, is expected to result in human disease. According to the validation analysis of these finds, chloroquine could prevent orf1ab, ORF3a, and ORF10 to attack the heme to form the porphyrin, and inhibit the binding of ORF8 and surface glycoproteins to porphyrins to a certain extent, effectively relieve the symptoms of respiratory distress. Since the ability of chloroquine to inhibit structural proteins is not particularly obvious, the therapeutic effect on different people may be different. Favipiravir could inhibit the envelope protein and ORF7a protein bind to porphyrin, prevent the virus from entering host cells, and catching free porphyrins. This paper is only for academic discussion, the correctness needs to be confirmed by other laboratories. Due to the side effects and allergic reactions of drugs such as chloroquine, please consult a qualified doctor for treatment details, and do not take the medicine yourself.
Posted by: KBK || 04/12/2020 21:59 Comments || Top||


Central Planning Didn't Flatten the Curve
[National Review] Still, there’s an interesting assumption common to both sides of the debate: that the government is responsible for all of this. Both defenders and the critics start from the premise that government diktats are the only variable here.

Lyman Stone, an economist based in Hong Kong, makes the case that the essential variable in "flattening the curve" isn’t central planning but behavior change. Many businesses closed down well before they were ordered to. Millions of people practiced social distancing and refused to get on planes not because they were commanded to, but because they were convinced this was a wise course of action for themselves and their loved ones.

People change their behavior when they are given clear information about risks. Various countries have flattened the curve of COVID-19 cases in different ways, Stone explained on my podcast, The Remnant. Some relied heavily on contact tracing, others on quarantining the sick, others through lockdowns ‐ or all of the above. "But what we’ve seen in every country is that what really does it is information," Stone said.

Information doesn’t just come from governments. The death tolls in Italy and New York probably did more to change behavior on the ground than all of Trump’s press conferences or Dr. Anthony Fauci’s TV appearances.

And this raises another complication for those who think the government can just "re-open" the economy with the flick of a switch. Trump and all of the governors could lift the stay-at-home orders and federal advisories tomorrow. That wouldn’t necessarily fill the restaurants, airplanes, or stadiums. People would still need to be convinced it’s safe. Such persuasion comes via clear, believable information, not orders from on high.

And that’s how it should be in a free society.
Posted by: Bobby || 04/12/2020 00:00 || Comments || Link || [6 views] Top|| File under:

#1  I'm so tired of people - on every side of this issue - sharpening their ideological axes.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru || 04/12/2020 4:22 Comments || Top||

#2  I saw National Review, but decent article.

Lot of people whose livelihood is based on disseminating information and opinion. Value of which depends upon being infallible, and are wanting to sell as much product as possible.

It is a Texshldm theory of going All In. For those not familiar with the game, it happens for two reasons: knock-out punch or the last act of a desperate player. It makes great drama, but ultimately depends on what is Up the River.

There is also the model, based upon my favorite card game Bullshit!, but it has the same flaw that it is also reactionary. Compared to Pkr, it has the advantage of pining out motives. It still depends upon a dramatic moment when hands are thin, the pile high. This is when the card counters have the advantage even more so than Blkjk.

To keep in Game Theory, the best thinking would go to Axis and Allies, the early additions, especially Axis and Allies: Europe (dating myself, the Red Storm Rising + Red October combo players would say Pikers!) as far as planning, logistics, and random dice occurrences such as a transport sinking a battleship.

Not to highjack, but to parallel this theme, I'm going to recommend:

This Week in Books:
Scouting on Two Continents. Memoir of F.R. Burnham

Probably my favorite line is "A Slave's Mind makes a Slave".

This memoir, I think, highlights the values of observation and curiosity.

To be fair, the work needed a better editor, and there is the leap of faith the storyteller, Burnham, is accurate in description of past events.

Without giving away the bag, all I can say is my favorite story is about the broken compass.

It is an easy to read yet educated dialogue, with, if you pardon my expression, bathroom trip tempo I had a difficult time not finishing in one go.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 04/12/2020 13:16 Comments || Top||

#3  *word monster got a couple of those inputs, adjust according please and thank you.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 04/12/2020 13:16 Comments || Top||

#4  To expand, I didn't like the line 'both sides of the debate' which, and I hate the term, triggered the binary choices of All In or Bullshit! as compared to a fluid set of choices in Axis and Allies.

