Thanks to TW and Besoeker.
[AmericanThinker] Tucker Carlson almost said it. He went right up to the edge and then drew back. He wheeled the cannon on stage, but he did not fire it.
Carlson almost blurted out the most taboo truth in Washington, the unutterable heresy that the political class suppresses more ruthlessly than any other. He asked us to consider — after eliminating all the standard leftist cliches and a few rightist ones — why do these young shooters keep committing mass murder? What characteristic do they all share? What is going on here, and why can we not even discuss it?
It seemed almost as if he was inviting someone to say what he could not. So I will oblige him.
The shooters, the mass murderers, even most of the terrorists, and essentially all violent criminals (plus many drug addicts and a majority of the homeless) share this one quality: they are all fatherless.
And no, fatherlessness is not intractable. These destructive and self-destructive adolescents are not victims of impersonal forces that defy remedy — still less of "irresponsible" fathers who "abandon" them, as the political class invariably reports without evidence. These falsehoods provide the politicians with excuses to throw up their hands in despair or devise useless, self-serving programs that actually make the problem worse. The shooters are the products of government policies that intentionally remove children from their fathers and proliferate single-mother homes. They are the offspring of the two hatcheries that breed fatherless children: the welfare state and the divorce industry.
The social science is unequivocal. Virtually every major social pathology can be laid at the door of fatherless homes and communities — not race, not poverty. Single parent homes. That means crime, truancy, addiction, and more single parents.
Decade after decade, the problem only worsens until we are left with not only social chaos, but, increasingly, political chaos, too, and even tyranny. It is easily demonstrable that the BLM riots in 2020 that prepared the way for the leftist takeover of the U.S. government were perpetrated by dysfunctional, violent, and fatherless adolescents.
The problem will certainly not be ameliorated by feel-good palliatives like those implemented by the Clinton and Bush administrations and recently once again enacted in Florida. These programs claim to confront fatherlessness but in reality funnel more money to the welfare apparatchiks and divorce operators so they can create more fatherless children, on which their business depends. So diabolical is the political class in both political parties that it devises measures to exacerbate the problem in the very process of pretending to address it.
#2
The experiment of multi-generational fatherless families in the inner city never gave the 'experts' a heads up. They just construct a rationalized Ptolemaic social universe to get around reality. As long as they avoid the truth, there will be no 'solution'.
How about using the FBI’s Behavioral Analysis Unit (BAU) published "Key Considerations of the Active Shooter" as a starting point?
There is no one demographic profile of an active shooter.
Many active shooters display observable pre-attack behaviors, which, if recognized, can lead to the disruption of the planned attack.
The pathway to targeted violence typically involves an unresolved real or perceived grievance and an ideation of a violent resolution that eventually moves from thought to research, planning, and preparation.
A thorough threat assessment typically necessitates a holistic review of an individual of concern, including historical, clinical, and contextual factors.
Human bystanders generally represent the greatest opportunity for the detection and recognition of an active shooter prior to his or her attack.
Concerning active shooters, a person who makes a threat is rarely the same as the person who poses a threat.
Successful threat management of a person of concern often involves long-term care taking and coordination between law enforcement, mental health care, and social services.
Exclusionary interventions (e.g., expulsion, termination) do not necessarily represent the end of threat-management efforts.
While not every active shooter can be identified and thwarted prior to attacking, many potential active shooters who appear to be on a trajectory toward violence can be stopped.
#4
^ Most people aren't even watching where they are going let alone practicing situational awareness.
Posted by: M. Murcek ||
06/04/2022 8:11 Comments ||
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#5
This may get me sent to Rantburg pergatory but in the four largest shootings at schools: Columbine, Parkland, Sandy Point, and now Uvalde the police mobilized and stood outside for long periods of time.
I don’t understand
I agree, too many walk around with a Smartphone in their Social Media realm, not noticing their surroundings world.
Based on my HRT and profile of hostile threat training. My own observations, likely 85+ out of a 100 would not notice any displayed threatening issues.
Those that did notice would not take the time. Instead, worry about lawsuits and Social Media turning on them using ___ phobia smearings, for report an "IT's" hostile mental illness signs.
What is usually left are those that would whip out a cell phone camera to be the "on the scene" chronicler for their Facebook bud's. Instead, providing basic 1st aid or help.
