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2022-03-14 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia

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Posted by Angaiper Ulavins1210 2022-03-14 07:48|| || Front Page|| [4 views ] Top

#1 Russia is in trouble with their 'Special Military Operation.' Some armchair thoughts or bullets (mostly obvious):

1. Unexpectedly strong Ukraine resistance and resolve.
2. High casualty (KIA/WIA) figures/estimates.
3. Poor soldier performance.
4. Poor performance and tactics at the senior leader level. No 'Plan B.' Miserably failing combined arms tactics.
5. Requests for Syrian military assistance.
6. Requests for Chinese support.
7. Coms, fuel and logistics issues (poor prior planning).
8. Possible ammo, fuel, med supply shortages.
9. Global negative media impacts.
10. Negative opinions, protests, and impacts back home in Russian civilian sector.
11. Severe economic impacts. RU stock market closure. Ruble devaluation.
12. War crimes. Cluster munitions. Video targeting of civilians, hospitals, indicates change of tactics, desperation.
14. No status of Ukrainian POW's, no news of prisoner exchanges.
15. Putin anger, frustration, and failure to apparently grasp the enormity of the situation.
16. Polish sanctuary and arms (STINGER-Manpad, Intel reporting) re-supply issue.
17. Heavy equipment (armored vehicle, fuel tankers, and aircraft) losses.
18. EU and NATO taking new, updated look at the Russian threat and economic relationships.
19. Long-held notion of Soviet/Russian military invincibility severely impacted.
20. Potential for extended Ukrainian guerilla campaign likely.

Posted by Besoeker 2022-03-14 09:46|| 2022-03-14 09:46|| Front Page Top

#2 Re#3 - I suspect they'd do better defending their country than invading someone else's.

Posted by Mercutio 2022-03-14 11:18|| 2022-03-14 11:18|| Front Page Top

#3 Excellent list B. To that I'd like to add Kazakhstan giving the cold shoulder to Putin's request for help after he saved their bacon during the recent uprising.

Posted by Rex Mundi 2022-03-14 18:17|| 2022-03-14 18:17|| Front Page Top

#4 Ukrainian counter attacks on Russian infrastructure?
UAV attacks on stranded Russian convoys?

Posted by Grunter 2022-03-14 20:48|| 2022-03-14 20:48|| Front Page Top

#5 Excellent adds at #2 and #3.

Posted by Besoeker 2022-03-14 21:31|| 2022-03-14 21:31|| Front Page Top

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