There is, of course, the very real outcome of death - that is, there is a certain death rate percentage, but if it is you infected the rate is 100%, and if a person dies, that mortality rate is 100%. There are also political issues, tribal issues, livelihood issues, cultural issues, all those considerations which are as old as humanity itself.

Further exasperating the situation is that the big media centers, in the US at least, are the most affected - New York City and Los Angeles. The whole My Relevance! tendency of current culture orbits like Charon around the planet Pluto. There, I said it, nine planets. The recent example would be LeBron James stating China Great because my movie and buy my shoes fVck Hong Kong. I might be a bit geocentric here, but the best example would be the Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets world series, and listening to the NYC centric announcers and how they non-objectively covered the game to the extent I turned the sound off during Mets' offense and turned the volume up during Royals' at-bat. Power out in KC, those hayseeds!, power out in NY, nah it'll be fine.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 04/12/2020 13:36 Comments || Top||

#5  This whole mess is political with a rancid glaze of politicized "science" on top. Positing some sort of "all pure, un-corrupted science, all the time" POV is somewhere between naive and childish.
Posted by: M. Murcek || 04/12/2020 13:39 Comments || Top||

#6  In that aspect, politics are as olde as organized humanity itself, even going back to the organized family structure. Holy Books deal with that specifically.

In my humble opinion, it was Kipling's Gods of the Copybook Heading which really set it, that humanity seems to have to re-learn its lessons over and over.

There have always been those who seek advantage. There have always been plague outbreaks

Human nature is amazing in it's very craving of information - common language. Every era in the leap of available, or even lack of available, information goes through these pains.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 04/12/2020 14:38 Comments || Top||


Africa faces 'unprecedented threat' from locust outbreak 20 times larger than one earlier this year which was the biggest in seven decades
Posted by: Skidmark || 04/12/2020 00:00 || Comments || Link || [2 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Fifty years of UN help.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru || 04/12/2020 4:45 Comments || Top||


Epidemiologist: Coronavirus could be ‘exterminated' if lockdowns were lifted
[The last paragraph says it all, IMO.]
[TheCollegeFix] ’Going outdoors is what stops every respiratory disease’

A veteran scholar of epidemiology has warned that the ongoing lockdowns throughout the United States and the rest of the world are almost certainly just prolonging the coronavirus outbreak rather than doing anything to truly mitigate it.

Knut Wittkowski, previously the longtime head of the Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Research Design at the Rockefeller University in New York City, said in an interview with the Press and the Public Project that the coronavirus could be "exterminated" if we permitted most people to lead normal lives and sheltered the most vulnerable parts of society until the danger had passed.

"[W]hat people are trying to do is flatten the curve. I don’t really know why. But, what happens is if you flatten the curve, you also prolong, to widen it, and it takes more time. And I don’t see a good reason for a respiratory disease to stay in the population longer than necessary," he said.
Go visit maxed-out hospital intensive care units in New York City and beyond, with the usual ICU patients exiled to other floors, and imagine if we had been hit like Italy, which for weeks sent anyone over the age of 60 with COVID-19 home to die, then triaged the rest to see who got care. But as soon as Italy got homemade respirators and hydroxyxhloroquine/azithromycin, they started catching up with the patient load, even as an originally poorly complied-with quarantine started effecting the infection rate. In other words, flattening the curve effects the left tail and the peak, but the right tail is chopped off, regardless. So prolonging is not nearly the problem it appears in entirely theoretical calculations.
"With all respiratory diseases, the only thing that stops the disease is herd immunity. About 80% of the people need to have had contact with the virus, and the majority of them won’t even have recognized that they were infected, or they had very, very mild symptoms, especially if they are children. So, it’s very important to keep the schools open and kids mingling to spread the virus to get herd immunity as fast as possible, and then the elderly people, who should be separated, and the nursing homes should be closed during that time, can come back and meet their children and grandchildren after about 4 weeks when the virus has been exterminated," he added.

