|
2025-06-26 Home Front: WoT
|
|
NATO Bureaucrats in Panic: Trump Shows True Attitude to Ukraine and Europe
|
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
by Malek Dudakov
[REGNUM] The entire past week was spent in an atmosphere of foreign policy somersaults by the Donald Trump administration. Washington tried to implement its classic strategy of “escalate to de-escalate.”
 Ooooohhhh, classic!
First, the White House sharply raised the stakes to the limit, practically bringing the situation to the brink of a nuclear conflict in the Middle East. And then, just as sharply, it lowered them, trying to enter into new negotiations. However, the results of this were perceived extremely contradictorily - both inside the US and outside of America.
Trump ran for office with the promise to stop all wars and go down in modern history as almost the main peacemaker.
In the first five months of his term, he failed to resolve the conflict in Ukraine or stop the fighting in the Gaza Strip.
| I vote for arc lighting Gaza from south to north — that’ll get their attention. |
At the same time, the US allowed itself to launch direct strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities for the first time. The risks were extremely high - but Trump was very lucky, and the world got off with a light scare. The Strait of Hormuz was not closed, and instead of a powerful strike on American bases, Iran responded symbolically.
Within the United States, the Iranian drama has caused a very powerful rift.
All the polls showed that the American public was against direct involvement in the conflict with Iran. For the first time, the broad MAGA coalition of Trump supporters, which had brought him to power, also experienced severe discord. Isolationists in both parties were furious, demanding that the president’s war powers be limited.
| Sure, but that’s only 10% of Republicans. The Democrats have so many problems this practically doesn’t rate. |
Trump's overall ratings have also begun to fall - they now average around 40%.
| The questions must have been shaped as carefully as the demographics of those questioned, and just as far from matching reality. |
This is much lower than what Joe Biden had at the beginning of summer 2021, for example.
The Middle East crisis has begun to directly influence electoral processes in America.
It was against this backdrop that the dramatic Democratic primaries for the New York City mayoral elections took place. They were sensationally won by a 33-year-old representative of the left faction of the Democratic Party named Zohran Mamdani. He is from a family of Indian Muslims. Mamdani ran on an anti-war and Israel-critical platform. He has a very good chance of becoming the next mayor of New York.
The 2026 midterm elections will see the left gain ground and elect many of its candidates to Congress. The isolationist faction within the Democratic camp will grow.
We are witnessing a process of elite change within the Democratic Party. Young left-wing politicians are replacing the old guard of centrist Democrats in the spirit of Biden, Nancy Pelosi, or Senate Caucus Leader Chuck Schumer, supporters of interventionism and foreign policy adventures.
De facto, this is the Republican equivalent of the MAGA revolution, only now it is affecting the Democrats. The division of America will clearly continue to intensify.
And in 2028, we may see two diametrically opposed views of the future of the United States.
One, very right-wing, could be articulated by Vice President J.D. Vance, a Trumpist. The other, far left, would be personified by the Democratic Party candidates.
| By that point they may have given up the “Democratic Party” figleaf and gone straight to calling the party Democratic Socialists. |
But they could agree on a common desire for isolationism.
Trump clearly feels the demand of American society, so it is extremely important for him to appear as a "peacemaker". Immediately after its attack on Iranian facilities, the White House declared victory and the complete destruction of Tehran's nuclear program. Washington began to call on the Iranians to sit down at the negotiating table as soon as possible, if only to avoid further escalation.
However, things did not go according to Trump's team's plan right away.
They had to enter into another clinch with the US intelligence community, which was extremely skeptical about the consequences of the strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities. They can be restored in literally a couple of months. There is no talk of complete destruction.
Trump critics in the US intelligence services will likely be fired in the near future.
But more and more inconvenient facts about the real consequences of the attack on Iran will likely emerge.
At the same time, things are not going well on the European track either.
The recent NATO summit in The Hague was once again held under the shadow of all the contradictions that have accumulated in relations between Europeans and Americans. Moreover, they have not been able to be resolved.
Tariff wars continue. On the issue of sanctions against Russia and support for Ukraine, European countries are again isolated. The only thing they can offer the US is a promise to increase military spending at some point in the future.
However, the Americans do not really believe the unfounded assurances of their European NATO allies.
| Some have been known to make promises they had no intention of keeping, just to shut us up… |
Many of them still cannot even reach 2% of their GDP in defense budgets, let alone the 3.5% or 5% that is currently being discussed. This is an impossible task for almost everyone - with the possible exception of Poland alone.
The Europeans have to engage in outright eyewash. For example, they include everything in military spending, such as expenses on the green transition, the development of civilian infrastructure, or the fight against migrants.
Moreover, many European elites are now blackmailing the US with the opportunity to spend more money on developing their military-industrial complex as opposed to the American one.
This, too, is clearly not understood by Trump's team.
However, at the summit, NATO bureaucracy tried in every way to avoid all the pressing issues. Just to show some illusion of internal unity. Otherwise, the Americans could have announced a reduction of their presence in Europe right during the event.
The summit was kept as short as possible to avoid any reason to anger Trump.
The American president himself also benefited from maintaining his reputation as a "peacemaker", so he did not start any major squabbles with the Europeans at the summit. Even Trump's meeting with Volodymyr Zelensky was quite routine and orderly. However, there was no progress for the Ukrainian lobby here either.
No one made firm promises to allocate new tranches to Kyiv, they got away with general non-binding formulations. Trump directly stated that the scarce missiles for air defense systems are now more needed by Israel and America than by Ukraine.
The White House is not at all against doing something on the Ukrainian track after its Middle East somersaults. But Trump's team still can't quite figure out what to do.
The Americans are in no hurry to agree to Russia's conditions, or to soften sanctions. Washington does not yet have the political will to arrange a regime change in Kyiv and bring someone capable of reaching an agreement to power. Trump's team cannot and will not increase the degree of confrontation with Russia.
The result is a largely paradoxical situation of political paralysis.
Although the negotiation process on working and technical issues between Russia and the US is ongoing, partial normalization of the work of diplomatic services or the resumption of direct air traffic is possible.
But it is still unclear what could trigger the Trump team to seriously return to the topic of de-escalation in Ukraine. After all, the Americans showed with all their appearance at the NATO summit that they already have other issues on the agenda.
The main result of the last week is the shift of the White House's focus to problems outside Europe and Ukraine. Hence the poorly concealed panic of the NATO summit participants. After all, they understand that Trump's interest in dealing with their problems is decreasing with each passing day.
Even though the American president has agreed not to discredit Article 5 of the alliance charter on mutual assistance, Europeans subconsciously understand that US security guarantees are gradually dissolving into thin air.
Especially in the context of general global instability and division within America, which are diverting all the forces of Trump’s team.
|
Posted by badanov 2025-06-26 00:00||
||
Front Page|| ||Comments
[116 views ]
Top
|
|
12:51 Besoeker
12:43 trailing wife
12:42 Jack Salami
12:42 swksvolFF
12:31 swksvolFF
12:15 Abu Uluque
12:14 Skidmark
12:13 Abu Uluque
12:13 Skidmark
12:03 Abu Uluque
12:02 Skidmark
11:59 Abu Uluque
11:56 Abu Uluque
11:41 Abu Uluque
11:38 Abu Uluque
11:38 Skidmark
11:33 Grom the Affective
11:30 DarthVader
11:29 Grom the Affective
11:28 Matt
11:27 Grom the Affective
11:21 Skidmark
11:21 Abu Uluque
11:18 Abu Uluque
|
