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2025-06-21 Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Mossad says Iran 15 days from bomb, US agencies still say up to a year – report
[IsraelTimes] CIA director cited saying Tehran ‘very close’ to nuclear weapons; US officials tell NY Times assassination of Khamenei, US strike on Fordo could prompt breakout to bomb

Despite Iran’s development of a large stockpile of enriched uranium that cannot serve any peaceful purpose, US intelligence agencies continue to differ with more foreboding Israeli assessments that the Islamic Theocratic Republic is actively pursuing a nuclear weapon, according to a Thursday report.

According to The New York Times

...which still proudly claims Walter Duranty's Pulitzer prize...

, the Mosssd
...sees all, knows all, gets 'em all in the end...
believes that Iran
...a theocratic Shiite state divided among the Medes, the Persians, and the (Arab) Elamites. Formerly a fairly civilized nation ruled by a Shah, it became a victim of Islamic revolution in 1979. The nation is today noted for spontaneously taking over other countries' embassies, maintaining whorehouses run by clergymen, involvement in international drug trafficking, and financing sock puppet militias to extend the regime's influence. The word Iran is a cognate form of Aryan. The abbreviation IRGC is the same idea as Stürmabteilung (or SA). The term Supreme Guide is a the modern version form of either Duce or Führer or maybe both. They hate Jews Zionists Jews. Their economy is based on the production of oil and vitriol...
could assemble a nuclear weapon within 15 days, while US assessments are more conservative, estimating it would take Tehran several months or up to a year to make a bomb, and that it is not currently actively pursuing one.

Citing intelligence and other US officials, the report said the current US assessment has not changed since the issue was last evaluated in March, even though Israel has since launched an extensive bombing campaign against Iran’s nuclear facilities, research centers and scientists, along with its ballistic missile program and other military infrastructure.

Senior US intelligence officials cited in the report, however, that Tehran could decide to actively break out to the bomb should Israel assassinate Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
...the very aged actual dictator of Iran, successor to Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini...>
Israel has not ruled out killing Khamenei, with Defense Minister Israel Katz saying on Thursday at the site of an Iranian missile strike that the Iranian leader "cannot continue to exist."

A second possible instigator of an Iranian breakout, mentioned in the report, would be a US attack on Iran’s uranium enrichment facility at Fordo.

The site, located north of the city of Qom, is buried deep underground underneath a mountain, leading experts to assess that only bunker buster bombs, possessed exclusively by the US, could destroy the facility. However,
a clean conscience makes a soft pillow...
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in an interview on Thursday that Israel could destroy Fordo without US assistance.

The White House said on Thursday that US President Donald Trump
...Oh, noze! Not him!...
would decide within the next two weeks whether to join the Israeli offensive against Iran.

The announcement came following an intelligence briefing in which CIA Director John Ratcliffe said Iran was very close to attaining an atomic bomb, the report said, noting that he was echoing the Mossad assessments.

While some senior US officials, including Vice President JD Vance, said that new information has come in since intelligence agencies declared in March that Iran was not seeking a weapon, officials were quoted as saying that Vance was, in fact, referring to new analysis of existing information.

On June 13, Israel launched a campaign of Arclight airstrike
...KABOOM!...
s in Iran to decimate its nuclear and ballistic missile programs, which Jerusalem characterized as an imminent, existential threat. Iran has responded with deadly barrages of ballistic missiles at civilian population centers and military targets in Israel.

A Washington-based Iranian human rights
...which are often intentionally defined so widely as to be meaningless...
group said at least 639 people, including 263 civilians, have been killed in Iran and more than 1,300 maimed.
Posted by trailing wife 2025-06-21 2025-06-21 02:33|| || Front Page|| ||Comments [106 views ]  Top
 File under: Govt of Iran 

#1 When was the last time "US agencies" were right?
Posted by Grom the Affective 2025-06-21 04:36||   2025-06-21 04:36|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#2 I'll take "Mossad's 15 days" for $600. Alex.
Posted by Besoeker 2025-06-21 04:43||   2025-06-21 04:43|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#3 
15 to 365+ days.
Either way, any day that these murderous Islamic Radicals, with their openly stated and aggressive agenda, acquire a Nuke (Clean or Dirty), it is 1 day too soon.

BTW: Remember when the USSR broke up, they lost a bunch of nukes (100). Of which 18 were highly enriched uranium hand-carry nukes, that a suicide bomber could carry. I wonder who has them and if IRAN could buy one?
Posted by NN2N1 2025-06-21 05:47||   2025-06-21 05:47|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#4 We're already planning first use of nuclear weapons against this facility. It's so deep it's proof against bunker busters.
Posted by Elmomoter Mussolini9149 2025-06-21 07:08||   2025-06-21 07:08|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#5 Israel weighs options to destroy Fordow if it has to go it alone without help from the US
Posted by Skidmark 2025-06-21 08:18||   2025-06-21 08:18|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#6 We're already planning first use of nuclear weapons against this facility.

Please substantiate your indepth research.
Posted by Skidmark 2025-06-21 08:19||   2025-06-21 08:19|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#7 '15 days' and 'up to a year' are both logically equivalent.
Posted by Glenmore 2025-06-21 09:04||   2025-06-21 09:04|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#8 Tulsi Gabbard reversed course and admitted that Iran actually does have the ability to create nuclear weapons after a public rebuke by her boss Donald Trump as Israel continues to wage war against the country.
Posted by Skidmark 2025-06-21 09:09||   2025-06-21 09:09|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#9 It’s my understanding that underground nuclear tests were 300 meters deep to preclude the explosion significantly breaking the surface. That suggests a greater kiloton bomb would need to be used to reach 300 meters deep (although collapsing the deep tunnels may be possible). A surface blast would create significant fallout. What direction is the wind blowing in 2 weeks?
Posted by Griter+Slash1619 2025-06-21 12:02||   2025-06-21 12:02|| Front Page || Comments   Top

12:02 Griter+Slash1619
11:54 Matt
11:47 Jefe101
11:28 Matt
11:28 NoMoreBS
11:27 NoMoreBS
11:25 DarthVader
11:24 DarthVader
11:19 Anguper Hupomosing9418
11:18 trailing wife
11:08 NN2N1
11:00 trailing wife
10:59 Procopius2k
10:58 Procopius2k
10:53 trailing wife
10:52 NN2N1
10:50 NN2N1
10:40 Skidmark
10:37 swksvolFF
10:15 Skidmark
10:13 Skidmark
10:07 badanov
10:02 Rex Mundi
10:01 Frank G









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