Wittkowski argued that the standard cycle of respiratory diseases is a two-week outbreak, including a peak, after which "it's gone." He pointed out that even in a regime of "social distancing," the virus will still find ways to spread, just more slowly:

You cannot stop the spread of a respiratory disease within a family, and you cannot stop it from spreading with neighbors, with people who are delivering, who are physicians‐anybody. People are social, and even in times of social distancing, they have contacts, and any of those contacts could spread the disease. It will go slowly, and so it will not build up herd immunity, but it will happen. And it will go on forever unless we let it go.
Asked about Anthony Fauci, the White House medical expert who for weeks has been predicting significant numbers of COVID-19 deaths in America as well as major ongoing disruptions to daily life possibly for years, Wittkowski replied: "Well, I'm not paid by the government, so I'm entitled to actually do science."
Posted by: Clem || 04/12/2020 00:00 || Comments || Link || [7 views] Top|| File under:

#1 
Posted by: g(r)omgoru || 04/12/2020 3:00 Comments || Top||

#2  Indeed. Mr. "Black Swan" is spot on.
Posted by: Clem || 04/12/2020 8:33 Comments || Top||

#3  /\ Proper border controls on Jan 26, plus masks & tests & we'd be find now.

The problem with 'border controls' (illegals, H1B visas, etc) certainly pre-dates January of 2020.

"We'd be fine" might be an oversimplification.
Posted by: Besoeker || 04/12/2020 8:41 Comments || Top||

#4  Agreed. "Fine"? Less worse off, maybe. And when did Pres. Trump halt flights from China and later UK? The scoundrels are PRC & WHO, CDC, sure, why not?
Posted by: Clem || 04/12/2020 8:47 Comments || Top||

#5  The professor takes a contrarian view from those govmint doctors on TV. That is getting rid of a herd mentality and replacing it with a herd immunity is his recommendation. He says protecting the most vulnerable segments of our population and developing a "herd immunity" will wipe out the virus; kind of like the old concept of having measle and chickpox parties for your kids to develop an immunity. That which doesn't kill us makes us stronger?

We seem to have a built-in or conditioned reluctance to do that. One of the problems I see, is that politics has entered the picture. Another problem is the lack of good information about the disease. Moreover, there is often disinformation that is dished up for us by the media and those with an agenda counter to "what's good for the country."

Posted by: JohnQC || 04/12/2020 10:07 Comments || Top||

#6  Too many swamps to drain, methinks.
Posted by: Clem || 04/12/2020 10:11 Comments || Top||


Africa Subsaharan
African nations, US decry racism against blacks in China
JOHANNESBURG (AP) — African officials are confronting China publicly and in private over racist mistreatment of Africans in the Chinese city of Guangzhou, and the U.S. says African-Americans have been targeted too.

Some Africans in the commercial hub have reported being evicted or discriminated against amid coronavirus fears. And a U.S. Embassy security alert on Saturday said that "police ordered bars and restaurants not to serve clients who appear to be of African origin," and local officials have launched mandatory testing and self-quarantine for "anyone with ’African contacts.’"

That’s in response to a rise in virus infections in Guangzhou, the U.S. said, adding that "African-Americans have also reported that some businesses and hotels refuse to do business with them." The U.S. statement is titled "Discrimination against African-Americans in Guangzhou."

A recent increase in virus cases in China has been largely attributed to people arriving from overseas.

For most people, the coronavirus causes mild or moderate symptoms, such as fever and cough. But for others, especially older adults and people with health problems, it can cause severe symptoms like pneumonia.

The police and public health bureau in Guangzhou on Tuesday told reporters that officials had responded to rumors that "300,000 black people in Guangzhou were setting off a second epidemic," which "caused panic." Officials said the rumor was untrue.

African diplomats in Beijing have met with Chinese foreign ministry officials and "stated in very strong terms their concern and condemnation of the disturbing and humiliating experiences our citizens have been subjected to," Sierra Leone’s embassy in Beijing said in a statement Friday, adding that 14 citizens had been put into compulsory 14-day quarantine.