This latest election year, school shooter displayed how many of the warning signs and how many reported "IT"?
How many of the give or take, 100 present at the scene acted to stop "IT" instead of watch it?
I believe it was just 1 in 100+ that acted, while usual mass majority of others stood around.
#7
#3 NN, I have enjoyed your posts and the perspective you bring to this site, but this is utter nonsense. Perhaps applicable in another manifestly past time but not now.
The swine from Parkland wasn't any ambiguous psychological puzzle to solve, rather he spent years...YEARS telling everybody he ever met and people he already knew his primary ambition was to be a school shooter.
Thus after people saw and heard something they said something in accordance with the great dictum. To what end? Absolutely nothing. They couldn't keep tabs on him since that would be spying. AS IF the alphabet agencies couldn't tell you every and any detail about your life with about 20 minutes notice.
How about that charmer from Virginia Tech. A troubled lad, oh yes very troubled. Let's see now based on his troubled behavior, people changed majors, changed dorms, moved off campus, and left the school altogether. For the big deal of the day when confronted with the loss of tenure if she would not have him in her class, the nice English teacher basically said cram your tenure. Quite the record for somebody who NEVER said an audible word his entire time there.
Again, people sure saw something and everybody not only said something they did so repeatedly, and the result was what again? If only he had used the wrong pronoun, then they would have had him sure.
This is a concept of community policing that arises out of compassion as much as concern is sadly from 'Bedford Falls'. There has to be somebody on the other end of the line who will take substantive action. All the studies and white papers in the world won't do what 5 minutes of common sense could have accomplished in virtually every instance.
I would guess there are two reasons (1) The best and brightest don't seek duty at the schools so the ones onsite lean towards cowards or lazy (2) the ones that arrive later are terrified to the point of paralysis of killing children in the crossfire or being blamed for instigating carnage. I don't think this second group are as concerned with their own safety so much as fear of making it worse, so they plan to talk them down if possible.
#9
Rup
Good point when you consider the media storm over the girl killed by a stray police bullet during a shootout with a criminal
To me Columbine was the most infuriating with swat teams doing their centipede dancing a 100 yards from the school while shots could be heard inside the school
I know the media would hang the police if there were hostages killed in the crossfire but the police have to understand the media is their enemy and no brave deed goes unpunished
#12
Once, a girl at a bar asked me and a friend to help her get into her car after she locked the keys in it. We got a coat hanger, made a slim jim and went to it. Some drunk asshole came out and pushed us aside, said "I'll get this." My friend and I shrugged and left him to it. 10 minutes later, the girl came in and said "I need you guys. He couldn't get in my car. Oh, and, get another coat hanger."
Such is the relationship between doers and officiators.
Posted by: M. Murcek ||
06/04/2022 14:47 Comments ||
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#13
#7 CESARE, Thanks for added view points.
Agreed the FBI nor any general shooter profile is ever 100%. Its the human element that adds to the equation. But the failure to act by others is a major contributing factor for any shooters success.
[The New Statesman] It’s springtime in Brighton, which means my day at the coworking space finishes when I hear colleagues remind me it’s sunny outside and ask if I’m joining them down the pub. I’m not, because I’m tired from researching this article about pubs. But I’m sure my walk home will include dodging pavement spillover as Brightonians crowd pubs' outdoor terraces. The Rose & Crown, Oundle, UK.
This overflow of the somewhat inebriated and sunburned on to busy streets is not something I was familiar with before moving to England. As an American import, I was surprised by how regularly I heard the words "let’s go down the pub" when I first moved here, and instinctively thought the invitations were some sort of weird cultural hazing ceremony from my new band of alcoholic friends. That is until I realised that British pubs are not the same thing as American bars.
(Disclaimer: whenever discussing the difference between two countries, there is a risk of relying on stereotypes to prove a point. I am sure that someone reading this has had an excellent experience in an authentic American bar outside of a major metropolitan area, just as I’m sure another reader actually had a great meal at Hooters. I’m told Hooters has great wings. All the same, for the sake of this article I will be making grand, sweeping generalisations that by no means deliberately attempt to take aim at your local friendly American bartender. Your bartender and bar are great.)
There are some semantic distinctions that need to be made between the words "bar" and "pub".
