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2012-01-04 Home Front: Politix
It's Romney by a cat's hair over Santorum
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Posted by badanov 2012-01-04 02:42|| || Front Page|| [11131 views ]  Top

#1 They found that hair after some fine combing.
Posted by Twobyfour 2012-01-04 05:11||   2012-01-04 05:11|| Front Page Top

#2 When did the Republican party turn into the re-elect Zero party?
Posted by Bright Pebbles 2012-01-04 06:45||   2012-01-04 06:45|| Front Page Top

#3 And that's a RED cat's hair.
Posted by Thravising Snuger2383 2012-01-04 06:52||   2012-01-04 06:52|| Front Page Top

#4 This is actually a superb outcome.

Do the math, it means that Romney is a loser, since once Paul drops out, almost all his voters would go to Santorum, and Santorum is on notice that Paul's supporters are just barely a minority among his support, so he had better not ignore them. With Paul's supporters he has close to a 2/3rds majority.

This means that the current situation is that Romney is out, Santorum is the nominee, and Santorum has to pull sharply to the right, against the status quo.

Next up, Romney has a complete win in NH on 10 Jan, which is utterly meaningless. Get this: there are 30 Republican candidates on the ballot in NH.

The next real primary vote after that is South Carolina on 21 Jan. Then the disabled Florida primary on 31 Jan, which will not say much, because they are in violation of party rules, they are losing half their convention delegates.
Posted by Anonymoose 2012-01-04 08:12||   2012-01-04 08:12|| Front Page Top

#5 If Perry drops out where do his votes go?
Posted by rjschwarz 2012-01-04 08:30||   2012-01-04 08:30|| Front Page Top

#6 Assuming a big win for Romney in NH, all the other candidates except Paul and Santorum are out and the fundraising for Santorum will be badly wounded.
Posted by Lord Garth 2012-01-04 08:56||   2012-01-04 08:56|| Front Page Top

#7 Applying (modified) classical machinists' measuring units to political result, eh, badanov?
Posted by Glenmore 2012-01-04 09:01||   2012-01-04 09:01|| Front Page Top

#8 Every fucking time, we get the retarded Democrat-in-the-General states weed out all the credible non-crack-headed conservative candidates before I get to cast a vote.
Posted by Thing From Snowy Mountain 2012-01-04 09:10||   2012-01-04 09:10|| Front Page Top

#9 It's all about getting rid of BHO. I'll vote for Hillary if that's what it takes.
Posted by RandomJD 2012-01-04 09:20||   2012-01-04 09:20|| Front Page Top

#10 Lord Garth: Romney has long owned NH, which has just a tiny number of delegates (12 out of 2,286 total) and is truly inconsequential, other than being early in the season.

Here are the allocations by state (chart).
Posted by Anonymoose 2012-01-04 09:24||   2012-01-04 09:24|| Front Page Top

#11 I think Palin will endorse Santorum in South Carolina where she is popular and helped elect Niki. Of course Mitt will get the coveted McShame endorsement sometime today and the game will be on. Perhaps the conservatives will consolidate behind a single candidate and give the establishment a run for its money.
Posted by bman 2012-01-04 10:01||   2012-01-04 10:01|| Front Page Top

#12 Santorum isn't going anywhere. He has no organization outside of Iowa, and no money. He just camped there for the last 6 months.

Romney got fewer votes in 2012 than he did in 2008. He'll win New Hampshire. After that it is anyone's game.

Ron Paul is a circus side show. Get your two bits worth and move on.

Sounds like Bachmann is out today, which is a good thing. Her campaign had devolved into nothing but a Romney stalking horse.

It is still early in the process. Santorum will now get the same treatment that Bachmann, Cain, Perry and Gingrich have gotten. 75% of the party still can't stomach Romney. We need to consolidate the field a bit, then see where the chips fall.
Posted by Iblis 2012-01-04 10:20||   2012-01-04 10:20|| Front Page Top

#13 once Paul drops out, almost all his voters would go to Santorum

Say what????? Santorum's a big-government social conservative, a strong supporter of Israel and an open critic of Islamicism. The Paulinistas are gonna go to HIM????
Posted by lotp 2012-01-04 11:07||   2012-01-04 11:07|| Front Page Top

#14 The Paulinistas are gonna go to HIM????

Well, they're not gonna go to Romney.