The diplomats reminded officials of their support of China during the pandemic, especially in the early days. Some African nations that had scores or even hundreds of students stranded during China’s earlier lockdown had sided with Chinese officials against calls for evacuations, and many African nations publicly praised Beijing for its virus response.

Separately, in an unusually open critique of Beijing, the speaker of Nigeria’s House of Representatives tweeted a video of himself pressing the Chinese ambassador on the issue.

"It’s almost undiplomatic the way I’m talking, but it’s because I’m upset about what’s going on," Femi Gbajabiamila says.

Posted by: Besoeker || 04/12/2020 09:10 || Comments || Link || [7 views] Top|| File under:

#1  From Quartz Africa on the subject:

While many African students and other migrants were keen to leave China at the start of the outbreak, many others decided to stay and take their chances on the Chinese health authorities being best placed to cope with the outbreak than the underfunded health systems in their countries.

But this week, five Nigerians reportedly tested positive for Covid-19 in the southern city of Guangzhou. According to state media, the men broke quarantine and frequented a restaurant where they infected its owner, who then passed the virus on to her eight-year-old daughter.

These reports seem to be what has sparked the current wave of suspicion and anti-foreigner sentiment in the city. “I’ve been sleeping under the bridge for four days with no food to eat… I cannot buy food anywhere, no shops or restaurants will serve me,” a 24-year-old student from Uganda told the AFP news agency.”


So many of them are illegally in a country with over a thousand years of history of discriminating against non-Han Chinese, never mind actual foreigners, and then some of them broke quarantine and infected a local family. The shock is that they were not immediatelyall rounded up and jailed until they got either died or got well on their own. The greater shock is that the various Chinese ambassadors haven’t bluntly reminded their African hosts who exactly has loaned whom money and built roads and belts for them.
Posted by: trailing wife || 04/12/2020 17:39 Comments || Top||


Economy
Rep Crenshaw: It's Not a Choice Between Saving Lives OR Saving the Economy
[Red State] - Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX) joined Fox News’ Judge Jeanine on Saturday night to discuss opening up the economy.

    We’ve got to balance fighting the pandemic alongside of fighting our economic downturn and it’s going to be hard, We’ve got to balance fighting the pandemic alongside of fighting our economic downturn and it’s going to be hard, but I’ll tell you what. Houston has been through very hard times. Let’s not forget Hurricane Harvey with our entire city flooded and you know our hospitals are uniquely suited to disasters. Our hospitals are doing well. They’re not even close to being overwhelmed at all.

    Our case rates are not growing exponentially. They are growing, of course, but we aren’t like New York...

    And then we’ve got to be looking ahead...at how we open up the economy and take a more targeted approach to fighting the pandemic. I think too many people talk about a binary choice between letting the disease run free and closing down society for — for indefinitely. But it’s not a binary choice. We can do both and we have to think very carefully about how to do that.

..."Those decisions have to be localized and decided at each state. You know we can problem-solve. Disaster preparedness is managed by states and localities. It’s always been like that and we have to remember how our system works and how federalism works.

...Crenshaw emphasizes this is not an all or nothing choice. Nor is President Trump necessarily in charge of making one blanket decision for America.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru || 04/12/2020 17:57 || Comments || Link || [5 views] Top|| File under:

#1  I think Dan would make a good Speaker of the House in 2021.
Posted by: Procopius2k || 04/12/2020 19:31 Comments || Top||


International-UN-NGOs
Do we really want WHO setting U.S. national health policy?
[American Thinker] Senators Chris Murphy (D-CT) and Mitt Romney (R-UT) have introduced a "Global Health Security Act" creating "a new directorate" ostensibly "empowered to press the preventative levers that can protect the nation." More accurately, the bill (not yet assigned a senate number at this writing) requires the U.S. to adopt and implement the World Health Organization's "Global Health Security Agenda" (GHSA) across the government. The GHSA includes a detailed set of "International Health Regulations" (IHR) meant to ensure prompt and effective responses to international health incidents. The Murphy-Romney legislation will embed the IHR into U.S. health policy and ultimately into our lives and homes.