[Breitbart] After enjoying years of taxpayer-funded protection from agencies and departments, many of which avail themselves of AR-15 rifles, Hillary Clinton tweeted Friday, "No one actually needs an AR-15."
#12
Guns as tools: People who fear tools are hoplophobes. OK. I won't shoot you with the AR-15. I'll use this rusty Phillips head screwdriver instead. It will be neither quick nor painless, but trust me, I can get the same results.
Posted by: M. Murcek ||
06/04/2022 13:29 Comments ||
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#13
No one needs sexual predator husbands either, but here we are.
#20
^ I thought it was a lamp. Did Hillary smoke, too?
Posted by: M. Murcek ||
06/04/2022 15:45 Comments ||
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#21
Sorry don't get the reference Raj. I was just pointing out that she has an excellent point in view of the 'Nobody needs an AR-15' Bullshit the Left is spewing.
(No, then need a 9mm (to blow people's lungs out), or .45...)
#22
4 years ago at the NRA convention I told a couple booth bunnies I had no use for "pistol caliber carbines." One of them actually cried. While I told her to settle down steroid Bubba came over to make me 'pologize. I explained I had no problem with the girl, just with the product and he faded, as it was too complicated an argument for his balloon haid.
Posted by: M. Murcek ||
06/04/2022 17:17 Comments ||
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[The Vigilant Citizen] The World Economic Forum (WEF) is one of the most powerful organizations in the world. And, throughout the years, people at the WEF have said some truly insane and dystopian things. And they’ve managed to word these things in the creepiest ways possible. Here are the top 10 most insane things said by the WEF.
When one talks about the "global elite", one usually refers to a small group of wealthy and powerful individuals who operate beyond national borders. Through various organizations, these non-elected individuals gather in semi-secrecy to decide policies they want to see applied on a global level.
The World Economic Forum (WEF) is smack dab in the middle of it all. Indeed, through its annual Davos meetings, the WEF attempts to legitimize and normalize its influence on the world’s democratic nations by having a panel of world leaders attending and speaking at the event.
A simple look at the list of attendees at these meetings reveals the organization’s incredible reach and influence. The biggest names in media, politics, business, science, technology, and finance are represented at the WEF.
[FoxNews] Police chiefs expressed concern with how district attorneys and judges are prosecuting criminals at the annual MCCA/PERF conference.
Law enforcement officers from across the United States gathered this week to discuss a "perfect storm" of issues that major city departments have faced over the past two years.
A diverse group of police chiefs from major U.S. cities met at the 2022 Police Executive Research Forum (PERF)/ Major Cities Chiefs Association (MCCA) Annual Conference in San Francisco and pointed to four main issues plaguing departments since 2020: COVID-19, summer protests following the 2020 murder of George Floyd, a law enforcement workforce shortage and rising violent crime, particularly in the wake of three major mass shootings in Buffalo, New York; Uvalde, Texas; and Tulsa, Oklahoma.
"I think over the two days … we went through a myriad of issues that we've all seen through COVID before," Baltimore Police Chief and PERF President Michael Harrison told Fox News Digital. "[C]oming out of COVID has affected how people look at our profession from the outside, how we as officers look at ourselves on the inside, and how we perform and deliver police services and what we're up against — the obstacles that are in front of us."
Charlotte-Mecklenberg Police Chief Johnny Jenkins and Nashville Police Chief John Drake mentioned that they have diverted talent responding to property crimes toward violent crimes instead in an effort to curb fatal and nonfatal shootings.
Police chiefs from New York City, San Francisco, Philadelphia, Baltimore, Chicago, Milwaukee, Orlando and Los Angeles each expressed some concern with how their respective district attorneys or lead prosecutors, as well as their local court systems, have made significant judicial policy changes that have altered how and even whether accused criminals face justice.
NYPD Chief Kenneth Corey noted that 78% of those arrested for nonfatal shootings are currently walking the streets of New York City.
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[REGNUM] Sevastopol conscripts went to the places of military service on June 3. The ceremony was attended by a photojournalist of IA REGNUM.
The solemn ceremony of dispatch took place at the railway station of the city.
To the sounds of the march "Farewell of the Slav" 16 Sevastopol went to serve in St. Petersburg. Parents, grandparents, sisters and brothers, girls came to see them off, someone was already seen off by their spouses.
