Article

2021-08-31 Science & Technology

Repost of Twitter thread on Free Republic: Ivermectin, Covid, and Africa

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Posted by Thing From Snowy Mountain 2021-08-31 00:00|| || Front Page|| [4 views ] Top

#1 These graphs have been normalized to population size, I wish that was the standard presentation (cases, or hospitalizations, or deaths, per 100,000 population or such.) It looks to me like if we similarly normalized the current case rate wave height for the US it would come in at 3 times the rate in non-Ivermectin Africa. (Israel would be double that again.) There has to be a difference in data collection, validity etc. but those are huge apparent differences.

Posted by Glenmore 2021-08-31 12:35|| 2021-08-31 12:35|| Front Page Top

#2 I don't trust vital stats from most of Africa. Don't trust the stuff from the PRC, either, but for quite different reasons.

Posted by Bubba Lover of the Faeries8843 2021-08-31 12:47|| 2021-08-31 12:47|| Front Page Top

#3 /\ If we were not prohibited from using math, we could.... count the 'reasons.'

Posted by Besoeker 2021-08-31 12:50|| 2021-08-31 12:50|| Front Page Top

#4 Glenmore, I'm going to have to get back to you on that when I get home and my internet's a little more solid. I *think* I can do a graph sort of like that.

Posted by Thing From Snowy Mountain 2021-08-31 14:00|| 2021-08-31 14:00|| Front Page Top

#5 It doesn't have an ensemble, but it has Nigeria and Mozambique.

Posted by Thing From Snowy Mountain 2021-08-31 18:55|| 2021-08-31 18:55|| Front Page Top

#6 Not just river blindness. Ivermectin, together with a couple of other drugs, is widely used for a large spectrum of infestations. It's especially useful in children, since heavy helminth infestations can cause malnutrition and permanent harm. "Schoolchildren are an especially appropriate, cost-effective target for mass treatment. Treating children has been shown to reduce transmission to untreated members of the community."

WRT the graphs, the daily death rate in (e.g. Liberia) is a couple orders of magnitude higher than the rates listed. I'd guess that total death counts might be within shouting distance of reality, but COVID death counts--not so much. I'd also guess that the seasonal variation in malaria deaths would swamp the COVID variations, so we might not learn much from the total daily death rates either.

It would be useful to compare cohorts, but I'm not sure if death rates by age are available.

Posted by james 2021-08-31 21:29|| https://idontknowbut.blogspot.com 2021-08-31 21:29|| Front Page Top

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