Article

2012-07-13 Africa North

Archived material is restricted to Rantburg regulars and members. If you need access email fred.pruitt=at=gmail.com with your nick to be added to the members list. There is no charge to join Rantburg as a member.

Posted by Fred 2012-07-13 00:00|| || Front Page|| [5 views ] Top
File under: Arab Spring

#1 I think the writer has the right idea, but has confused the players. If the Brothers accept the secularists to oust the Generals, it'll only be a marriage of convenience.

It'll be the islamists that are hardest to return to their book.

Posted by Bobby 2012-07-13 05:56|| 2012-07-13 05:56|| Front Page Top

#2 "...There are two aspects of the present situation: one is the struggle between democratic forces and a military addicted to power; the other is the political forces' polarisation between the Islamists and secularists.."

This is basically wishful thinking.

The Islamists (counting all brands) have about 80% of the legislature plus the Presidency. The Nationalists and nutcase socialists (again counting all brands) have about 15%. That leaves only about 5% for secularists.

Posted by lord garth 2012-07-13 08:23|| 2012-07-13 08:23|| Front Page Top

#3 Yes, the shining model which is Pahkistain.

Posted by swksvolFF 2012-07-13 10:56|| 2012-07-13 10:56|| Front Page Top

#4 The Islamists (counting all brands) have about 80% of the legislature plus the Presidency. The Nationalists and nutcase socialists (again counting all brands) have about 15%. That leaves only about 5% for secularists.

Not to mention the unasked question: what percentage of the Egyptian army, more particularly the professional officer corps, are Islamists of one flavour or another? We can assume that the draftee percentages hew closely to civilian numbers.

Posted by trailing wife 2012-07-13 19:16|| 2012-07-13 19:16|| Front Page Top

23:42 Thing From Snowy Mountain
22:57 swksvolFF
21:31 Secret Master
21:27 Secret Master
21:18 Secret Master
21:17 Secret Asian Man
19:59 USN, Ret.
19:16 trailing wife
19:09 trailing wife
18:51 Cincinnatus Chili
18:43 Chesney Clatle9684
18:40 Chesney Clatle9684
18:06 Raider
18:02 Raider
17:47 Pappy
17:44 American Delight
17:38 Zhang Fei
17:21 Zhang Fei
17:20 AlanC
17:08 swksvolFF
16:34 Silentbrick - Schlumberger Squishy Mud Division
16:32 JohnQC
16:30 JohnQC
16:29 Total War