The military, social activists, and parents addressed the conscripts with parting words.
Today, another batch of recruits is leaving from Sevastopol - already to Rostov-on-Don.
Spring conscription in Sevastopol and throughout the country started on April 1. This year, about 500 young people will leave the hero city for military service. Follow the link to view photos.
Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin
[ColonelCassad] 1. Severodonetsk.
Fighting in the area of the Azot industrial zone. The enemy decided to hold it to the stop and transferred reinforcements there, including foreign mercenaries. Fighting in the city continues.
2. Lisichansk.
The enemy holds the defense both from the side of Severodonetsk and from the side of Ustinovka and Privolye. The group's main supply line is the Artemovsk-Seversk-Lysichansk highway.
3. Soledar.
Fighting continues near the Artemovsk-Lysichansk highway, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to try to push our troops back from Belogorovka and Berestovoye, but since the road is under fire control, it is problematic to use it in the context of ongoing fighting.
4. Svetlodarsk.
Fights for Novolugansk and Uglegorsk thermal power plants continue. The enemy is quite firmly dug in there. The Svetlodarsk-Debaltsevo road has already been unblocked.
5. Zolotoye.
After the capture of Kamyshevakhi, the battles for Zolote and in the Toshkovka region continued. The decisive battles in this area will be for Vrubovka.
6. Slavyansk.
There are battles for Svyatogorsk and Bogorodichne. The enemy is strengthening the defense in the Raygorodok area.
7. Izyum.
Positional battles in the area of Kurulka, Bolshaya Kamyshevakhi.
In addition to the attack on Bogorodichnoye, an offensive is being carried out on the Valley along the Izyum-Slavyansk highway.
8. Kharkov.
Positional battles north of the city. The enemy is trying to cling to Tsupovka again after the losses suffered there. Fighting continues south of Ternovoe and north of Stary Saltov. The enemy, in turn, tried to attack in the area of the village of Liptsy.
9. Zaporozhye.
Fighting north of the village. Pology, as well as to the east of Gulyaipole. To the west of Gulyai-Pole, unchanged.
10. Avdievka.
Fighting north of Avdiivka. Counterattacks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Novoselka-2 were not successful. Our troops also do not yet have a serious advance in New York. Fighting continued in the direction of Krasnogorovka.
#1
The New Narrative: the time for NEGOTIATIONS is now.
1. CNN: Western allies meeting regularly to game out potential framework for Ukraine ceasefire as war hits 100th day
"Washington (CNN)Staring down the prospect of an extended stalemate in Ukraine, the US and its allies are placing a renewed emphasis on the need for a negotiated settlement to end the war... .US officials have in recent weeks been meeting regularly with their British and European counterparts to discuss potential frameworks for a ceasefire and for ending the war through a negotiated settlement, multiple sources familiar with the talks told CNN. ... [These involve] Ukraine committing to neutrality with regard to NATO in exchange for some security guarantees, and negotiations between Ukraine and Russia on the future of Crimea and the Donbas region."
2. Jeffrey Sachs [professor at Columbia and former served as an adviser to three United Nations secretaries-general]:"it is in Ukraine's interest to return to the negotiating table, which it has refused to do since late March. I believe that the US should recognize that it acted irresponsibly in pushing for NATO enlargement into Ukraine and Georgia."
3. Andrew Latham, The Hill: "Russia’s inevitable victory is [not desirable and won't be] total. The outcome of this war is a Pyrrhic victory [for Russia] at best. But it will be a victory nonetheless — and we in the West had better come to grips with that hard truth. ...
"Just as Ukraine lacks the ability to liberate all its pre-2014 territory, it also lacks the ability to liberate the recently conquered territory in the Donbas or along the Azov coast. Unlike in the north of Ukraine, these territories are central to Russian interests in Ukraine and, as such, Russia simply will not withdraw from them as it withdrew from Kyiv earlier in the war.
"Nor will Ukrainian forces – themselves, it should be noted, suffering terrible attrition all along the battle front and growing weaker with each passing day – be strong enough to compel them to do so. No, like the previous two scenarios, this one is simply an impossibility.
"And that leaves only one other conceivable outcome: a fragmented and partly dismembered Ukraine, neither fully part of the West nor entirely within the Russian sphere of influence.
