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2008-09-07 Home Front: Politix

Presidential Race Dead Even After Conventions

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Posted by Swamp Blondie in the Cornfields 2008-09-07 09:38|| || Front Page|| [5 views ] Top

#1 Actually, the whole tale of the tape will not be for a couple of days - 3 consecutive weekday polls after the McCain speech. That means Thursday of this week will be the poll to watch.

Posted by OldSpook 2008-09-07 12:05|| 2008-09-07 12:05|| Front Page Top

#2 Just received this:
Hurricane season is an exciting time to be in Florida . Based on our experiences, we recommend that you follow this simple three-step hurricane preparedness plan:
STEP 1: Buy enough food and bottled water to last your family for at least three days.
STEP 2: Put these supplies into your car.
STEP 3: Drive to Nebraska and remain there until Halloween.

Swamp Blondie must received the same advice.

Posted by GK 2008-09-07 12:30|| 2008-09-07 12:30|| Front Page Top

#3 OS. The dems will try to spin that poll as convention bounce / 9/11 related.

The reality is that they are screwed, and they know it.

Posted by Minister of funny walks 2008-09-07 12:50|| 2008-09-07 12:50|| Front Page Top

#4 GK, oh, crap, Nebraska! We overshot a little, didn't we? ;)

Posted by Swamp Blondie in the Cornfields 2008-09-07 13:11|| 2008-09-07 13:11|| Front Page Top

#5 And Hillarity is reporting for duty there next week ? She really, really wants the $21 million, huh ? But.., she ain't thar yet.

Posted by Woozle Elmeter 2700 2008-09-07 14:52|| 2008-09-07 14:52|| Front Page Top

#6 $12 million.

Definitely out of Elliot Spitzer's price-range.

Posted by Milton Fandango 2008-09-07 15:29|| 2008-09-07 15:29|| Front Page Top

#7 Dead-even means a win for us and a loss for the MSM.

Posted by Chris W. 2008-09-07 16:20|| 2008-09-07 16:20|| Front Page Top

#8 Keys are PA, Mich, VA, Ohio, Colorado, NM, and either Nevada or New Hampshire.

NM, PA and Mich are leaning Obama, Ohio and NV are leaning McCain, and NH, Colorado and VA are dead even supposedly.

Unless McCain can sweep the last 3 or else steal PA or MI, he will have a hard time in the electoral vote.

Posted by OldSpook 2008-09-07 20:45|| 2008-09-07 20:45|| Front Page Top

#9 Just from my own experience I'd say that PA is closer to going for McCain than people realize.

Posted by Jonathan 2008-09-07 21:05|| 2008-09-07 21:05|| Front Page Top

#10 Well it depends heavily on the selfish old fart "you owe me" types that sit on their retired asses and play government vassal. You know, the people that keep sending lying traitorous porkers like Murtha to congress.

Yes, I have a VERY low opinion of a lot of the PA voters, even those outside of Philly and the snob belt anchored on Bryn Mawr.

Posted by OldSpook 2008-09-07 21:50|| 2008-09-07 21:50|| Front Page Top

#11 I can't be certain, Jonathan, because 8 week is an eternity in politics and a lot of dead people are yet to register in Phila. But the donks have solidified their position in PA in the Philly suburbs. Palin may make Chester, Delaware, Montgomery and Bucks a lot redder than they have been recently. If so, you could be correct.

The Obamessiah is also spending a lot of time in South Central, but I think he's wasting it there and would be better off solidifying his position in the Southeast.

Posted by Nimble Spemble 2008-09-07 21:54|| 2008-09-07 21:54|| Front Page Top

#12 I'll be interested to hear what lotps' relatives in the northeast have to say.

Posted by Nimble Spemble 2008-09-07 21:55|| 2008-09-07 21:55|| Front Page Top

#13 Me too. ;-)

One thing to consider about PA. Allentown has a rapidly growing Hispanic population, mostly first gen immigrants who are likely to retain their Catholic identity. Harrisburg has a large envangelical Korean immigrant population.

Assuming the GOP doesn't force McCain into statements re: immigration that alienate groups like that, he just might be able to win them over because of the Palin pick. It depends a lot on whether the Biden/Clinton union network twists arms for O and whether McCain can articulate a jobs retraining / industry development policy that sparks hope in the blue collars left behind by the new economy.

Posted by lotp 2008-09-07 22:03|| 2008-09-07 22:03|| Front Page Top

#14 A friend of mine who lives in DC has been spending every weekend in Pennsylvania, ~~witnessing~~ ~~proselytizing~~ ~~community organizing~~ stumping for Obama.

Strictly on an all-volunteer basis, not even a couple bucks for gas-n-tolls.

Posted by Seafarious 2008-09-07 23:26|| 2008-09-07 23:26|| Front Page Top

#15 And he's not the only one.

Posted by Seafarious 2008-09-07 23:27|| 2008-09-07 23:27|| Front Page Top

#16 It is interesting, about a year ago we couldn't hear enough about the HUGE impact that the hispanic community was going to have on the elections. Suddenly, no one is even whispering about the hispanic vote. It is as if they don't exist or matter.

I wonder why? If they were leaning dem, I feel certain the MSM would be trumpeting it. Curious.

Posted by Betty Grating2215 2008-09-07 23:39|| 2008-09-07 23:39|| Front Page Top

23:58 Betty Grating2215
23:57 3dc
23:54 Betty Grating2215
23:53 Betty Grating2215
23:47 Swamp Blondie in the Cornfields
23:45 Betty Grating2215
23:39 Betty Grating2215
23:33 Betty Grating2215
23:27 Seafarious
23:26 Seafarious
23:18 badanov
23:11 AzCat
23:11 Theodore P. Savas
23:10 anymouse
23:08 AzCat
23:05 Skunky Glins 5***
23:02 Barbara Skolaut
22:58 Barbara Skolaut
22:43 CrazyFool
22:27 Skunky Glins 5***
22:26 badanov
22:26 Hupusons on the power
22:25 Steve White
22:22 Skunky Glins 5***