Every fucking time, we get the retarded Democrat-in-the-General states weed out all the credible non-crack-headed conservative candidates before I get to cast a vote.

This is my complaint, even though most of you consider California to be a crack head state too. I wish I had a chance to vote for Perry but it looks like I never will.
Posted by Ebbang Uluque6305 2012-01-04 11:32||   2012-01-04 11:32|| Front Page Top

#15 Looking at the map I'd guess Romney concentrated in the metropolitan areas while the others were out beating the bush in the boondocks. Kinda makes sense because that's obviously where the votes were. Santorum took the majority of the rural counties by showing up in each and every one of them and talking to the people out there. But he didn't get the majority of the votes. If nothing else, Romney is a savvy campaigner. Hope some of the rest of them can learn from it before it's too late.
Posted by Ebbang Uluque6305 2012-01-04 11:41||   2012-01-04 11:41|| Front Page Top

#16 The Paulinistas aren't going to anybody, because Paul isn't going to drop out. He didn't drop out in 2008 and he won't do it now. Paul is not making strategic decisions based on reality. He's on a head trip that he'll ride as long as he can.

The smart money is still on either Gingrich or Perry, especially once the race moves to the South.
Posted by Iblis 2012-01-04 12:13||   2012-01-04 12:13|| Front Page Top

#17 Just read on Drudge that Perry has tweeted he is going to South Carolina.
Posted by Ebbang Uluque6305 2012-01-04 12:48||   2012-01-04 12:48|| Front Page Top

#18 If the anti Romney vote keeps getting split by multiple candidates we'll end up with a Trunk Presidential candidate who wins the primary season with a 25% plurality. But, not to worry he's endorsed by McCain. That's a scary scenario.
Posted by GolfBravoUSMC 2012-01-04 13:10||   2012-01-04 13:10|| Front Page Top

#19 How's this for a Machiavellian theory:

Perry goes to Texas to Reassess/Suspend Campaign.

Romney calls Perry and asks him to stay in the race.

Perry stays in race and continues to contribute to the split of anti-Romney votes.

Romney gains Trunk nomination with plurality.

Romney pays Perry's campaign debt and/or chooses him for VP.

NOTE: Last SC poll 12/18 Perry=5%. Texas politics is Illinois politics with a drawl.
Posted by GolfBravoUSMC 2012-01-04 14:10||   2012-01-04 14:10|| Front Page Top

#20 "Romney calls Perry and asks him to stay in the race."

This is absurd. Until just a few weeks ago the only campaign Romney was attacking was Perry's. He is and remains the biggest threat to Romney's limping to the nomination.
Posted by Iblis 2012-01-04 17:34||   2012-01-04 17:34|| Front Page Top

#21 Let them slug it out.
Posted by Ebbang Uluque6305 2012-01-04 18:07||   2012-01-04 18:07|| Front Page Top

#22 Romney should choose Rand Paul as VP and crush Obama
Posted by Airandee 2012-01-04 19:57||   2012-01-04 19:57|| Front Page Top

#23 I'm just happy Paul only made third. My first pick is Perry ('cause I'm a Texan). But I would vote for Obama before I'd vote for that deranged anti-Semite Dr. Ron Paul, who is not even a genuine Republican. I expect to have to eventually just hold my nose and vote for Mitt over Obama, but I'll cross that bridge when I come to it.
Posted by Scooter McGruder 2012-01-04 21:11||   2012-01-04 21:11|| Front Page Top

#24 cat's hair, huh? Guess I'm getting older, I remember a different phrase
Posted by Frank G 2012-01-04 22:34||   2012-01-04 22:34|| Front Page Top

23:55 Slomp Oppressor of the Faeries1490
23:51 Thing From Snowy Mountain
23:35 Slomp Oppressor of the Faeries1490
23:34 USN, Ret.
23:22 Thing From Snowy Mountain
23:22 Pappy
23:16 Steven
22:55 Slomp Oppressor of the Faeries1490
22:53 tu3031
22:34 Frank G
22:18 Barbara
22:17 Redneck Jim
22:16 Barbara
22:11 mom
22:02 JosephMendiola
21:54 SteveS
21:39 JosephMendiola
21:32 Super Hose
21:27 JosephMendiola
21:22 Silentbrick - Halliburton Lost Drill Bit Division
21:21 JosephMendiola
21:17 Scooter McGruder
21:15 JosephMendiola
21:12 Super Hose









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