"A Ukraine fragmented in that the whole of the Donbas and perhaps other territories will be left beyond Kyiv’s control; partly dismembered in that Crimea will remain part of Russia (at least in Russian eyes); and not fully part of the West in that it will not be free to join NATO or even to have a meaningful partnership with the EU. Simply put, this outcome is not only not impossible, it’s not even improbable.
"And when this final scenario comes to pass, who will have won the war in Ukraine? Well, it won’t be Ukraine."
Posted by: Oye Como Va ||
06/04/2022 22:17 Comments ||
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#2
And Brandon too:
"This war will only definitively end through diplomacy. Every negotiation reflects the facts on the ground. We [want Ukraine to ] be in the strongest possible position at the negotiating table."
Posted by: Oye Como Va ||
06/04/2022 22:21 Comments ||
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#3
that leaves only one other conceivable outcome: a fragmented and partlydismemberedUkraine
SING 🎶 I'll dismember you
When I've forgotten all the rest
You to me were true
You to me were the best
When there is no more
I cut you to the core
Quicker than anyone I knew
When I'm all alone
In the great unknown I'll dismember you
🎶 I'll dismember you
At the end of the trail
I had so much left to do
I had so little time to fail
There's some countries that
You don't forget
Even though you've only seen 'm one time or two
When the roses fade
And I'm in the shade I'll dismember you
Posted by: Oye Como Va ||
06/04/2022 22:30 Comments ||
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#4
And Brandon too:
"This war will only definitively end through diplomacy.
If a headless chicken speaks, is it worth listening to?
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. by Pavel Kukhmirov
[Sevastopol]
Gazprom will suspend gas supplies to energy companies in Denmark, Germany and the Netherlands due to non-payment for April. Deliveries have been stopped for Shell Energy Europe ( Germany), Orsted ( Denmark ), and GasTerra ( Netherlands ), since Gazprom has not received payments from them under the new scheme in rubles. At the same time , the German company Uniper announced that it had made a payment for gas for the first time under the new scheme proposed by Moscow.
Against the backdrop of what is happening in Europe in particular and in the Western world in general, the question of alternative sources of gas and ways to obtain it is periodically raised. The Caspian region in this sense could indeed become an important alternative supplier of energy resources to Europe. But, at a minimum, Brussels itself is pursuing an extremely passive and politicized energy strategy here.
After the collapse of the USSR, there was a feeling that the Caspian had the potential of an alternative to the Persian Gulf in terms of its hydrocarbon reserves. But the arrival of the world's leading oil companies there and the development of new projects showed that such estimates were too optimistic.
As it turned out, hydrocarbon reserves turned out to be much more modest, and the cost of production and transportation is much higher than expected. But Western countries managed to squeeze out Russia and gain access to the largest projects in the region, such as Azeri-Chirag-Guneshli and Shah Deniz (Azerbaijan), as well as Tengiz, Karachaganak, Kashagan (Kazakhstan) . In addition, they are involved in the construction of strategically important alternative pipelines "Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan" and "Baku-Tbilisi-Erzerum" bypassing Russia.
But they limited themselves to this: the flow of investments dried up, and new ambitious projects (like the Trans-Caspian gas pipeline from Turkmenistan, bypassing Russia) remained on paper. As a result, Azerbaijan, without the EU, independently implemented the projects of the Trans-Anatolian and Trans-Adriatic pipelines, bringing Azerbaijani gas to the market of southern Europe.
The Ukrainian crisis found the situation exactly like this.
Kazakhstan's projects in the surrounding regions are mainly focused on oil. For the most part, they are tied to contractual obligations with Russia and China, so they do not count.
Azerbaijan, after the launch of the Shah Deniz project and reaching the design capacity of the offshore fields Karabakh and Umid, is already supplying the maximum possible volumes of natural gas: up to 10 billion cubic meters to Turkey and about 10 billion cubic meters to Bulgaria, Greece, Albania and Italy. A slight increase in exports is possible by optimizing the management of the State Oil Company of Azerbaijan (SOCAR) and additional investment in the deepwater part of the Gunashli project.
In addition, additional volumes of gas to the south of the EU could come from Turkmenistan, but the huge investments in infrastructure necessary for the underwater Trans-Caspian pipeline and the increase in production are unlikely to be approved by the European Commission even in the current conditions.