Unfortunately, those International Health Regulations have already failed in the case of COVID-19 (and to be clear, not through any fault or omission of the United States). The IHR procedures unequivocally and explicitly required China to report immediately the existence of the outbreak and to cooperate fully and transparently in its international investigation
Posted by: Frank G || 04/12/2020 11:44 || Comments || Link || [9 views] Top|| File under:

#1  no
Posted by: Chris || 04/12/2020 11:50 Comments || Top||

#2  Once I saw Mitt Romney's name mentioned, I stopped reading and went for the bicarbonate of soda.
Posted by: Clem || 04/12/2020 11:52 Comments || Top||

#3  We want max national sovereignty and minimum gerbilism.
Posted by: M. Murcek || 04/12/2020 13:15 Comments || Top||

#4  NO!!!

Corona Virus looks good compared to Romney.
Posted by: AlanC || 04/12/2020 13:52 Comments || Top||

#5  Another layer of unelected bureaucrats shielded from the view of the voters. Romney is looking more and more fascist every time his name comes up.
Posted by: magpie || 04/12/2020 14:37 Comments || Top||

#6  Typical leftist argument. The existing bureaucracy failed us. The answer is M O A R bureaucracy.

Um. No...
Posted by: M. Murcek || 04/12/2020 15:22 Comments || Top||


Home Front: Culture Wars
Liberal Nonsense Is Looking Dumber Than Ever Now
Kurt.
[Townhall] Remember the heady days of six weeks ago when the earnest wailing of liberal sissies about some imagined thoughtcrime drew respectful attention? Well, it never did from us, because we always knew these people were idiots deserving only of mockery, but some people ‐ nice, friendly people who could not imagine the malignancy in the hearts of these fascists dipwads ‐ took them seriously and actually cared.

And then a disease came along that is impoverishing the people it isn’t killing. It’s time to put away childish things, folks, and America seems to be doing that. Well, at least the people who aren’t liberal blue checks. The rest of us have no time for such frivolous nonsense. And when we beat this pandemic, which we will, maybe we as a culture will put away childish things for good.
Do go and read the whole thing!
Posted by: Bobby || 04/12/2020 00:00 || Comments || Link || [4 views] Top|| File under:

#1  And about the time they think they can start whining again, they'll have to weigh that against what they would look like if another wave of virus comes along.
Posted by: gorb || 04/12/2020 4:23 Comments || Top||

#2  we always knew these people we[re] idiots deserving only of mockery, but some people – nice, friendly people who could not imagine the malignancy in the hearts of these fascists dipwads – took them seriously and actually cared.

We can hope there will be an awakening to the liberal B.S. that infects our society. There are still too many who are into "virtue signaling" and really believe the liberal dogmatic pap that has been spooned up for them.
Posted by: JohnQC || 04/12/2020 10:22 Comments || Top||



Who's in the News
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Two weeks of WOT
Sun 2020-04-12
  Houthi militia has sentenced four journalists to death in Yemen for ‘treason and espionage,’
Sat 2020-04-11
  Krakatoa volcano blows up
Fri 2020-04-10
  Iraq names its third prime minister in 10 weeks
Thu 2020-04-09
  Iraqi Prime Minister-designate Adnan Al-Zurfi withdraws his candidacy
Wed 2020-04-08
  Pakistan Scrambles to Quarantine 100,000 Who Attended Tablighi Jamaat Event
Tue 2020-04-07
  Lebanon’s President Michel Aoun calls on international donors to provide financial assistance to the crisis-hit country
Mon 2020-04-06
  Iranian regime has blamed the US, Israel, and Jews for the outbreak of coronavirus in Iran,
Sun 2020-04-05
  Hezbollah commander assassinated in southern Lebanon
Sat 2020-04-04
  China orders 200,000 body bags from Taiwan!
Fri 2020-04-03
  Iran’s Speaker Reportedly Diagnosed with Coronavirus
Thu 2020-04-02
  Pakistan court overturns conviction in death of Daniel Pearl
Wed 2020-04-01
  Trump says Iran planning 'sneak attack' on US troops in Iraq
Tue 2020-03-31
  Iran gas pipeline to Iraq blows up
Mon 2020-03-30
  Turkish military attacks Syrian Army, YPG
in northern Aleppo
Sun 2020-03-29
  Khamenei family fears he might have Coronavirus


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