It is possible to add several billion cubic meters per year after the launch of the Azerbaijani-Turkmen border field Dostulug. Theoretically, it is also possible to connect the existing Turkmen fields to the pipeline infrastructure of Azerbaijan. But this also requires active intervention and investment, and Brussels takes the position of an outside observer.
And most importantly: the most important and most serious potential resource of the Caspian could be the unblocking of Iranian exports. But here, at a minimum, it is necessary to restore the nuclear deal with Iran and, most importantly, fulfill the obligations of the Western countries themselves to unfreeze Iranian finances and lift sanctions against Iran. But Europe is not its own mistress here. And few people care about her interests.
We can sum up the following: of course, the Caspian could become a serious alternative to Russia, but for a number of reasons it is impossible to implement this now and will not be possible for a very long time.
Pavel Kukhmirov is a former Donetsk militiaman and a current resident of Rostov, Russia. His call sign is "Shakespeare."
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. By Pavel Kukhmirov
[Sevastopol]
Producer prices (PPI) in the euro area soared 37.2 percent in April compared to the same month a year earlier. According to Interfax , this is evidenced by the data of the Statistical Office of the European Union (Eurostat). The rise accelerated from 36.9 percent in March and became the highest in the history of the index calculation. At the same time, analysts on average expect an even more significant increase - by 38.5 percent. The peak of inflationary pressure in European countries has not yet been passed, experts say.
Frankly crisis phenomena occur not only in the European market. They erupted throughout the modern West. Not only on it, but on it in the first place. There is an increasing impression that the sanctions served only as a trigger for something that was long overdue.
For example, the US stock market is literally in a fever: the indices of exchange activity have fallen by 20 percent from their November peaks, starting a new long “bearish trend”. And it's not just swings: the S&P 500's current streak of weekly falls is literally the worst since 1932. That is, from the very depths of the Great Depression. And this is just one example, and there are many.
The US financial sector is rammed not only by sanctions wars and record inflation. And adding to the situation of tension is also the inept actions of the US Fed, which raises rates, hoping to somehow keep up with inflation.
At the same time, the head of the Fed, Mr. Powell, is already openly declaring his inability to guarantee a soft landing for the economy. And this can be understood in such a way that the US economy, addicted to cheap money, may simply not be able to withstand the growth of rates and tightening the screws in the monetary sphere.
The ruling Democrats are trying to somehow stop the rise in inflation by passing in Congress an “anti-price hike act,” which allows Biden to declare an “economic emergency” and freeze the prices of some essential goods. The measure for America is simply unprecedented - the "market" no longer decides.
And it is already clear that such a policy in the conditions of American capitalism will instantly lead to a new wave of deficits. The US is already promising fuel shortages this summer, the busiest time of the year for the transportation industry. Which obviously also threatens with a large-scale crisis in the field of truckers, which can simply bring down all logistics.
And now the head of the US Treasury, Yellen, is scaring the entire planet in advance with the prospect of stagflation, accompanied by a collapse in the economy and rising prices. And it also scares the world with hunger, from which 1.5 billion people could suffer. And few doubt that the threats are real. There is nothing surprising in the fact that the current situation in Western markets is compared to the Great Depression. Now the liberal world order is facing a fundamental crisis. The strongest in the last 90 years.
And it may very well be that everything that happens is just the beginning.
Pavel Kukhmirov is a former Donetsk militiaman and a current resident of Rostov, Russia. His call sign is "Shakespeare."
[AnNahar] In northern Syria, residents are bracing for a new fight. With the world's attention focused on the war in Ukraine, The Sick Man of Europe Turkey ...the only place on the face of the earth that misses the Ottoman Empire... 's leader says he's planning a major military operation to push back Syrian Kurdish fighters and create a long sought-after buffer zone in the border area.
Tensions are high. Hardly a day passes by without an exchange of fire and shelling between the U.S.-backed Syrian Kurdish fighters, and Ottoman Turkish forces and Turkey-backed Syrian opposition button men.
Continued on Page 49
Posted by: trailing wife ||
06/04/2022 00:00 ||
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Link ||
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[PJ] A new analysis of IRS data shows the financial consequences of gaining or losing population can be either extremely rewarding or devastating to individual states. In 2020, blue states repelled the highest earners while red states attracted them, resulting in massive economic losses and gains.
Wirepoints, an Illinois-based research organization, took a look at the latest migration data released by the IRS and drew some conclusions that should leave Democrat-run states in a cold sweat, wondering how they’ll ever be able to maintain their profligacy.
In the competition for America’s best and brightest residents, the most populous blue states are becoming perennial losers. In 2020, New York, Illinois, California, Massachusetts, and New Jersey suffered net losses in their population, with high-earners taking their income — and tax base — with them:
New York was the biggest loser, netting a loss of almost 250,000 residents, who took with them a net of $19.5 billion in income — fully 2.5% of the state’s entire adjusted gross income (AGI) in 2019.
California did second-worst, losing a net of 263,000 residents and $17.8 billion in income.
The third biggest loser was Illinois, whose 101,000 emigrants took income worth $8.5 billion with them
Massachusetts came in fourth with a net loss of $2.6 billion.
New Jersey took fifth place with $2.3 billion in lost income.
Not only are fewer people moving into these sputtering states than are moving out, but the newcomers tend to bring less wealth with them than the leavers took. For example, people who moved to Illinois in 2020 made, on average, $30,600 less than those who departed. When taken as a percentage of the state’s 2019 AGI, this was a 1.9% loss for Illinois, making it second only to New York state for lost income as a percentage of state AGI.
Heading up the winner’s column were Florida, Texas, Arizona, North Carolina, and South Carolina:
Florida was Americans’ number one destination, netting 167,000 new residents who brought with them $23.7 billion in new income — a hefty 3.3% of Florida’s total 2019 AGI.
Texas took second place with a net income increase of $6.3 billion.
Third-place Arizona gained $4.8 billion.
North Carolina took fourth place with an income increase of $3.8 billion.
South Carolina came in at number five with a net increase of $3.6 billion.
Wirepoints included a graph of the top ten states that had net gains in AIG in 2020:
#1
Higher fuel costs and increased home loan interest rates will continue to make relocation a challenge. Government 'Blue State' re-population efforts will eventually level the playing field and promote the return of equity.
Future COVID or other emerging pandemic 'lock-downs' could encourage these people to stay put.
#8
Texas is also exporting illegals to Washington D.C.
Home interest rates appear to be levelling off for now. Supply issues also seem to be sorting themselves out. Housing market seems to be cooling off a bit.
The house we are buying is coming along. This week its drywall, then tiling, countertops, etc... Looking at a September closing if no delays.
I'm sure the Biden administration will f-ck it up. It's what they do - it's all they do! They f-ck thing up and they Will Not Stop!
A multi-volume chronology and reference guide set detailing three years of the Mexican Drug War between 2010 and 2012.
Rantburg.com and borderlandbeat.com correspondent and author Chris Covert presents his first non-fiction work detailing
the drug and gang related violence in Mexico.
Chris gives us Mexican press dispatches of drug and gang war violence
over three years, presented in a multi volume set intended to chronicle the death, violence and mayhem which has
dominated Mexico for six years.
Rantburg was assembled from recycled algorithms in the United States of America. No
trees were destroyed in the production of this weblog. We did hurt some, though. Sorry.
[The New Statesman] It’s springtime in Brighton, which means my day at the coworking space finishes when I hear colleagues remind me it’s sunny outside and ask if I’m joining them down the pub. I’m not, because I’m tired from researching this article about pubs. But I’m sure my walk home will include dodging pavement spillover as Brightonians crowd pubs' outdoor terraces.
[The Vigilant Citizen] The World Economic Forum (WEF) is one of the most powerful organizations in the world. And, throughout the years, people at the WEF have said some truly insane and dystopian things. And they’ve managed to word these things in the creepiest ways possible. Here are the top 10 most insane things said by the WEF.
[PJ] A new analysis of IRS data shows the financial consequences of gaining or losing population can be either extremely rewarding or devastating to individual states. In 2020, blue states repelled the highest earners while red states attracted them, resulting in massive economic losses and gains.
Higher fuel costs and increased home loan interest rates will continue to make relocation a challenge. Government 'Blue State' re-population efforts will eventually level the playing field and promote the return of equity.
